December sales lowest since Jan 2015 in Jackson Hole real estate market

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for January 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – Dec 2015:

  • 23 :: Total residential sale transactions (2nd lowest in past year)
  • $44,525,000 :: Total residential sales volume (another drop)
  • $1,935,000::  Average sales price of reported and unreported sales (back up after a dip last month)
  • 95% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (slight drop after many consistent months)
  • 217 ::  Average days on market prior to selling (identical to last month)

What it means:  Real estate sale transactions dropped off significantly in December, marking the lowest number of monthly sales since Jan 2015, and perhaps signaling a new trend of slowing real estate activity. Sales volume also declined again, representing the 3rd lowest levels seen in the past year.  The average sales price was back up near $2 million, a typical average price over the last several months. The ratio of sale price to listing price dropped slightly to 95% after 7 months at 96%, suggesting that recently buyers are purchasing property at more of a discount (on average). That being said however, 35% of all sales in December sold at, near, or above the listing price, including all 3 sales that occurred under $500,000.  Properties selling in December were, on average, on the market slightly longer than sales in the summer months. The 10 acre Forest Service parcel on North Cache finally sold after 910 days on the market (and after falling out of contract with several previous buyers).  Conversely there were also several property sales that occurred very quickly in December including a cabin on 3 acres in Red Top Meadows (listed for $489,000) and an Aspens one bedroom condo with a unique floor plan (listed for $405,000). Both properties sold in under 70 days from hitting the market. Well priced and high demand properties continue to sell quickly, however many aggressively priced properties are sitting on the market. Heading into 2016, I anticipate this trend to continue as Buyers continue to be motivated by value and are not ready or willing to pay more than a property is worth (based on the most recent market comps).

Transactions

Volume

AvgSalePrice

DOM

AspensCondo

Aspens Condo with unique floor plan sold quickly in December

 

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for January 2016.

 

 Thank you to all my clients and colleagues for making 2015 a great year in real estate. I was able to help 19 different buyers and sellers (15 shown) purchase or sell property in Teton County this past year.

2015NewYear

How can I help you buy or sell a home in 2016? 

New listings up slightly in December, but still very low

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for January 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

What’s new in Dec 2015? (New Listing Analysis)

  • 26 :: Total number of new listings in December
    • Average List Price: $2,400,000
  • 23 new residential properties (single family, condo, townhome)
    • Average List Price: $1,833,000
    • New listings already under contract or sold: 4
  • 3 new building sites
    • Average List Price: $1,970,000
    • New listings already under contract or sold: 1

What it means: New listings picked up slightly in December, but still remained low. With only 26 new listings, December 2015 marked the second slowest month for new listings in the past year (November 2015 was the lowest with only 18 new listings). While winter is usually a slower time for new inventory, the small up tick in December could be explained by sellers’ motivation to list their properties in time for the holiday rush of visitors and skiers (potential real estate buyers).  In particular, 10 of the new listings in December were in Teton Village including a rarely listed 5 bedroom Snow Ridge condo for $1,600,000, which went under contract in early January. The average sales price of new listings increased for the second month in a row, jumping up to nearly $2 million, in part thanks to 2 high end land listings, both with Flat Creek frontage, but in different parts of the Valley. A 35 acre parcel in the Flat Creek Fishing Club Subdivision south of Jackson was listed for $5.65 million and a 1.17 acre lot in Shooting Star at the base of Jackson Hole Mountain Resort was listed for $2.85 million in December (pictured below).  As of Jan 10th, just under 20% of these new listings are pending or sold (down from nearly 30% in November), suggesting that many of the new listings prices may be a bit above market. Due to the low sales in December (see Summary section above), new inventory slightly outpaced inventory leaving the market (i.e. sales). While low inventory levels usually contribute to rising values, it’s becoming apparent that buyers are not willing to “buy just to buy” and are holding out for well-priced properties. It will be interesting to see the pricing trends of new inventory hitting the market in 2016, and to see if Sellers are still holding on to 2015 values (which were some of the highest seen since the peak in 2007) or if we will see sale and listing prices leveling off in the New Year.  That being said, now may be a great time to sell a property as there is little new inventory coming onto the market at competitive prices. (Please contact me for a free in-depth analysis on the current market value of your property.) 

Notable new listings in December include:

  • Two bedroom/one bath townhome with garage in Cottonwood Park – $499,000
  • Completely re-built 2 bedroom home on the Village Road – $950,000 (pictured below)
  • Four bedroom, true ski-in/ski-out home in Teton Village – $9.5 million

Click HERE to view all new December residential listings.

Click HERE to view all new December land listings.

