2019 Jackson Hole Real Estate Summary & 2020 Forecast

Summary: Jackson Hole Real Estate & 2020 Forecast

[siteorigin_widget class=”SiteOrigin_Widget_Image_Widget”][/siteorigin_widget]
[siteorigin_widget class=”SiteOrigin_Widget_Image_Widget”][/siteorigin_widget]
[siteorigin_widget class=”SiteOrigin_Widget_Image_Widget”][/siteorigin_widget]

Market Analysis

Real Estate Sales in Jackson Hole – Past 5 years

We all remember 2018 in the Jackson Hole real estate market, right? An explosive year where everything was up, way up! Transactions increased 13%, while overall sales volume jumped a staggering 38%, and the average sale price was up 22%. What a year! Could it continue? Surely this level of appreciation wasn’t sustainable? Many predicted a recession, or a the very least a stabilization after such a wild year. Well, the 2019 market in Jackson Hole did slow down, but just a bit. While not a significant correction like many were hoping / predicting, the numbers show that 2018 was most likely a “peak” year. With a similar level of sales in 2019, dollar volume decreased 6% and the average sale price dropped 4.5%. The median sale price increased, recording its highest mark in the last 5 years but that is more likely an indication of the “Virginian Village effect” (see sales section above) then a result of increasing sale prices. New this year, I analyzed properties that sold at or above their listing prices, which can help us understand overall demand, as these sales are usually a result of multiple and/or quick offers. In each year since 2016, more and more properties have sold at or above the asking price, peaking in 2018 at 114 property sales (nearly 1 in every 4 sales!). In 2019, with a similar level of overall sales, 87 properties sold at or above their listing price (or roughly 1 in every 6 properties). While not a drastic change, this is another indicator of demand slowing down from the highs of 2018.

Inventory Trends – Past 5 years

After peaking in 2015 (739 new listings), the amount of new inventory entering the market constricted in 2016, down 16% percent. New listing levels have been increasing year-over-year since 2017, recently up 10% from 2018 to 2019 (696 new listings) – marking the most significant increase in over 5 years. After seeing what the market did in 2018, sellers may have wanted to take advantage and cash out, listing their property for sale in 2019. When more inventory (supply) enters the market, this can put downward pressure on pricing, perhaps explaining the slight decline in both sales volume and average sales prices in 2019. Obviously this isn’t true for the entire market, as certain pockets (Town under $1.3 million for example) continue to see high demand (and increasing prices). However, even though there were more listings in 2019, we saw the same amount of sales as 2018 (with fewer new listings), perhaps as some potential buyers sat on the sidelines waiting for a larger market correction.

[siteorigin_widget class=”SiteOrigin_Widget_Image_Widget”][/siteorigin_widget]
[siteorigin_widget class=”SiteOrigin_Widget_Cta_Widget”][/siteorigin_widget]
[siteorigin_widget class=”SiteOrigin_Widget_Image_Widget”][/siteorigin_widget]
[siteorigin_widget class=”SiteOrigin_Widget_Image_Widget”][/siteorigin_widget]
[siteorigin_widget class=”SiteOrigin_Widget_Image_Widget”][/siteorigin_widget]
[siteorigin_widget class=”SiteOrigin_Widget_Image_Widget”][/siteorigin_widget]

2020 Forecast

After a exceptionally strong 2018, I predicted that the unprecedented rate of market acceleration could not continue (see my 2019 forecast). After seeing things slow a bit in 2019, what will 2020 bring? Will things continue to slow or plateau like 2019 or will high demand for Jackson Hole properties once again push pricing upward?

Talks of a pending recession still abound, but will it happen in Jackson? It seems unlikely. Jackson Hole remains a highly desirable place to live for year round families and second homeowners alike. As more and more people can work remotely, many want to make living the dream in Jackson Hole a reality. That will probably never change. As people continue to move here, they will continue to compete for properties with the local buyers. Unfortunately, this can lead to the local working people getting squeezed – beaten out by cash offers and buyers willing to pay over market value to get their spot in Jackson Hole. I predict it getting continually harder and harder for local buyers to enter the market, and increasingly difficult to move up in the market (without taking on a higher mortgage in the process).

There is always uncertainty with an election year. Add to that global trade talks and impeachment hearings and many people are holding their breath and watching the market closely. That being said, many investors are cash heavy, waiting for any recession induced opportunities, suggesting that any slight down turn will be immediately buoyed by an increase in demand.

