2014 Year in Review: Market Trends and Sale Statistics for the Jackson Hole Real Estate Market

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Over the course of 2014, I have been tracking many different sale and market statistics which all help paint a picture of the real estate market in Jackson Hole over the past year. Below are some of the take-aways from the Jackson Hole real estate market in 2014:

Quick Stats – 2014:

  • 447 total real estate transactions in 2014
    • 189 single family home sales
    • 163 condos and townhomes sales
    • 95 land sales
  • Reported sales volume of $440 million
  • Additional unreported sales volume of $127 million
  • Estimated TOTAL sales volume of $567 million
  • Average sales price (including unreported sales) = $1,268,000

Average Days on Market measures the amount of time an average property spends on the market from the time of listing to the closing date. There are always outliers and in my sales tracking, I try to exclude any listing that has been on the market for more than 1,000 days. Since the start of 2014, days on market have been declining, and have hovered around 200 days for the last few months. Consistently in 2014 we saw well priced properties and/or properties in low-inventory, high-demand sub markets sell very quickly, many times going under contract immediately after they were listed. That being said, many sellers also wanted to test the market and priced their properties above market value to see if they would get any bites. Sometimes this led to increased days on market. I think we will see this trend (low days on market) continue until inventory levels increase. Many times properties are not even officially hitting the market before being placed under contract, as realtors are able to find a buyer through their own contacts or through a colleague at their office. (Note: If you are a Buyer searching for a specific property, please contact me so that I may be on the lookout for future listings for you.)

DOM2014

 

As mentioned in the Quick Stats above, the Average Sales Price in Teton County for 2014, including unreported sales in MLS, is estimated to be around $1,268,000. In every month in the past year, the monthly average sales price hovered just under $1,000,000 (see chart), with the exception of September & October when the monthly average sales price was over $2 million and just under $1.4 million, respectively. These months obviously drove the annual average sales price up. In 2014, the average sales price for single family homes was just under $1.5 million, while the average sales price for condos and townhomes in Teton County was $587,000. The average sales price for land sales was just under $1.1 million.

avgsales2014

 

In analyzing the Breakdown of Sales by Price Point in 2014, a few trends become clear. The majority of residential sales in Teton County last year were in the $500,000 – $1,000,000 range. These sales included single family homes in the Town of Jackson and south of Town, condos in Teton Village and higher-end/larger condos in The Aspens. Only 9% of all sales in 2014 sold for under $300,000 and were usually for smaller condos in the Town of Jackson. More than 1 out of every 4 sales in 2014 was for property valued over $1 million.

BreakdownPriceRes

The breakdown for land sales in 2014 shows a similar distribution, with the majority of land sales occuring in the $500,000 – $1,000,000 range. Nearly 1 out of every 5 land sales in 2014 was priced under $300,000 and represented several lots in the Town of Jackson and south of Town near Hoback. There were 7 land sales above $3 million in 2014 which included lots in 3 Creek Ranch, Crescent H and Shooting Star.

BreakdownPriceLand

 

Happy New Year! 

Thank you to all my clients and colleagues for making 2014 a great year in real estate. I was able to help 19 different buyers and sellers purchase or sell property in Teton County this past year. I look forward to helping many more people in 2015!

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End of 2014 in Jackson Hole Real Estate Market sees only slight increases in transactions, sales volume

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for January 2015 & Year End 2014

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – Dec 2014:

  • 34 :: Total residential sale transactions (up slightly from Nov’s 30 transactions)
  • $29,300,000 :: Total residential sales volume reported to MLS (up slightly from last month’s $23.8m)
  • $946,000::  Average sales price of reported sales (up slightly, still close to typical average)
  • 95% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (same for the 3rd month in a row)
  • 215 ::  Average days on market prior to selling (up from last month’s 170)

What it means: The year 2014 did not end with much fanfare for real estate in Teton County . Transactions were only slightly up from November and were below average compared to the rest of 2014 (see chart below). The summer and fall months of August, September and October proved to be the high point for the year, accounting for over 35% of the year’s transactions (159 sales). Sales Volume in December was also up slightly from November, but significantly lower than the monthly average for 2014 ($36,700,000 per month). There were 3 unreported sales in December, accounting for an estimated $8 million in additional sales volume, bringing the total sales volume in December to around $37 million, which is one of the lower volumes seen in 2014 (see Sales Volume WITH Unreported Sales chart below). August, September and October accounted for over $200,000,000 in sales, a whopping 47.5% of sales volume for the entire year!  The average sales price in December remained close to average at $946,000. The sale price to list price ratio in December stayed at 95% for the third month in a row and reflected a month that saw a handful of sales at or above list price as well as several heavily discounted sales (10% or more). Properties that are priced competitively and/or those that are in low inventory segments, continue to sell very quickly, while sellers who are testing the market tend to have properties that stay on the market longer or sell at a discount.

