Tag Archive for: jackson hole real estate stats

2019: June New Listings in Jackson Hole

What happened in June?

New Listings

Over 100 new listings hit the market in June for the second month in the row as the busy summer selling season continues in Jackson Hole. While June and May were similar in their number of new listings, their volume certainly was not. June saw nearly $440 million in listing volume, approximately double the volume seen in May for a similar number of listings. One particular new listing certainly tipped the scales – a 7 parcel assemblage totaling nearly 300 acres along the Snake River, listed for a cool $80 million. However, even without that listing, June 2019 had by far the highest monthly listing volume seen since I began tracking volume in June 2015. As expected, the average listing price jumped up in June to just over $4 million, however the median listing price was up as well, reaching $1,845,000. To put that in perspective, compare it to the busy summer selling season of 2018, when median list prices were in the $1.6 million range. In addition to the $80 million listing, there were four other new listings in excess of $15 million including two homes in Fairway Estates north of town, a home in Teal Trace in Wilson and a large ski chalet in Teton Village at the base of Jackson Hole Mountain Resort. The influx of luxury listings didn’t stop there, with 9 additional listings priced over $5 million entering the market last month. While June saw a similar number of listings coming online in the local’s market ($500,000 to $1,000,000), only 2 new property options came on under $500,000 (compared to 11 in May).

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$439,163,000

New Listing Volume

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17

Vacant Lot Listings

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$4,222,721

Average List Price

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$1,845,000

MEDIAN LIST PRICE

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75%

over $1M Price Point

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2

Listings under $500k

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Note: All statistics are pulled from Teton Board of Realtors Multiple Listing Service for residential sales/listings in Teton County, WY for the dates specified above. It is estimated that sales outside of MLS account for an additional 10-20% of transactions/volume. Contact Katie for more details.

2019: June Sales in Jackson Hole

What happened in June?

What Sold

Real estate sales in Jackson Hole actually dipped in June, down to 36 transactions (after 41 sales occurred in May). Sales volume also dropped, totaling roughly $50 million in June (down from $59 million in May). Otherwise, the start of the busy summer selling season (May and June) were quite similar, with an average sales price hovering right around $1.4 million and a median sales price just under $900,000. The average days on market and sale price ratio were also identical between May and June, with properties selling, on average, at 96% of their listing price in just under 180 days. However, what made June unique was that nearly 1/3 of the closed sales occurred at or ABOVE their listing price, illustrating the continued competitiveness of the Jackson market. While the majority of sales in June occurred in the $1-3 million range, there were 10 sales under $500,000, including five condos in the Virginian Village and Ponderosa Village developments, seemingly a hot segment right now with many of these condos selling at or above the listing prices. Two-thirds of all sales in June were for single family homes, an increase from a trend seen over the last few months.
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$50,963,867

Total Sales Volume

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179

Average Days on Market

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$869,500

MEDIAN SALES PRICE

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56%

Single Family Home Sales

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53%

of property sales under $1,000,000

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5

TRANSACTION OVER $3M

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Note: All statistics are pulled from Teton Board of Realtors Multiple Listing Service for residential sales/listings in Teton County, WY for the dates specified above. It is estimated that sales outside of MLS account for an additional 10-20% of transactions/volume. Contact Katie for more details.

2019: May Sales in Jackson Hole

What happened in May?

What Sold

Sale transactions increased in May, recording 41 transactions, the highest monthly level so far in 2019. Dollar volume increased from April but was in line with previous months this year, suggesting that while more sales occurred in May, they were at lower price points. In fact, two thirds of May sales were under $1 million, with nearly 20 sales in the $500,000-$1,000,000 price point (commonly referred to as the “local’s market”). While a few high sales pulled the average sales price up towards $1.5 million, the median sales price remained under $1 million for the second month in a row. The majority of May sales were for condos/townhomes, including several in the newly remodeled Virginian Village complex in town. The average days on market increased in May, in part thanks to 4 vacant lots that finally sold after 1-2 years on the market. The sale price to list price ratio held strong at 96% as many properties sold close to their listing prices. There were 9 sales that occurred at or above full listing price, illustrating high demand and tough competition for desirable properties that are priced in line with the market.

