Real Estate sales and dollar volume recover in March

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for February 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – Mar 2016:

  • 25 :: Total residential sale transactions (up again from last month)
  • $41,750,000 :: Total residential sales volume (up again from last month)
  • $1,670,000::  Average sales price of reported and unreported sales (down slightly from last month)
  • 90% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (lowest in past several years!)
  • 209 ::  Average days on market prior to selling (up slightly from last month)

What it means:  March real estate sales and dollar volume recovered after a very slow February, however both are still lagging numbers seen the same time last year. Transactions this March were roughly 30% below March 2015, while dollar volume was only 3/4 of what it was last year at this time. The average sales price in March remained high, thanks to several high end sales (see What Sold section). The sale price to list price ratio continued to fall in March, meaning properties were selling, on average, at more of discount, and reached a low not seen in the last 3+ years (since I’ve been compiling stats for this report). While this low percentage was in no doubt helped by a 105 acre ranch parcel which sold for half of its listing price in MLS, even without that transaction, the monthly average was still 92%. While this low percentage could indicate that Sellers are becoming more motivated in general, in reality many Sellers may have priced recent listings aggressively in anticipation that the market would continue to increase at the rate seen in 2015 (see 2015 Year End Report). Since the market value acceleration slowed a bit in 2016, many Sellers may now be willing to sell at a greater discount to their original list prices. The average days on market increased slightly as most properties, on average, sold within 200 days after listing. In March, only 4 properties sold in 3 months or less including two condo hotels in Teton Mountain Lodge and only 1 property sold at the listing price (compare that to various months in 2015, when as many as 1/3 of properties could sell within a few months of being listed and several properties would consistently sell at or above the list price).

Transactions

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Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for April 2016.

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Property Sales under $500,000 drop, representing only 16% of all sales in Teton County

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for February 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

What Sold in Feb 2016? 

  • 47% :: Percentage of single family home sales (slight uptick from last month)
  • 37% :: Percentage of condo/townhome sales (back down after high last month)
  • 16% :: Percentage of Land Sales (up after slow January)
  • 42% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for over $1 million (similar to last month)
  • 58% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $1 million (similar to last month)
  • 16% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $500,000 (big drop from last month)
  • 2 :: Commercial Land Sales (after 13 the last two months)

What it means: Single family home sales were back up to average levels in February, while condo and townhome sales dropped back down after a high last month.  Land Sales saw a slight increase after a slow January, as several buyers appear to be looking towards the spring construction season. Property sales under $500,000 represented only 16% of all sales after a strong January (33% of all sales). We may continue to see a low number of sales under $500,000 due to increased pricing and little to no inventory. There are only 14 condos currently for sale under $500,000 in Teton County (excluding several tenant in common interests available for sale at the Fireside Resort).  Sales above $1 million remained consistent, accounting for nearly 1/2 of all sales in February. There were 4 luxury property sales over $3 million last month, including a home in Teton Pines, Shooting Star, Granite Ridge and a 9,000 sq foot home in the exclusive Indian Springs neighborhood (pictured below), which sold for over $10 million.

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Breakdown

Indian Springs

9,000 sq ft home sold in Indian Springs (listed by JH Sotheby’s)

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for March 2016.

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Real Estate Transactions hit new low in February in Jackson Hole

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for February 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – Feb 2016:

  • 19 :: Total residential sale transactions (lowest in past year)
  • $34,688,000 :: Total residential sales volume (up slightly from last month)
  • $1,825,000::  Average sales price of reported and unreported sales (up from last month)
  • 94% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (down from last several months)
  • 194 ::  Average days on market prior to selling (down from last month)

What it means:  Even with the extra Leap Day, real estate sale transactions hit a new low in February with only 19 sales reported to the MLS.  Sales volume remained low, but was a slight improvement from January.   The average sales price rose in February thanks to a $10+ million sale in Indian Springs (see What Sold below). Interestingly, the ratio of sale price to listing price dropped down to 94% after several months of 95-96% illustrating that buyers purchased property at even more of a discount in February. In particular, only 1 of the 19 sales occurred at or very near to the listing prices (compare that to December, where 35% of all sales sold at, near, or above the listing price). While this could be evidence that Sellers are becoming more motivated, more likely I believe that many sellers are pricing their properties above market and then are willing to sell at a price closer to recent sale comps. For example, one home sale in Teton Pines was originally listed at $5.2 million, reduced to $4.3 million and finally sold last month for $3.85 million. Properties that sold in February were on the market for an average of 194 days and marked the first time this statistic has dipped below 200 days since Oct 2015. There were 5 properties (or 26% of all sales) that sold in under 3 months, while two different high end properties sold after 2 years on the market, including a Granite Ridge property that sold after 426 days on the market.