In a unique market like Jackson Hole, where the supply of land is permanently limited due to publicly held land and  conservation easements, it’s hard to imagine we will see enough new supply (or a decrease in demand) to result in any significant downtown. Happy 2020!

 

Advice for Sellers in 2020:

Know how your property’s “micro-market”. Certain segments of the market are seeing different levels of demand. Be familiar with recent comps, but even more importantly, current inventory / competition in your segment.

Be prepared for multiple or quick offers in certain segments. Think about what terms are most important to you. Focus on buyer’s enthusiasm and ability to preform.

Prepare your home for sale: de-clutter, clean up, work on deferred maintenance items, etc. Move in ready and remodeled properties are receiving the most attention. Discuss which (if any) updates will produce a higher return.

[siteorigin_widget class=”SiteOrigin_Widget_Button_Widget”][/siteorigin_widget]

Advice for Buyers in 2020:

Know and follow the market. What are the recent comps? How are current inventory levels? What types of properties are selling quickly?

Recognize a good/fair deal and be ready to act quickly as inventory in certain segments remains low. Know that there are many buyers for the same property. How will you position yourself to be the best candidate in a multiple offer situation?

If you need to sell to buy, prepare your home now so that you will be ready to list as soon as you find the right property. Be prepared for things to move quickly when that happens.

[siteorigin_widget class=”SiteOrigin_Widget_Button_Widget”][/siteorigin_widget]
Note: All statistics are pulled from Teton Board of Realtors Multiple Listing Service for residential sales/listings in Teton County, WY for the dates specified above. It is estimated that sales outside of MLS account for an additional 10-20% of transactions/volume. Contact Katie for more details.

High-end building sites hit the market in August in Jackson real estate market

The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for Sept 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

What’s new in Aug 2016? (New Listing Analysis)

  • 77 :: Total number of new listings in Aug
    • Total New Listing Volume: $244,036,000
    • Average List Price: $3,169,000
  • 44 new residential properties (single family, condo, townhome)
    • Average List Price: $2,746,000
    • New listings already under contract or sold: 11
  • 33 new building sites
    • Average List Price: $3,733,000
    • New listings already under contract or sold: 3

What it means: The amount of new listings hitting the market has been slowly declining from the peak in May. However, thanks to an influx of vacant lots hitting the market in August, overall new listing levels saw an uptick last month. Fourteen land parcels at the Snake River Sporting Club, a golf and equestrian community south of Jackson, hit the market in August. Note that without these new lot additions to the inventory, overall new listings in August would have followed the declining trend seen over the last few months. The total dollar volume of new listings increased significantly after a slow July, as a result of several high priced lot listings across the Valley. In addition to the 14 lots listed for sale down in the Snake River Sporting Club (10 of which were 35 acre ranch parcels listed between $1.7mm-$2.7mm), there were also two 35 acre parcels listed in the Bar BC Ranch ($8.9 & $9.9 million) and four tracts making up the 580 acre Spring Gulch Ranch ranging in price from $10.9mm – $14.5mm. It’s no surprise that the average listing price in August topped $3 million, easily the highest average monthly listing price in the past year.  With the help of these lot listings, August’s new inventory is in line with new inventory levels seen in the past 2 years. While these new listings will no doubt help the overall low inventory levels, it’s also important to note what new inventory is NOT coming onto the market. Only 10 of the new listings in August (less than 20% of all listings) were priced under $700,000, with 4 of them already under contract (as of Sept 10th). On the other hand, 35 new listings in August (or 45% of all new listings) were priced in excess of $2 million.   

Notable new listings in August include:

  • Rarely listed Golf Creek condo at JH Golf & Tennis – $795,000
  • Nearly 10,000 sq foot home in the Gill Addition backing up to the Elk Refuge – $7,500,000
  • 13 acres atop Horse Creek Mesa with nearby Forest Service access – $350,000
  • Largest lot in Stilson Ranch (7 acres) along the Village Rd – $2,900,000

Click HERE to view all new August residential listings.

Click HERE to view all new August land listings.

newlistings

newlistingvol

newlistingavsp

newlistingbymonth

 

What Is Your Home Worth?