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$59,646,869

Total Sales Volume

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176

Average Days on Market

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$839,000

MEDIAN SALES PRICE

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61%

Townhome/Condo Sales

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66%

of property sales under $1,000,000

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6

TRANSACTION OVER $3M

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Note: All statistics are pulled from Teton Board of Realtors Multiple Listing Service for residential sales/listings in Teton County, WY for the dates specified above. It is estimated that sales outside of MLS account for an additional 10-20% of transactions/volume. Contact Katie for more details.

2019: May New Listings in Jackson Hole

New Listings

Listing activity exploded in May with over 100 new listings hitting the market last month. New listings in May of this year exceeded all of the busy summer months of 2018. In fact, the last time we saw over 100 new listings in a single month was back in July 2017. May’s new listings totaled nearly $225 million, a  monthly dollar volume not seen since August 2018. Of the 101 new listings in May, 35 of them were for vacant land, an activity level not matched since May of 2014. These available building sites covered the entire Valley from Solitude down to the Snake River Sporting Club, Ranging in price from $345,000 – $16,000,000. The average listing price of May’s new inventory is $2.2 million, the highest monthly average we’ve seen so far this year. The median sales price also increased in May, up to just under $1.3 million. The majority (40%) of new listings in May were in the $1-3 million price range. Twenty-two new listings entered the market priced above $3 million, including homes in Granite Ridge and Shooting Star out at Teton Village and two lots in the newly-created Seven Springs subdivision along the Snake River on the Westbank. On the other end of the spectrum, only 10% of the new inventory was under the $500,000 mark and included 1-2 bedroom condos in Ponderosa Village and Virginia Village in the Town of Jackson. Nearly 1/4 of May’s new listings are already under contract or closed, signaling a strong start to what should be a very busy summer selling season.

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$224,672,000

New Listing Volume

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35

Vacant Lot Listings

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$2,224,475

Average List Price

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$1,295,000

MEDIAN LIST PRICE

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22%

over $3M Price Point

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11

Listings under $500k

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Note: All statistics are pulled from Teton Board of Realtors Multiple Listing Service for residential sales/listings in Teton County, WY for the dates specified above. It is estimated that sales outside of MLS account for an additional 10-20% of transactions/volume. Contact Katie for more details.

2019: April Sales in Jackson Hole

What happened in April?

What Sold

Real estate transactions increased slightly from last month (30 sales) and are tracking slightly higher than this same time last year (29 sales in Apr 2018). However, overall sales volume in Jackson Hole dropped significantly, down $20 million from last month, recording the lowest monthly volume since March 2018. As a result, the average monthly sales price ($1,143,000) also reached its lowest level in the last year. Likewise, the median monthly sales price was the lowest seen since June 2017 and only the 3rd time in the past year it has dipped below $1 million. The average days on market dropped 120 days, as half of all properties sold in April were on the market less than 3 months before closing.  Properties sold, on average, at 96% of list price in April, despite the fact that only 5 of the 33 properties sold at or above listing price, illustrating the strong buyer demand across the market. As suggested by the low sales volume and low average sales price, a large majority (69%) of the property sales occurred under $1 million in April, including 6 sales of remodeled Virginian Village condos in Town, selling between $303,000 – $417,000. After a yearlong stretch with at least 5 high-end ($3M+) property sales per month, only one sale occurred in this segment in April (a 4,500 sq ft home in 3 Creek Ranch, listed for $3.7 million.) While usually representing over half of all monthly sales, single family home sales slowed in April, with only 7 transactions (21% of all sales). On the other hand, 10 land sales occurred in April, the highest monthly tally since Nov 2017. These lot sales represented every corner of the Valley including Bar B Bar, Solitude and JH Golf & Tennis up north, lots in Town, the Westbank and 3 Creek Ranch and 3 contiguous lot sales in Riverview Ranch, a newly platted subdivision south of Wilson.