NewListings

New.v.Sold

AVSP.NewV.Sale

ShootingStarLot

Lot for Sale in Shooting Star development – $2.85 million

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for January 2016.

2015NewYear

Thank you to all my clients and colleagues for making 2015 a great year in real estate. I was able to help 19 different buyers and sellers (15 shown) purchase or sell property in Teton County this past year.

How can I help you buy or sell a home in 2016? 

Sales Volume drops significantly in November in Jackson Hole real estate market

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for Dec 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – Nov 2015:

  • 41 :: Total residential sale transactions (down for the second month)
  • $52,500,000 :: Total residential sales volume (a BIG drop from the last few months)
  • $1,280,000::  Average sales price of reported and unreported sales (down after many months near $2m)
  • 96% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (consistent for past 7 months)
  • 216 ::  Average days on market prior to selling (up for second month in a row)

What it means:  Real estate sale transactions dipped again in November after a busy Fall season. Sales volume dropped off significantly in November, representing only half of sales volumes seen this summer.  The average sales price also decreased significantly, down nearly 35% from the averages of Aug-Sept-Oct. Properties are consistently selling, on average, at 96% of the current listing price. That being said there were several properties that sold this month for significantly less than their original listing price including a 2 bedroom home in Rafter J that sold for $50,000 less than the listing price, a Moosecreek townhome in Teton Village that sold at 90% of list price and a property at the base of Snow King, which sold for nearly $200,000 less than its original listing price. Properties that sold in November were, on average, on the market longer than sales in the previous 2 months. in particular, a unique distressed property (short sale) on Fish Creek Road finally sold after being on the market for over 2 years (pictured below).  That being said, there were 12 properties that sold in November (29% of all sales) after less than 3 months on the market, including a 3 bedroom condo at Snow King with short term rental zoning, which had multiple offers in the first few days and sold for $15,000 OVER the listing price. Bottom line: Well priced properties continue to sell quickly, while aggressively priced properties sit on the market and/or eventually sell at deep discounts. This demonstrates that Buyers are ready to buy but are motivated by value and are not willing to over pay for a property.

Transactions

Volume

AverageSalePrice

AvgDaysonMkt

FishCreek

Unique Property on Fish Creek Rd – a short sale that finally sold after 2+ years on market

 

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for December 2015.

 

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Single family home sales drop in November, as condo/townhomes sales surge

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for Dec 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

What Sold in Nov 2015? 

  • 46% :: Percentage of single family home sales (sharp drop)
  • 46% :: Percentage of condo/townhome sales (huge increase this month)
  • 8% :: Percentage of Land Sales (another decrease)
  • 37% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for over $1 million (large drop from last 3 months)
  • 63% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $1 million (up significantly from last few months)
  • 20% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $500,000 (up from last month)

What it means: After two strong months, single family home sales dropped significantly in November, representing less than 1/2 of all sales in Teton County. On the other hand, condo/townhome sales increased significantly last month, accounting for nearly 1/2 of all sales in November and marking the highest monthly percentage seen in the past year. The higher than usual condo/townhome sales helps explain the lower sales volume and lower average sales price (see Summary above), as most condo sales are in the lower price points.  In particular, there were 9 condo sales under $600,000 last month including two condos in the Aspens, selling for $55,000 and $70,000 under list price. There were also several high-end condo sales over $1 million including a townhome in Teton Pines, a Moose Creek townhome in Teton Village and a penthouse unit at Teton Mountain Lodge, which sold for just under $2.3 million (pictured below).   Building lot sales took yet another dip as many potential lot buyers are most likely waiting until after winter to make a purchase so that they can break ground after the spring thaw. Properties selling for over $1 million also took a sharp drop in November, representing less than 40% of all sales – the second lowest percentage seen in the last 6 months. Again, this is connected to the higher than usual condo/townhome sales. Last month there were only 3 sales over $3 million including homes in 3 Creek Ranch, Teton Village and Tucker Ranch. Conversely, there were 8 sales under $500,000, representing 20% of all sales, an increase after several months of up and down. Last month, we saw a rarity: two single family home sales under $500,000 – a 1 bedroom 626 sq ft home on Aspen Drive (technically zoned a townhome) and a log home up in Moran, which sold for $490,000.

Over1m

Under500

PropertyType

Penthouse

Penthouse in Teton Mountain Lodge in Teton Village – Sold in Nov 2015

 

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for December 2015.