Curious about the value of your home? Complete the Home Valuation Request form to receive an estimate of the market value of your home. 

 placeit (3)

Featured Listings

Browse Katie’s “Top Picks” for current values in the Jackson Hole real estate market. Updated with new listings weekly. Browse now.

New listings slow, overall inventory very low in Jackson Hole real estate market

The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for Aug 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

What’s new in July 2016? (New Listing Analysis)

  • 73 :: Total number of new listings in July
    • Total New Listing Volume: $133,226,000
    • Average List Price: $1,825,000
  • 58 new residential properties (single family, condo, townhome)
    • Average List Price: $1,677,000
    • New listings already under contract or sold: 13
  • 15 new building sites
    • Average List Price: $2,393,000
    • New listings already under contract or sold: 3

What it means: The amount of new inventory hitting the market is slowly declining from the peak in May, with 73 new listings coming online in July. The dollar volume of July’s new listings also declined, making up only 1/2 of the new listing volume from June. (Remember that June’s new listing volume was inflated due to 2 very high-end properties hitting the market for a combined $81 million, however even after removing these two outliers, listing volume in July was still down roughly $30 million from June.) Even though we’ve seen close to 300 new properties hit the market this summer, current inventory levels are the lowest since the peak of the real estate market in 2007. New inventory in 2016 has lagged both 2014 and 2015 numbers in nearly every month of the year (see chart below).  While the average listing price of new lots remained above $2 million, the average listing price of homes dropped significantly from June to July, mostly as a result of those two high-end listings in June.  Six condos priced under $500,000 hit the market in July, including a one bedroom end unit in the Berry Patch in The Aspens, listed for $435,000. On the other end of the spectrum, 8 homes priced between $3-6 million came onto the market in July, including homes in Tucker Ranch, Teton Pines and Jackson Hole Golf & Tennis. Many buyers continue to move quickly on well priced inventory, as over 20% of July’s new listings are already sold or have sales pending (by Aug 10th).   

Notable new listings in July include:

  • Two 1 bedroom condos close to downtown Jackson – $320,000 – $325,000
  • 40 acres bordering National Forest in Squaw Creek – $895,000
  • New Construction in “downtown” Wilson – $1,795,000
  • Two 3,330 sq foot cabins at Shooting Star Resort – $4,500,000 each

Click HERE to view all new July residential listings.

Click HERE to view all new July land listings.

NewListingbyMonth

Property Search is Here!

Search ALL Teton County Listings: Single Family Homes, Condos, Vacant Land, Multi-family, Farm/Ranch, Commercial and Leases

  • Quick Search or Advanced Search capabilities 
  • Customizable Map Search
  • Search by MLS #, if you have a specific property in mind
  • Create your own saved searches

Search Jackson Hole Properties now.

placeit

Create & Manage Your Own Account

Save your favorite Jackson Hole Real Estate properties or create customized search criteria for personalized direct access.
Set up your account now.

 

What Is Your Home Worth?

Curious about the value of your home? Complete the Home Valuation Request form to receive an estimate of the market value of your home. 

 placeit (3)

Featured Listings

Browse Katie’s “Top Picks” for current values in the Jackson Hole real estate market. Updated with new listings weekly. Browse now.

“Middle Market” Hot: Half of all sales in July occur in $500,000 – $1,000,000 price range

The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for Aug 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

What Sold in July 2016?

  • 48% :: Percentage of single family home sales (back to average)
  • 39% :: Percentage of condo/townhome sales (similar to last month)
  • 13% :: Percentage of Land Sales (up after 2 low months)
  • 35% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for over $1 million (down from last month)
  • 65% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $1 million (up from last month)
  • 10% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $500,000 (down again)

What it means:  The breakdown of sales across property types returned to typical levels in July, with single family home sales representing just under 1/2 of all sales. Condos and townhome sales remained similar to last month, but were still a bit below average. Land sales picked up after two months of decline, most likely a result of low inventory levels (i.e. when buyers can’t find an existing house they desire, they may to turn to land to build what they want).  Entry level sales took another dip after starting out strong this past spring. Only 10% of all sales occurred under $500,000 in July, the second lowest percentage in the past year (see chart below). As prices continue to rise, the entry level market is shrinking. The hot spot this summer is proving to be the “middle market” ($500,000 – $1,000,000). In June, 36% of all sales occurred in this price range and in July this segment accounted for over 50% of all sales! Sales in this segment included several townhomes and single family homes in Rafter J and Cottonwood Park, which remain popular with local buyers. As a result, property sales over $1 million took a dip after increasing for two straight months, accounting for only 35% of all sales (vs. 45% in June). Further, there were zero high end property sales (defined as sales over $3 million) in July, the first such time this has occurred in the past 12 months. 