Transactions

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SaleVsListRatio

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for March 2016.

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A few more listings, but overall Jackson Hole Inventory remains low

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for February 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

What’s new in Feb 2016? (New Listing Analysis)

  • 31 :: Total number of new listings in February
    • Total New Listing Volume: $80,500,000
    • Average List Price: $2,600,000
  • 26 new residential properties (single family, condo, townhome)
    • Average List Price: $2,900,000
    • New listings already under contract or sold: 2
  • 5 new building sites
    • Average List Price: $1,170,000
    • New listings already under contract or sold: 1

What it means: After several slow months, new listings in February picked up slightly, but still lag new inventory levels seen last year at this time (see chart below). We should expect to see more new listings as we move into spring, however what remains to be seen is if those levels will be on par with the last several years, where we saw a healthy spike in new listing in May, June & July. Given the very low sales numbers (see Summary section above), February’s new listings still outpaced sales last month. In February, there were 7 single family homes that hit the market in the $1-2 million price range in East Jackson, Indian Trails, The Aspens, Polo Ranches and Melody Ranch. The least expensive single family home listing in February was a 4 bdrm, 3.500 sq foot home in Indian Trails, listed for $1,125,000. There were also 5 single family homes new to the market in Teton Village, priced between $3 – $8 million. Conversely, there were only 3 new listings under $500,000 in February including a 3 bedroom condo in E Jackson (no garage) for $419,000 and a 1 bedroom condo in Teton Village for $399,500. Five new lot listings hit the market including a 6.2 acre lot with beautiful views at the top of Game Creek ($695,000 and pictured below) and a 3.23 acre parcel on the Ridge of Spring Creek Ranch ($2.7 million).

Given the low inventory levels, Sellers may  be in a great position to sell this Spring. If you are curious about the value of your property in the current market, please contact me for a free and accurate market analysis.

Notable new listings in February include:

  • 3.5 acres on Fall Creek Rd in Red Top with a temporary structure (not financeable) $380,000
  • Two commercial lots located across the street from Snow King & Phil Baux Park – $1,600,000
  • Two bed/2.5 bath fully furnished condo in the 199 Pearl building -$1,650,000

Click HERE to view all new February residential listings.

Click HERE to view all new February land listings.

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GameCreek

6.22 acres in Game Creek $695,000 (listed by Re/Max Obsidian)

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for March 2016.

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New Listing: Multi-Family Investment Opportunity in E Jackson

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Quick Stats:

  • Multi-family
  • 4 units, 2,880 sq ft total
  • Each unit: 2 bed /1 bath
  • Good Rental Income
  • Long term tenants
  • Listing Price: $975,000

Great Investment Opportunity

Great turn-key investment opportunity in desirable East Jackson. Four units (each with 2 bdrm/1 bath) provide great rental income from long term tenants. Current owner has made many updates to the 4-plex including: new windows, new washer/dryers, new water heaters and new carpet. Storage units and adequate off-street parking on site. Grandfathered use – you could not build this under current zoning. Great employee housing opportunity. 

Exterior1

Exterior.Storage

Additional Information:

  • 370 E Pearl Ave, Jackson, WY 83001
  • MLS#: 16-350 (Click HERE for the MLS link)
  • Gross Rental Income: $57,600
  • No HOA or CC&Rs
  • Storage units and 8+ off-street parking spaces on site

 

Listed by Katie Colbert Brady, RE/MAX Obsidian Real Estate

 

New inventory entering the market very low, even for January

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for February 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

What’s new in Jan 2016? (New Listing Analysis)

  • 25 :: Total number of new listings in January
    • Average List Price: $1,160,000
  • 22 new residential properties (single family, condo, townhome)
    • Average List Price: $1,200,000
    • New listings already under contract or sold: 2
  • 3 new building sites
    • Average List Price: $860,000
    • New listings already under contract or sold: 1