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$37,730,289

Total Sales Volume

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120

Average Days on Market

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$785,000

MEDIAN SALES PRICE

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48%

Townhome/Condo Sales

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30%

of property sales under $500,000

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1

TRANSACTION OVER $3M

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Note: All statistics are pulled from Teton Board of Realtors Multiple Listing Service for residential sales/listings in Teton County, WY for the dates specified above. It is estimated that sales outside of MLS account for an additional 10-20% of transactions/volume. Contact Katie for more details.

2019 Q1: Sales in Jackson Hole

Transactions/Sales Volume – What Sold?

$2,096,616

Average Sales Price

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$199,178,515

Total Sales Volume

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Market Analysis

Overall real estate sales were down slightly in Q1 2019, recording 6 fewer sales than Q1 2018. While January and March 2019 saw a high level of sale activity, an unusually slow February, when only 26 properties sold, pulled down the total transactions for the quarter. Despite slightly fewer sales this year, overall dollar volume actually increased 50% from Q1 2018, jumping from $132 million last year to nearly $200 million this quarter.

You’ll recall that 2018 was an explosive year in the Jackson Hole Real Estate market. Well, it seems that the trend has continued into the start of 2019. The average sales price in Q1 2019 was up a staggering 60% compared to this time last year, strongly outpacing average sale prices in each month of the first quarter. Sometimes high-end sales can skew average sales prices, however the median sales price for Q1 2019 was also up significantly each month so far this year, in some cases double the average median sales prices seen in the first several months of 2018.

In analyzing transactions by price point, the “hot spot” of the first quarter was homes in the $1-3M price range, accounting for 40% of all sales. While sales in the $500,000 – $1,000,000 range started out the year strong with 10 sales in January, activity slowed after that, with only 11 sales occurring in the next two months combined.

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Note: All statistics are pulled from Teton Board of Realtors Multiple Listing Service for residential sales/listings in Teton County, WY for the dates specified above. It is estimated that sales outside of MLS account for an additional 10-20% of transactions/volume. Contact Katie for more details.

2019: March Sales in Jackson Hole

What happened in March?

What Sold

There was an uptick in sales last month with 30 transactions occurring in March, however sales volume dropped slightly, down to just under $58 million. As a result, both the average and median sales prices were down in March, as nearly 50% of property sales occurred under $1 million. Properties that sold in March had only been on the market for an average of 147 days, the shortest monthly marketing time seen since Oct 2018. Demand remains high as half of March sales were on the market for less than 90 days before closing. Sellers appeared to be motivated this winter, as properties sold at 95% of their listing prices in March, only the second time this monthly ratio has dipped below 96% in the past 17 months. Single family homes represented over half of all sales in March, while only 2 building sites sold – a 31 acre lot on Saddle Butte and a rarely available vacant lot in Cottonwood Park.

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$57,814,192

Total Sales Volume

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95%

Average Sold:List Ratio

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$1,250,000

MEDIAN SALES PRICE

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53%

Single Family Sales

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33%

of property sales between $1-3M

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6

TRANSACTIONS OVER $3M

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Note: All statistics are pulled from Teton Board of Realtors Multiple Listing Service for residential sales/listings in Teton County, WY for the dates specified above. It is estimated that sales outside of MLS account for an additional 10-20% of transactions/volume. Contact Katie for more details.

2018 Jackson Hole Real Estate Summary & 2019 Forecast

Summary: Jackson Hole Real Estate & 2019 Forecast

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Market Analysis

Real Estate Sales in Jackson Hole – Past 5 years

The Jackson Hole real estate market’s 5 year history goes something like this….

The market spiked significantly from 2014 to 2015 with sales increasing slightly (4%) and dollar volume jumping by 23.5%. Then in 2016 sales slowed and overall dollar volume dropped 15%. Many argued we had reached the “peak” in 2015. In 2017, sales dropped again, but this time dollar volume actually increased, meaning while fewer properties were selling, they were selling for higher prices. I’m not sure anyone anticipated what we saw in 2018. Transactions increased by 13%, but dollar volume increased by a staggering 38% over 2017. As we saw above, many of the additional sales and much of the dollar volume occurred at the higher end of the market, pulling the overall average sales price up 22% in one year.