Walden Pond Twinhome in Rafter J – one of many sales in the mid market price range in July (listed by JH Sotheby’s)

 

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for Aug 2016.

Property Search is Here!

Search ALL Teton County Listings: Single Family Homes, Condos, Vacant Land, Multi-family, Farm/Ranch, Commercial and Leases

  • Quick Search or Advanced Search capabilities 
  • Customizable Map Search
  • Search by MLS #, if you have a specific property in mind
  • Create your own saved searches

Search Jackson Hole Properties now.

placeit

Create & Manage Your Own Account

Save your favorite Jackson Hole Real Estate properties or create customized search criteria for personalized direct access.
Set up your account now.

Sales and dollar volume down again, available inventory lowest since 2007: Mid Year update from The Jackson Hole Report

Sale transactions and dollar volume are down again in the second quarter of 2016, mostly due to dwindling well-priced inventory under $1 million.  The Jackson Hole Report, a quarterly market report prepared by my colleague David Viehman at RE/MAX Obsidian Real Estate, provides insights into the local real estate market through the end of the 2nd quarter 2016. Click HERE to read the full 2016 Mid Year Report. A summary of statistics/trends follows:

OVERALL MARKET

  • Total number of Sale Transactions are down 16%
  • Sales under $1 million are down 21%
  • Overall dollar volume is down 14%
  • Despite dwindling sales, the Average Sale Price increased by 3% in Q2 2016
  • Hot Price Point: Properties priced under $1 million, where 53% of the sales occurred in the second quarter
  • Hot Location: The Town of Jackson, which accounted for 35% of all sales in the second quarter
  • Overall inventory is down by 7% (compared to Q2 2015), representing the LOWEST inventory levels since the market peak in 2007

HIGH END MARKET

  • High-end property sales ($2+ million) were down 23% from Q2 2015
  • However, despite declining sales, high-end properties under contract have increased by 42%
  • There are 68 properties for sale over $5 million, an increase of 11%
  • The most expensive property for sale in Teton County is a 264 acre property just south of Wilson with 7,715 sq ft main house, guest house, and expansive frontage on both the Snake River and Fish Creek, listed for $53 million (pictured below)

264 acre property on Snake River & Fish Creek – $53 million (listed by JH Sotheby’s)

SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

  • Single family (SF) home sales in the second quarter were up only slightly (2%) from last year at this time
  • SF home sales over $1 million are up 18%, SF home sales over $3 million are up 43%
  • Overall SF home inventory is down 12%, with only 20% of listings priced under $1 million
  • Only 13 homes are available under $750,000, down 71% from this time last year
  • The average asking price of new listings is up 11% to $3.65 million – the second highest average ever!

Click HERE to view the 39 single family home listings priced under $1 million

3 bed / 2 bath in Cottonwood Park – $650,000 (Listed by JH Sotheby’s)

CONDO/TOWNHOME

  • Overall condo sales have slowed, down 6% from this time last year
  • Condo sales under $500,000 fell dramatically (down 32%)
  • Overall available inventory is up 10%, however inventory under $300,000 is down 71%
  • The average listing price for condo/townhomes is up 29%
  • 72% of available condos are priced under $1 million, with only 31% priced under $500,000

Click HERE to see the 26 condos/townhomes available under $500,000

Nelson

4 bedroom townhome in East Jackson – $499,000 (listed by RE/MAX Obsidian)

VACANT LAND

  • Lot sales are down significantly (55%) with only 28 sales in the first 6 months of 2016
  • However, the average sales price continues to climb, up 10% in Q2 2016
  • 64% of lot sales are purchased with cash (i.e. no financing)
  • Overall available inventory dipped 5% from Q2 2015, however the supply of lots remains high
  • NOTE: Supply exceeds demand in this segment, with 34 months of inventory currently on the market.
  • The majority of available lots (49) are in the $500,000 – $1 million price range.

 

WHAT TO DO NEXT? 