What it means: January saw a continued a trend of very little new inventory entering the market (not even 1 new listing per day!). Compare that to the peak of summer, when 80-120 new listings were hitting the market every month. While the winter months are usually slow for new listings, this winter we are seeing even fewer new listings compared to last year (see chart below). It is interesting to note that 3 of the “new” listing aren’t actually new at all, but back on the market with different real estate companies (new year, new realtor?).  Of those Sellers who listed their properties in January, the majority were close to the skiing activities in Teton Village, The Aspens/Pines and Snow King Resort. Five new listings hit the market in Teton Village including two condo-hotel units in Teton Mountain Lodge and a 3,400 sq foot Granite Ridge cabin (pictured below). At Snow King Resort, the inventory of Love Ridge condos went from 0 to 3, as several new units hit the market in January. The average listing price of new inventory dropped in January, thanks to several new entry level condos in Town, including a 2 bed/1 bath condo near Powderhorn Park for $349,000. Activity seems to be cooling a bit in January as only 3 of these new listings (or 8%) have gone under contract by Feb 10th, marking one of the lowest levels of activity in recent months. That being said, a rarely listed 3 bed / 3 bath / 1 car garage in The Aspens (listed at $990,000) and a commercial lot in Hoback (listed at $299,000) did go under contract quickly illustrating that well priced and/or high demand properties are selling quickly.  While low inventory levels may have contributed to rapidly rising values in 2015, we may be entering a phase of the market where transactions decline AND values are stagnant, or may even decline a bit. While I don’t for see a drop off like we saw several years ago, I do anticipate a slight market correction in 2016.   (If you are curious about the value of your property in the current market, please contact me for a free and honest analysis.) 

Notable new listings in January include:

  • Love Ridge condo at Snow King (1 of 3 new listings) – $1,350,000 – a list price not seen since the 2007 peak
  • Nicely remodeled and immaculately cared for 3 bedroom home in Town on Aspen Drive – $975,000
  • Two bed/1 bath condo near Lucky’s Market – priced below last comp at $349,000

Click HERE to view all new January residential listings.

Click HERE to view all new January land listings.

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GraniteRidge

Newly Listed: Granite Ridge Cabin in Teton Village $3.25m (listed by JH Sotheby’s)

 

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for February 2016.

With the help of my friends and customers, I’ve been voted one of Jackson’s Best Realtors since 2012 and am hoping you can help me earn the GOLD medal this year!

 BestofJH2016_7

May I ask for your vote? 

Visit www.bestofjh.com to vote. Be sure to vote for all your other Jackson favorites. It’s fun!

I very much appreciate your support! 

Condo/Townhome sales rebound in January in Town of Jackson

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for February 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

What Sold in Jan 2016? 

  • 43% :: Percentage of single family home sales (slight dip from last month)
  • 48% :: Percentage of condo/townhome sales (jump after low last month)
  • 9% :: Percentage of Land Sales (down after high last month)
  • 43% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for over $1 million (identical to last month)
  • 57% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $1 million (identical to last month)
  • 33% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $500,000 (huge jump after low last month)
  • 3 :: Commercial Land Sales (after 10 last month)

What it means: Single family home sales dipped slightly last month but still remained close to average levels.  Condo and townhome sales jumped up in January, representing nearly 1/2 of all sales after an all-time low in December (17% of all sales).  Land Sales, which were at an all time high in December (35% of all sales), leveled off to typical levels in January. Property sales under $500,000 rebounded in January after recording only 3 sales in December. This is a bit of good news for the entry level market, as 2015 saw a downward trend in sales under $500,000 (See 2015 Year End Review). It remains to be seen if this trend will continue as we move through 2016 (there are 17 condos under $500,000 available now). All of the sales under the half million mark in January were condos in The Aspens or the Town of Jackson, including a one bedroom Hollybock building in The Aspens, which sold close to asking price after only 51 days on the market. Sales above $1 million remained consistent, accounting for nearly 1/2 of all sales in January. Separately, there were 3 large commercial land sales in the month of January (after 10 commercial sales in December!), as investors and developers continue to have interest in the Jackson Hole market.  Notably, 8 commercial lots on the corner of N Cache and Mercill (across from the Forest Service building) sold for an undisclosed amount to a Marriott & Hilton franchise (listed for a collective $7.8 million and pictured below).

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Breakdown

Commercial

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for February 2016.

With the help of my friends and customers, I’ve been voted one of Jackson’s Best Realtors since 2012 and am hoping you can help me earn the GOLD medal this year!

 BestofJH2016_7

May I ask for your vote? 

Visit www.bestofjh.com to vote. Be sure to vote for all your other Jackson favorites. It’s fun!

I very much appreciate your support! 