Inventory Trends – Past 5 years

Inventory levels spiked in 2015, when 739 new listings hit the Jackson Hole market. While 2018 saw a slight increase from the low levels of 2016-2017, homebuyers still had 100 fewer choices in 2018 than in 2015. Inventory levels can influence sale numbers and the ratio between the two can indicate the level of competitiveness in the market. In 2015, there was 1.58 new listings for every property sold. In 2018, there were only 1.27 new listings for every property sold. If the trend of increasing sales (as we saw in 2018) continues, and inventory levels remain low, expect values and prices to continue to increase into 2019.

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2019 Forecast

What will happen next? Is this growth sustainable? Can we expect to see values increase another 20% next year?

In looking into my crystal ball, I do not foresee a crash or significant downturn in 2019 in our market, given Jackson Hole’s unique relationship between supply and demand. On the supply side limited developable land remains (only 3% of all land is privately owned and many of those lands are permanently in conservation) resulting in slim potential for future new inventory. Additionally, “shadow inventory” remains hidden as would be home sellers have nothing to buy. On the other side, demand continues to remain strong. In an age when people can work remotely and live where ever they like, more and more people want to call Jackson Hole home (why wouldn’t they?). A volatile stock market may also increase demand as investors look to put their money in safer investments (i.e. Jackson Hole real estate). That being said, I have to anticipate that the explosive increases of 2018 will need to slow. I have a hard time believing we will see a similar scale of appreciation in 2019. We may see a tempering of the recent fast-paced increases as we did after the previous spike in 2015.  Stay tuned….

Advice for Sellers in 2019:

Price your property in-line with market comps. Depending on your property type/price point, the time for “testing” the market may be coming to an end.

You may need to focus on a procuring solid sale, rather than necessarily getting top dollar.

Prepare your home for sale: de-clutter, clean up, work on deferred maintenance items, etc.

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Advice for Buyers in 2019:

Know the market – What are the recent comps? How are current inventory levels?

Realize some sellers may be feeling bold after 2018 and pricing their properties aggressively.

Recognize a good/fair deal and be ready to act quickly.

Be prepared to make a strong offer as well priced properties will continue to draw a lot of attention.

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Note: All statistics are pulled from Teton Board of Realtors Multiple Listing Service for residential sales/listings in Teton County, WY for the dates specified above. It is estimated that sales outside of MLS account for an additional 10-20% of transactions/volume. Contact Katie for more details.

2018: Year End Review – Jackson Hole

2018: Transactions/Sales Volume – What Sold?

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$1,892,471

Average Sales Price

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$934,880,606

Total Sales Volume

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Market Analysis

Wow – what a year! The real estate market in 2018 saw nearly 500 transactions totaling $934 million in dollar volume*. To put that in perspective, compare it to last year, where 436 sales produced $676 million in sales volume. So, from 2017 to 2018, the number of real estate sales increased by 13% but the total dollar volume increased by 38%. So what does that tell us? Not only did more transactions occur, but they occurred a much higher prices. Another way to look at the trend is through the overall average sales price, which increased from $1,550,000 in 2017 to nearly $1,900,000 in 2018, an increase of 22%!

In comparing sale transactions quarter by quarter, 2018 outperformed 2017 in each quarter. Regarding sales volume, while 2018 started out slowly with slightly less volume than Q1 2017, the remainder of the year made up for it, especially in the second quarter when 2018 sales volume was double that of 2017.

So, in what price points did the additional sales occur in 2018? The majority (40%) of sales occurred in the $500,000 – $1 million range (the “local’s market”), a similar share seen in 2017. Sales in the $1-3 million range also grew at consistent levels, representing 35% of the all 2018 sales. The big shift in 2018, was a 47% decrease in sales under $500,000 (47 sales in 2018 vs. 69 in 2017) AND a significant increase in sales over $3 million. In 2018, there were 76 sales in excess of $3 million, representing 15% of all market sales. Compare that to 2017, when 41 sales occurred in this price range (and represented only 9% of all market sales).