BUYERS: Given the low levels of available inventory, especially in the entry level market, well priced and well maintained properties will continue to sell quickly. Please connect with me so that I can alert you about soon-to-be-listed properties in your price range. You can also search Jackson Hole properties on my website or sign up for automatic listing updates. As a Buyer, it’s very important to be prepared to act quickly. Get pre-qualified with a local bank (contact me for a list of local lenders) in order to be ready to make an offer on a competitive property.

SELLERS: As a Seller, the best strategy is to price your property competitively (based on the most comparable sales) and market it effectively, as well priced properties can receive multiple offers. If you are interested in a learning what your property could sell for in this market, please complete the Home Valuation Request Form for a free, in-depth, data-driven market analysis.

Condos and Homes in the $500,000-$1,000,000 price range see increased activity in June

The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for July 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

What Sold in June 2016?

  • 55% :: Percentage of single family home sales (back up after low last month)
  • 38% :: Percentage of condo/townhome sales (down after high last month)
  • 7% :: Percentage of Land Sales (down for second month in a row)
  • 45% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for over $1 million (up again from last month)
  • 55% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $1 million (down again from last month)
  • 16% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $500,000 (half of last month)

What it means:  Single family homes sales are back up after a slow May, representing over half of all property sales in June.  Condos and townhome sales dipped after a strong showing in May.  Land sales declined again last month (only 4 sales in June), as many buyers focus their attention on the influx of existing homes and townhomes that have come onto the market in the last few months.  Entry level sales took a dip after a strong May, with only 15% of all sales occurring under $500,000 in June. The “hot spot” in June was the $500,000 – $1,000,000 price range, representing 36% of all sales last month. Sales in this segment included several vacation condos in The Aspens and Teton Village and several single family homes in Rafter J and Cottonwood Park, which are popular with local buyers. Property sales over $1 million increased for a second month in a row, accounting for 45% of all sales. High end property sales (defined as sales over $3 million) slowed in June as only 4 sales occurred in this price range (7% of all sales). Three of these high end sales were in Granite Ridge – 2 cabins (pictured below) and the last remaining undeveloped slopeside lot in the development. 

Under500

Over1m

PropertyType

Granite Ridge

One of 2 Granite Ridge cabins that sold in June (listed by JH Sotheby’s)

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for July 2016.

Property Search is Here!

Search ALL Teton County Listings: Single Family Homes, Condos, Vacant Land, Multi-family, Farm/Ranch, Commercial and Leases

  • Quick Search or Advanced Search capabilities 
  • Customizable Map Search
  • Search by MLS #, if you have a specific property in mind
  • Create your own saved searches

Search Jackson Hole Properties now.

placeit

Create & Manage Your Own Account

Save your favorite Jackson Hole Real Estate properties or create customized search criteria for personalized direct access.
Set up your account now.

April sees spike in Property Sales under $1 million in Jackson Hole real estate market

The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for May 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

What Sold in Apr 2016? 

  • 58% :: Percentage of single family home sales (3rd monthly increase)
  • 25% :: Percentage of condo/townhome sales (drop from last several month)
  • 17% :: Percentage of Land Sales (uptick from March)
  • 25% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for over $1 million (lowest since Jan 2015)
  • 75% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $1 million (highest since Jan 2015)
  • 20% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $500,000 (rebound from low last month)

What it means: Single family home sales continued to increase for the 3rd month in a row, representing over 1/2 of all sales in Teton County. Condo and townhome sales took a dip after several strong months in 2016. Land Sales increased in April as we get closer to the construction season.  The month of April saw many sales in the lower price ranges, with 75% of all sales occurring under $1 million, a level we haven’t seen in 15 months. In particular, there were 6 single family homes sales under $700,000 in April, quite the surge considering there are only 5 single family homes currently for sale in this price range (3 of which are in Moran, WY).  Conversely, property sales over $1 million only accounted for 1/4 of all sales last month. There were only 2 sales over $3 million in April (and 0 sales over $4 million) – compare that to the last several months where we have seen 4-5 sales between $3-$10 million.  After a 3 year low last month, property sales under $500,000 recovered in April representing 20% of all sales and included condos in Town and Teton Village, a lot in Teton Pines and a bank owned property in Moran that had been on the market for over a year.

Over1m

Under500

Breakdown

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for May 2016.

Thinking of listing this summer?