Sale Transactions & Dollar Volume down at start of New Year

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for February 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – Jan 2016:

  • 21 :: Total residential sale transactions (lowest in past year)
  • $32,690,000 :: Total residential sales volume (down again from last month)
  • $1,560,000::  Average sales price of reported and unreported sales (down from last month)
  • 95% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (same as last month)
  • 225 ::  Average days on market prior to selling (up slightly from last month)

What it means:  Real estate sale transactions continued to decline in January, reaching a low not seen in the past several years! Sales volume also decreased again, representing the 3rd lowest levels seen in the past year. While January is typically a slow month for sales (Jan 2015 had only 22 sales), some evidence suggests that these sluggish levels of activity may stick around.  The average sales price dipped to $1.5 million in January, after 3 of the last 4 months saw average prices up near $2 million mark. The ratio of sale price to listing price remained at 95% for the second month in a row suggesting that recently buyers are purchasing property at slightly more of a discount (on average). In January, only 2 properties sold within 1% of the listing price (compare that to December, where 35% of all sales sold at, near, or above the listing price). Properties that sold in January were on the market for an average of 225 days. In particular, there were 7 properties that sold after 6 months on the market and 4 that sold after being on the market for over a year. This could be a result of not much new inventory hitting the market, forcing buyers to focus on the existing, older inventory. There were several high-end sales in January, in which the sales prices were not disclosed to the MLS including a 10 acre estate perched above the Town of Kelly (listed for $7.5 million), a 6,000 sq foot house in Crescent H (listed for $7.9 million and pictured below) and a 6 bedroom home at the base of Jackson Hole Mountain Resort.

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CrescentH

6,000 sq foot home in Crescent H sold in January (listed by JHREA)

 

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for February 2016.

 

With the help of my friends and customers, I’ve been voted one of Jackson’s Best Realtors since 2012 and am hoping you can help me earn the GOLD medal this year!

 BestofJH2016_7

May I ask for your vote? 

Visit www.bestofjh.com to vote. Be sure to vote for all your other Jackson favorites. It’s fun!

I very much appreciate your support! 

Real estate values increase in 2015, as Sales Volume up 30% in Jackson Hole

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Market Focus

marketfocus

2015 Year in Review: Market Trends and Sale Statistics for the Jackson Hole Real Estate Market

Over the course of 2015, I have tracked many different sale and market statistics which all help paint a picture of the real estate market in Jackson Hole over the past year. Below are some of the take-aways from the Jackson Hole real estate market in 2015, how they compare to 2014, and a look forward to 2016:

Quick Stats – 2015:

  • 466 total real estate transactions in 2015
    • 2014 = 447 sales
  • Sales volume of $743,000,000 (includes reported and unreported* sales)
    • 2014 = $568,000,000
  • Average sales price = $1,590,000
    • 2014 = $1,270,000

*Note: When a sales price is not disclosed in the MLS, an estimate is used based on the current listing price and the average monthly sale to list ratio.

Sales Transactions and Sales Volume: While the number of transactions didn’t increase much, Sales Volume in 2015 jumped up 30% from 2014!! Monthly sales volume in Teton County in 2015 matched or outpaced monthly volume in 2014 in all but one month (July 2015). Not only were the “big” months of Aug & Sept bigger in 2015, much of the rest of year, especially the Spring of 2015 saw roughly double the sales volume of 2014. These levels are impressive given that there were only 19 more sales in 2015 (v. 2014).

YearEndVolume

 

As mentioned in the Quick Stats above, the Average Sales Price in Teton County for 2015, including unreported sales in MLS, was just under $1.6 million. With the exception of July 2015, the monthly average sales price never dipped below $1 million last year. During the peak selling months in the summer/fall 2015, the monthly average sales price hovered around $2 million. The obvious trend? Prices went up in 2015. Compared to 2014, which had an average sales price of $1.27 million, prices in 2015, on average, went up 27%!

YearEndAVSP

 

In analyzing the Breakdown of Sales by Price Point in 2015, and comparing it to 2014, a few trends become clear. Similar to 2014, the majority (36%) of residential sales in Teton County in 2015 were in the $500,000 – $1,000,000 range. These sales included fixer upper single family homes in the Town of Jackson, 3 bedroom townhomes in Town and south of Town, homes in Rafter J and condos in Teton Village. The $1-3 million segment was also strong, accounting for nearly 1/3 of all sales in Teton County in 2015. Compare that to 2014, when this segment made up only 23% of all sales.  Only 4% of all sales in 2015 were under $300,000 and only 1 in 5 sales occurred under $500,000. This is the biggest change from 2014, when nearly 40% of all sales occurred under the half million mark, illustrating a trend of higher prices and a shrinking “entry-level” market. Finally, the percentage of high-end sales ($3 million and up) more than doubled from 2014 to 2015, as many wealthy second homeowners invested in the Jackson Hole market.