*Note: All statistics are pulled from Teton Board of Realtors Multiple Listing Service for residential sales/listings in Teton County, WY for 2018. It is estimated that sales outside of MLS account for an additional 20% of transactions/volume. Contact Katie for more details.

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$1,090,510

Average Median Sales Price

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12%

of Sales were Land Lots

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2018: New Listing/Inventory Analysis

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$2,456,015

AvERAGE LIST PRICE

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$1,609,081,350

LIST PRICE Volume

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Market Analysis

After two years of declining or stable inventory, total new listings were up slightly in 2018. Despite the increase in listings this past year, inventory levels are still low compared to levels seen in 2015-2016. The timing of new listings to market was similar between 2017 and 2018, with the majority of new listings coming hitting the market in the second quarter (April/May/June), typically popular months for new listings. However, there was a surge of new listings in the 4th quarter in 2018, when 108 new properties came onto the market (vs. 79 in Q4 2017).

The 632 new properties that hit the market in 2018 totaled over $1.6 billion in dollar volume. The 3% increase in new listings spurred a 18.5% increase in overall listing volume. What does that tell us? Slightly more inventory was coming onto the market in 2018, but at much higher prices, as illustrated by a 15% increase in the average listing price in 2018. When comparing quarter by quarter, the average listing price was actually similar to 2017, with the exception of Q3 2018, when the average list price was $1 million higher than Q3 2017.

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$1,299,560

AvERAGE MEDIAN LIST PRICE

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$2,115,078

AVERAGE LIST PRICE For Land

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Note: All statistics are pulled from Teton Board of Realtors Multiple Listing Service for residential sales/listings in Teton County, WY for the dates specified above. It is estimated that sales outside of MLS account for an additional 10-20% of transactions/volume. Contact Katie for more details.

2018: Q4 Market Update & Review for Jackson Hole

Transactions/Sales Volume – What Sold?

$1,993,477

Average Sales Price

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$259,152,032

Total Sales Volume

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Market Analysis

Real estate transactions were up slightly in Q4 2018, recording 130 sales (vs. 123 in Q4 2017). In comparing month over month, even though 2018 saw a lower number of sales in both November and December, the 53 sales in October 2018 helped the 4th quarter overall. Sales volume in Q4 2018 was up 20% compared to Q4 2017, recording $260 million in sales. Even though 2018 ended quietlysales volume significantly exceeded volume in both October and November of 2017. The average sales price of Q4 2018 was just over $2 million, up 10% from Q4 2017, when the average sales price was $1.82 million. However, the median sales price was nearly identical between the fourth quarters of 2017 and 2018, suggesting that while the high end prices are getting higher, the remainder of the market values remained steady. The majority (37%) of sales in Q4 2018 occurred in the $1-3 million price point, helped by 25 new listings in this price segment in October alone. In Q4 2018, 46% of sales were for single family homes, with only 15% of sales representing vacant land (not surprising given the time of year).

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New Listings – What’s New?

$2,308,273

AvERAGE LIST PRICE

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$249,293,500

LIST PRICE Volume

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Market Analysis

New listing activity increased significantly from Q4 2017, with 108 new properties hitting the market in Oct/Nov/Dec 2018. New listings in 2018 outperformed 2017 in each month, resulting in an overall 37% increase in new listings in Q4 2018. Even more dramatic, the dollar volume of the new listings in Q4 2018 exceeded the volume in Q4 2017 by nearly $100 million, a staggering increase of 64%! New listing volume in 2018 significantly outperformed 2017 in every month including October, where sales volume was 2x that of 2017. As you can imagine, the average sales price in Q4 2018 increased significantly as well, up to $2.385 million from $1.97 million in Q4 2017. The median listing price fluctuated throughout the 4th quarter of 2018, following a similar trend to Q4 2017, with the exception of Dec 2018, which saw a median list price of nearly $2 million, the highest monthly median since Sept 2017.

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Note: All statistics are pulled from Teton Board of Realtors Multiple Listing Service for residential sales/listings in Teton County, WY for the dates specified above. It is estimated that sales outside of MLS account for an additional 10-20% of transactions/volume. Contact Katie for more details.