As we approach the busy selling season, Sellers will be in a great position to benefit from low inventory levels in the Jackson Hole market. If you are curious about the value of your property in the current market, please contact me for a free and accurate market analysis. Properties listed by May 25, 2016 will be included in our RE/MAX Obsidian Real Estate Summer Brochure!

Brochure-e1402338408759

New Listings continue to hit the market as busy summer selling season approaches in Jackson Hole

The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for May 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

What’s new in Apr 2016? (New Listing Analysis)

  • 54 :: Total number of new listings in April
    • Total New Listing Volume: $83,100,000
    • Average List Price: $1,540,000
  • 43 new residential properties (single family, condo, townhome)
    • Average List Price: $1,266,000
    • New listings already under contract or sold: 9
  • 11 new building sites
    • Average List Price: $2,600,000
    • New listings already under contract or sold: 0

What it means: New listing activity continued to increase as we approach the busy summer selling season. Fifty-four new properties (including both residential properties & building sites) hit the Teton County real estate market in April. After several months of lagging or matching the inventory levels seen in 2014 & 2015, April saw more new residential listings than in the previous years (see chart below). New listings in April continued to outpace sluggish sales levels, this time at a rate of 2.5 to 1. In April, there were 10 new condo/townhome listings under $750,000, lower than last month’s 17 new listings in this price range, but nonetheless adding much needed inventory to the entry level market. By March 10th, 4 of these new listings were already under contract, illustrating the continued high demand for properties in this price point. At the other end of the spectrum, 6 single family homes hit the market priced in excess of $2 million including homes in Jackson Hole Golf & Tennis, Teton Pines, Game Creek and an 8,300 sq foot home in Town overlooking the Elk Refuge (listed for $4.9m). The middle of the market saw quite a bit of new listing activity as 11 new single family home listings priced between $500,000 – $1,000,000 hit the market, including homes in Rafter J, Cottonwood Park, East Jackson, and a ranch style home on 5 acres south of Jackson (pictured below).  Nearly a dozen new lot listings were added to the inventory in April including 4 building sites in Saddle Butte, located just north of downtown, ranging from $788,000-$1,995,000.

Notable new listings in April include:

  • 3 bdrm condo at Snow King with short term rental income – $545,000
  • 3 bdrm remodeled townhome (with garage) at the base of Jackson Hole Mountain Resort – $1,275,000
  • Rafter J lot in the new King Eider subdivision – $349,000

Click HERE to view all new April residential listings.

Click HERE to view all new April land listings.

NewListings

NewListings2014-2016

Spoiled Horse

New Listing in Spoiled Horse subdivision – $849,000 – listed by RE/MAX Obsidian

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for May 2016.

Thinking of listing this summer?

As we approach the busy selling season, Sellers will be in a great position to benefit from low inventory levels in the Jackson Hole market. If you are curious about the value of your property in the current market, please contact me for a free and accurate market analysis. Properties listed by May 25, 2016 will be included in our RE/MAX Obsidian Real Estate Summer Brochure!

Brochure-e1402338408759

Sales and Volume decline in 2016, while affordable inventory dwindles – Quarterly Update from The Jackson Hole Report

Sale transactions and dollar volume are down in the first quarter of 2016 while available inventory in the entry level market dwindles, resulting in increased demand for well priced properties. The Jackson Hole Report, a quarterly market report prepared by my colleague David Viehman at RE/MAX Obsidian Real Estate, provides insights into the local real estate market through the end of the 1st quarter 2016. Click HERE to read the full 2016 Q1 Report. A summary of statistics/trends follows:

OVERALL MARKET

  • Total number of Sale Transactions are down 26%
  • Sales under $1 million are down 36%
  • Overall dollar volume is down 27%
  • Due to limited inventory, the Average Sale Price increased by 11% in Q1 2016
  • Hot Price Point: Properties priced between $1-3 million, where 40% of the sales occurred in the first quarter
  • Hot Location: The Westbank (including Teton Village) which accounted for 45% of all sales in the first quarter
CrystalSprings

Crystal Springs condo sold in Teton Village (listed by JH Sotheby’s)

HIGH END MARKET

  • While high-end property sales ($2+ million) were down 68% in the first quarter, there are 39 high-end properties under contract (an increase of 34%), with an average list price of more than $4.5 million
  • Available inventory of high end properties is up 20% compared to this time last year
  • There are 47 properties for sale over $5 million, an increase of 18%
  • The most expensive property for sale in Teton County is a 580 acre ranch (with 6 building sites), listed for $45 million (pictured below)
580Acres