 

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New Listings in November are lowest seen in past year in Jackson Hole

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for December 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

What’s new in Nov 2015? (New Listing Analysis)

  • 18 :: Total number of new listings in November
    • Average List Price: $1,400,000
  • 15 new residential properties (single family, condo, townhome)
    • Average List Price: $922,000
    • New listings already under contract or sold: 4
  • 3 new building sites
    • Average List Price: $1,900,000
    • New listings already under contract or sold: 1

What it means: November saw the fewest new listings hit the market in the past 12 months. On par with last November, this month typically sees very little new inventory. The average listing price of new inventory was higher than usual in November, thanks to 3 new lot listings over $1 million, with one over $3 million. Note that the average listing price of residential listing (not including land) was under $1 million.  As of December 10th, nearly 30% of these new listings are under contract or sold, illustrating that well priced listings are being snatched up very quickly. Given the low level of new inventory, sales last month exceed new listings for the first time since last November. Despite the opening of the Jackson Hole Mountain Ski Resort and the influx of visitors expected for the holidays, it’s apparent that very few sellers are entering the market. That being said, now may be a great time to sell a property as there is little to no new inventory (i.e. competition) coming onto the market. (Please contact me for a free in-depth analysis on the current market value of your property.) 

Notable new listings in November include:

  • Rare Creekside townhome on the creek – 3 bed / 2.5 bath / 2 car garage: $597,500
  • Three new Aspens condos (2-4 bedrooms) starting at $616,500 (one pictured below)
  • Half acre lot in Teton Village, currently the least expensive in the area: $1,350,000

Click HERE to view all new November residential listings.

Click HERE to view all new November land listings.

NewListings

NewVOld

Aspens

New Listing: 4 bdrm / 2 bath Aspen condo $749,000

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for December 2015.

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Rate of new inventory continues to decline, now matches rate of inventory selling in Jackson Hole real estate market

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for October 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

What’s new in October 2015? (New Listing Analysis)

  • 46 :: Total number of new listings in Oct
    • Average List Price: $1,118,000
  • 36 new residential properties (single family, condo, townhome)
    • Average List Price: $1,300,000
    • New listings already under contract or sold: 4
  • 10 new building sites
    • Average List Price: $935,000
    • New listings already under contract or sold: 1

What it means: New listings hitting the market each month continue to drop since the height of the listing season in June, however compared to October 2014, we did see more new listings this year (36 v 46). The average listing price of new inventory dropped in October and was the lowest average in the past 8 months (see chart below). As of November 10th, only 11% of these new listings are under contract or sold. Compare that to last month where nearly 30% of the September new listings were under contract by mid October. The rate of new inventory coming onto the market in October was identical to inventory leaving the market (i.e. sales). This is the first time since November 2014 that new listings have NOT exceeded sales in any given month (see chart below). Fewer and fewer sellers choose to list their property in the winter months, believing that their property will show much better during the spring/summer when everything is green. That being said, now may be a great time to sell a property as there is not much new inventory (i.e. competition) coming onto the market. (Please contact me for a free in-depth analysis on the current market value of your property.) 

Notable new listings in October include:

  • A 2 bed / 2 bath single family home with 1 car garage and fenced backyard in Town: $607,500
  • Two building sites in Kelly with direct Teton views: $479,000 each
  • A 6,500 sq ft modern designed house atop Spring Creek Ranch: $15,000,000 (pictured below)

Click HERE to view all new October residential listings.

Click HERE to view all new October land listings.

NewListings

NewVSoldListings

SoldvNew

SpringCreek

Modern Home in Spring Creek – Listing in October for $15,000,000

 

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for November 2015.

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Sales under $500,000 hit new low in Jackson Hole real estate market

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for October 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

What Sold in Oct 2015? 

  • 61% :: Percentage of single family home sales (another increase)
  • 26% :: Percentage of condo/townhome sales (similar to last month)
  • 13% :: Percentage of Land Sales (another decrease)
  • 61% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for over $1 million (highest % in last 2 years)
  • 39% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $1 million (down again from last month)
  • 13% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $500,000 (lowest % in last 2 years)

What it means: Single family home sales increased again after a spike in September, representing just over 60% of all sales in October in Teton County. Last month, 21 of the 28 sales over $1 million were for single family homes, while only 7 single family homes sold under the $1 million mark. Condo/townhome sales remained consistent, representing a quarter of all sales last month. The most expensive condo sale was a 1,600 sq foot unit at the Pearl at Jackson building in Town, which sold for just under $1.5 million. Building lot sales took another dip after an increasing trend seen throughout the summer months. Many potential lot buyers are most likely waiting until closer to spring to allow them to break ground soon after the purchase. Properties selling for over $1 million continue to rise, reaching another high last month accounting for over 60% of all transactions –  the highest percentage recorded in the last 2 years! There were several notable high-end sales in October including a 6,600 sq ft estate in 3 Creek Ranch, which was listed for $14.9 million and sold for an undisclosed amount (pictured below). Conversely, sales under $500,000 continue to follow a downward trend. In October, there were 6 property sales under the half million mark, representing only 13% of all sales – the lowest percentage seen in the past 2 years! The least expensive condo sale in October was a 2 bedroom unit in the Hillside Business Complex south of Town, which sold for $230,000 cash, as no bank would provide a loan for the condo given its location in an industrial park. In October, we saw a rare occurrence – the sale of a single family home in Teton County for UNDER $500,000. The 1,600 sq ft home was located at Hoback Junction (backing up to the highway) and needed quite a bit of work.