PriceBreakdown2015Res

BreakdownPriceRes

The breakdown for land sales in 2015 shows a slightly different distribution, with 50% of all lot sales happening above $1 million – compare that to 2014, when only 29% of sales occurred in this segment. In particular, there were 14 land sales over $3 million in 2015, including parcels in Ely Springs, Shooting Star and Bar B C Ranch. Conversely, only 5% of lot sales in 2015 were under $300,000, compared to nearly 20% of all sales in 2014, illustrating a shrinking entry-level market for vacant land as well. The 4 sales that occurred under $300,000 were located south of Town in the Hoback and Sqauw Creek neighborhoods.

PriceBreakdown2015

BreakdownPriceLand

Summary and What’s Next? There is no question, 2015 was a big year! Sales Volume increased 30% with only a 4% increase in transactions. As expected we saw prices rise with the average sales price increasing roughly $360,000 from 2014 to 2015. Nearly 1/2 of all properties sales occurred over $1 million, with significant growth especially in the higher end of the market. Consequently, the entry level segment of the market shrunk as fewer residential properties and vacant land sold under $500,000 in 2015. It’s hard to imagine this explosive growth can continue. In November and December 2015, we began to witness a slow down in sales and volume (see Jan 2016 Market Report). While some of that can be attributed to the slower time of year, many real estate professionals sense a plateauing of real estate activity in 2016. Even though Jackson Hole is somewhat insulated from global and/or national trends, the recent activity in China, the Middle East and the stock market should have some effect on sales and values in our market.

Stay tuned to The Colbert Real Estate Report for market statistics and trends in Jackson Hole Real Estate as we enter 2016.

Properties selling under $500,000 lowest in over 2 years

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for January 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

What Sold in Dec 2015? 

  • 48% :: Percentage of single family home sales (similar to last month)
  • 17% :: Percentage of condo/townhome sales (lowest in over 2 years)
  • 35% :: Percentage of Land Sales (one of highest % in past year)
  • 43% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for over $1 million (up from last month)
  • 57% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $1 million (down from last month)
  • 13% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $500,000 (lowest in past 2 years)
  • 10 :: Commercial Land Sales

What it means: Single family home sales remained near average levels in December, representing nearly 1/2 of all sales in December (12 month average is 47%). On the other hand, there were only 4 condo/townhome sales in December, accounting for less than 20% of sales in Teton County last month. This represents the lowest percentage seen since compiling statistics for this Report in the summer of 2013. Low condo sales could be explained by the low condo inventory levels – currently only 25% of all listings in Teton County are condo or townhomes. Land sales spiked in December, representing 35% of all sales, one of the highest percentages recorded in the past year. Notable land sales in December include two lot sales in 3 Creek Ranch, a 36 acre parcel in Bar-B-Bar Ranch north of Jackson and three land sales south of town in Squaw Creek, Shootin’ Iron Ranch and the Snake River Sporting Club.  Property sales under $500,000 took a significant drop in December – there were only 3 sales in December under the half million mark, representing the lowest percentage of sales the past 2 years. This decline is significant as it illustrates the shrinking of the entry level market. Options for first time home buyers and local families are becoming fewer, creating higher demand and resulting in even higher prices for this segment. On the other hand, sales above $1 million increased after a low month in November and represented nearly 1/2 of all sales in Teton County. Separately, there were 10 commercial sales in the month of December in Teton County, as many investors aimed to complete a purchase or sale before the year end. (Although this Report does not track commercial sales, there are usually 1-2 per month.) Notable commercial sales included: two industrial condominiums on Elk Ave (south of town), two Pine Box live/work units in Town (pictured below), two high end office condos in downtown and the sale of the Elk Refuge Inn, which sold for $3.5 million.

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PineBox

Two Pine Box units sold in December offering a live/work option in West Jackson

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for January 2016.

 

 Thank you to all my clients and colleagues for making 2015 a great year in real estate. I was able to help 19 different buyers and sellers (15 shown) purchase or sell property in Teton County this past year.

2015NewYear

How can I help you buy or sell a home in 2016?