580 acres available for sale off Spring Gulch Rd – $45 million (listed by Live Water Properties)

SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

  • Single family home sales in the first quarter were consistent with sales last year at this time
  • However, the average sale price increased 18% to $2.3 million
  • Single family home sales over $1 million are up 13%
  • Single family home sales over $3 million are up 100% compared to this time last year!
  • While over all single family inventory is up 8%, available homes under $1 million are at a 25 year low
  • Only 15% of available single family homes are priced under $1 million
  • Considering that 47 homes sold in this segment in 2015, there is less than 1 month of available inventory for home under $1 million.
  • Click HERE to view the 20 single family home listings priced under $1 million
HiddenRanch

Single family home available in Hidden Ranch – $925,000 (listed by JHREA)

CONDO/TOWNHOME

  • Overall condo sales are down 29%, with only 39 sales in the first 3 months of 2016
  • The average sales price dropped 11%, however the price of available inventory is up 38% – which represents the highest average condo list price since the start of the recession in 2008
  • Condo sales under $500,000 decreased by 39% in Q1 2016 due to low inventory levels
  • Condo listings under $500,000 sell in 86 days, on average, many times receiving multiple offers
  • Only 28% of available condos are priced under $500,000

VACANT LAND

  • Lot sales are down significantly (58%) with only 14 sales in the first quarter of 2016
  • Average sales price is up 16%
  • Overall available inventory dropped 5% from last year, however list prices remained consistent.
  • Available vacant land for sale under $500,000 is only 1/4 of what was available in 2013 & 2014.
  • Majority (71%) of vacant land buyers are second homeowners and/or retiring baby boomers.

marketreport

As we approach the busy summer listing/selling season, the amount (and price) of new inventory will dictate future market values. The law of supply and demand will especially affect the sub $1 million segment, where current supply levels are very low compared to 2015, representing only 2 months of inventory. Whether you are a first time or seasoned home buyer, there are still opportunities out there, with many not listed in the MLS. If you are an active buyer, or looking to get into the Jackson Hole real estate market, please connect with me for an honest and comprehensive analysis of the current buying opportunities in our market.

As a Seller, the best strategy is to price your property competitively (based on the most comparable sales) and market it effectively, as buyers continue to be motivated by finding a good value. If you are interested in a learning what your property could sell for in this market, please connect with me for a free, in-depth, data-driven market analysis.

Sales under $500,000 reach new low; account for only 8% of all sales in March

The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for April 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

What Sold in Mar 2016? 

  • 50% :: Percentage of single family home sales (another increase)
  • 37.5% :: Percentage of condo/townhome sales (similar to last month)
  • 12.5% :: Percentage of Land Sales (down from last February)
  • 58% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for over $1 million (huge jump from last month)
  • 46% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $1 million (down from last month)
  • 8% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $500,000 (lowest % in 3+ years!)

What it means: Single family home sales increased again in March, representing 1/2 of all sales in Teton County. Condo and townhome sales remained consistent after a surge in February. Land Sales dropped slightly in March, probably a result of low winter inventory levels. After starting the year out strong, property sales under $500,000 hit another new low, representing only 8% of all sales in March. This is the first time sales in this segment have dipped below 10% in the past 3 years (since the start of compiling statistics for this report in 2013). We should expect to continue to see a low number of sales in this price point until more entry level inventory hits the market. (Currently there are only 22 full ownership options available in Teton County priced under $500,000.) Conversely, sales above $1 million increased significantly in March, representing nearly 60% of all sales. There were several high end sales in March including a 6,300 sq foot home in Spring Creek Ranch, a Granite Ridge home site in Teton Village and the sale of a 105 acre portion of the large Vandewater Ranch located on the Village Road, which included 3 separately deeded parcels and had both Fish Creek and Flat Creek frontage (pictured below).

Over1m

Under500

PropertyBreakdown

VandewaterRanch

Parcel 2 of Vandewater Ranch sold in March (listed for $14.2 million by JHREA)

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for April 2016.

Please consider following The Colbert Real Estate Report on social media for hot picks, market trends and industry news.

facebook

twitter_button