Over1m

Under500

PropType

3Creek

3 Creek Ranch Estate – listed for $14.9 million – sold for an undisclosed price

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for November 2015.

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October real estate transactions and volume dipped slightly, but remain strong in Jackson Hole market

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for October 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – Oct 2015:

  • 46 :: Total residential sale transactions (down slightly after 2 high months)
  • $89,000,000 :: Total residential sales volume (including unreported sale prices)
  • $1,940,000::  Average sales price of reported and unreported sales (similar to last month)
  • 96% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (consistent for past 6 months)
  • 196 ::  Average days on market prior to selling (back up after a low month in Sept)

What it means:  After a very strong performance in August and September, both real estate transactions and sales volume dipped slightly in October, but remained robust. Sales transactions in October were the fifth highest in the past 12 months, while sales volume (including unreported sale prices*) was the fourth highest in the previous year. The average sales price in Teton County remained consistent with the past 2 months, hovering just under $2 million. Properties continue to sell, on average, at a 4% discount to the current listing price.  The average days a property sits on the market before selling increased slightly after a low in September and is right near the 12-month average of 193 days. In particular, there were 3 properties that sold last month after more than 2 years on the market, including a Bed and Breakfast on Teton Village Road, that sold for 97% of its original listing price when it first came onto the market back in July 2013. We continue to see well priced and/or in high demand properties selling very quickly and close to asking price. In October, 16 of the 46 sales (35% of all sales) closed within 3 months of being listed. Additionally, 7 sales in October sold at or ABOVE the listing price, including a rare Grand Teton National Park in-holding, which sold for $1.795m after 150 days on the market.

*Note that in previous reports, I separately tracked sales that were reported to the MLS and transactions where the sales price was withheld from the MLS. Lately, there have been several significant sales each month that are not reported to the MLS. Given that these undisclosed sales are a valuable component in tracking the overall market trends, going forward, I will be reporting the COMBINED total sales volume and average sales prices, including those sales reported to the MLS and making an estimate for sale prices not reported to the MLS.

Transactions

Volume

AverageSalesPrice

DaysonMarket

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for November 2015.

 

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Entry level options disappear as upper-end home sales increase – Quarterly Update from The Jackson Hole Report

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Entry level home options (under $500,000) have all but disappeared in the Jackson Hole real estate market, while upper-end home sales (over $1 million) see impressive increases amid the recovery. 

The Jackson Hole Report, a quarterly market report prepared by my colleague David Viehman at RE/MAX Obsidian Real Estate, provides insights into the local real estate market through the end of the 3rd quarter. Click HERE to read the full 2015 Q3 Report.

After the first 9 months of 2015, the trend in the Jackson Hole real estate market seems to be this: the more expensive the price point of the home, the greater the increase in sale transactions and sales volume. Home sales over $1 million are up 27%; home sales over $3 million are up 36%; and homes selling for over $5 million are up a whopping 200% compared to this time last year.

Conversely, homes for sale under $500,000 are a thing of the past. For only the second time in Jackson Hole’s history, there are ZERO single family homes for sale under $500,000. The least expensive single family home for sale in Teton County is a 584 sq ft log cabin with a loft bedroom on 2.24 acres in Red Top Meadows, priced at $545,000. These prices push many first time homebuyers into the condo/townhome market, where less than half of the 24 condo/townhomes listed for sale under $500,000 have a garage. Even with low interest rates, Buyers still need to come up with a $75,000 – $100,000 down payment to avoid costly private mortgage insurance.

OVERALL MARKET

Compared to last year, the first 9 months of 2015 continued to show signs of a bullish market recovery with increases across the entire real estate market.

  • Number of Sale Transactions are up 11%
  • Overall dollar volume rose 40%
  • Average Sale Price increased by 27%
  • Nearly half (47%) of real estate transactions in Jackson Hole through Q3 2015 were cash sales (i.e. no financing)
  • 51% of available listings are priced under $1 million, with only 11% of all inventory priced under $500,000
  • Overall available inventory rose slightly (2%), with an average listing price of $2.7 million, however available inventory under $1 million continues to decline
  • High end sales are experiencing tremendous growth with a 66% increase in sales. Notably, 26 sales have occurred over $5 million, up 200% from last year.
ShootingStar

Shooting Star Cabin at the base of Jackson Hole Mountain Resort – listed for $5.5 million and sold for an undisclosed price

SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

  • Single family home sales continue to gain steam, with transactions up 7% and dollar volume up 41%
  • Average Sale Price increased 32%
  • The $500,000 – $1 million segment saw the most sales (77) through the 3rd quarter, while the $1 -2 million range fared well too, with 62 sales so far this year
  • Most (28%) single family home sales occurred in the Town of Jackson, while 15 homes have sold in Rafter J in 2015
  • Available single family home listings are up 9%, with homes over $1 million up 11%, however the average listing price actually dipped 3% compared to this time last year
RafterJKingEider

Newly built home in Rafter J’s King Eider neighborhood was the most expensive sale in Rafter J in 2015, selling for more than $900,000

CONDO/TOWNHOME

  • Overall condo sales are up 7%, with condo sales over $1 million up 235%!
  • Condos and townhomes in Teton Village and Shooting Star accounted for 2/3 of the sales over $1 million
  • Average Sale Price is up 29%
  • Available inventory increased 25%, however inventory levels are still hovering at an eight year low
  • Active condo listings under $500,000 are down 61% compared to the high inventory levels seen in 2009
  • There are 24 available condos priced under $500,000, with only 3 condos are priced under $300,000
Pondo

2 bdrm condo in Town is one of only 3 available under $300,000

VACANT LAND

  • Lot sales continue to increase, with a 20% increase in transactions and a 54% increase in dollar volume compared to Q3 2014
  • Average Sale Price is up 29%
  • The majority (53%) of single family lot sales were over $1 million
  • Vacant land listings under $500,000 are disappearing, with only 13 currently on the market.

marketreport

As a first time home buyer in today’s market, it may seem that prices and values are becoming out of reach. Even as a seasoned home buyer, it is obvious that you can’t get as much as you once could in any given price range. That being said, there are still opportunities out there, with many not listed in the MLS. If you are an active buyer, or looking to get into the Jackson Hole real estate market, please connect with me for an honest and comprehensive analysis of the current buying opportunities in our market.

As a Seller, the best strategy is to price your property competitively (based on the most comparable sales) and market it effectively. If you are interested in a learning what your property could sell for in this market, please connect with me for a free, in-depth, data-driven market analysis.

Nearly 30% of new September inventory in Jackson Hole is already under contract

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for October 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

What’s new in September 2015? (New Listing Analysis)

  • 60 :: Total number of new listings in Sept (following a downward trend)
    • Average List Price: $1,945,000
  • 50 new residential properties (single family, condo, townhome)
    • Average List Price: $1,690,000
    • New listings already under contract or sold: 14
  • 10 new building sites
    • Average List Price: $2,200,000
    • New listings already under contract or sold: 2

What it means: New listings have been steadily declining since the height of the listing season in June.  In the month of September, properties were being listed at a rate similar to before the busy summer selling season, (however when compared to this time last year, we did see roughly 10 more new listings). As of October 15th, nearly 30% of the new listings were under contract including several that received multiple offers within days of hitting the market.  As the rate of new inventory coming onto the market slowed in September, it came close to matching the monthly sales for September, meaning that every property that sold last month is being replaced by a new listing. For most of the summer the average listing price of these new listings was higher than the average sales price of properties that sold that month. In other words the “replacement” property was coming on line at a much higher price than those properties that were leaving the market, which arguably contributes to an increasing market. That trend changed in August and September as the listing prices of new inventory was roughly in line with sales, suggesting that the market may be slowing a bit (see chart below).

Notable new listings in September include:

  • A duplex in West Jackson: Two 3 bed / 1 bath units with fenced yard and room to build garage $775,000
  • A bank-owned 3,200 square foot home overlooking Town on Budge Drive: $1,195,000 (pictured below)
  • A 37 acre home site in Bar B Bar on the Snake River: $11,900,000

Click HERE to view all new September residential listings.

Click HERE to view all new September land listings.

NewListings

New.v.Sold

AVSP.NewVsSold

BudgeDr

Multi-level bank owned home on Budge Dr overlooking Town $1,195,000

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for October 2015.

 

Over 40% of property sales last month sold in less than 90 days – Would you like to be notified as soon as a new listing hits the market in a particular location or price range?

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