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SalesVol.2014

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Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for January 2015 and Year End 2014.

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Real Estate Transactions, Sales Volume down after busy selling season in Jackson Hole

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for December 2014

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – Nov 2014:

  • 30 :: Total residential sale transactions (down significantly from last month’s 56)
  • $23,800,000 :: Total residential sales volume reported to MLS (only 1/3 of last month’s volume)
  • $915,000::  Average sales price of reported sales (down again closer to typical average)
  • 95% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (same as last month)
  • 170 ::  Average days on market prior to selling (down from last month’s 206)

What it means: After a very active summer and fall, this off season saw the real estate market cool off a bit. There were only 30 residential sale transactions in the month of November, one of the slowest month’s in the past year (see chart below). Sales volume also dropped significantly, down from $73 million in October and $90 million in reported sales in September. There were 4 unreported sales in November, accounting for an estimated $18 million in additional sales volume, bringing the total sales volume in November to just under $41 million, which is this lowest total volume seen in the past 4 months. After high average sales prices of $2 million in September and $1.4 million in October, November saw the average sales price drop down to, well, average (see chart below). In November there were 10 condo sales under $500,000 (see “What Sold” below), which helped push the average sales price down this month. The sale price to list price ratio in November stayed at 95%, meaning that on average, buyers were getting a 5% discount to list price. However there were 3 properties that sold at quite a considerable discount including a house in Moran (sold at a 11% discount), a house south of Jackson (sold at a 15% discount) and a difficult building lot in Game Creek, which sold for 73% of the listing price. This suggests that, while we have seen listing prices increasing in the last several months (see Market Focus below), some Sellers are still very motivated to sell at market prices. Average days on market in November was the lowest seen in the past 2 years, probably a result of significantly lower inventory levels.

TransactionsDec2014

Volume.Dec2014

ASP.Dec2014

DOM.Dec

 

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for November. 

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Low inventory levels push prices up in Teton County real estate market

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The Jackson Hole Report Quarterly Update

Extremely low inventory levels are driving the number of sales down, but pushing prices up in Teton County, especially in the lower end of the market (under $1 million).  

marketfocus

My colleague at RE/MAX Obsidian Real Estate, David Viehman, has been collecting stats on the Jackson Hole Real Estate Market for the last 25 years. Every quarter he publishes The Jackson Hole Report, an in-depth look at real estate sales, market trends and an analysis of different market segments. Below are some interesting statistics from his 3rd Quarter Report. His entire report can be found HERE. All statistics (unless otherwise noted) are through the 3rd quarter 2014 and are compared to the first 3 quarters of 2013.

THE OVERALL MARKET

  • The total number of sales decreased by 11%, while sales under $1 million dropped 14%
  • The average sales price increased by 7% (Note: Exactly 1/2 of all transactions through Sept 2014 were conducted in CASH)
  • Available inventory (active listings) decreased by 15%, while available inventory under $1 million dropped 24%
  • The median listing price rose 39%, as a result of low inventory levels

SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

  • Total Single Family Home sales are down 24% (when compared to this time last year)
  • The average sale price is up 6%
  • Available inventory has dropped 16% and is down 29% in the under $1 million segment
  • 75 sales have occurred in the $500,000-$1,000,000 range (Hot Spot)
  • As of Oct 1, there were 37 homes on the market, with only 1 priced under $500,000 (located in Moran)

CONDO/TOWNHOME

  • Total condo/townhome sales are similar to this time last year
  • The average sales price is up 8%
  • Available inventory has fallen 32%
  • 88 sales have occurred in the sub $500,000 market, representing 54% of all condo/townhome sales (Hot Spot)
  • 24 sales occurred in the sub $300,000 market, however only 3 condos are currently listed in this price range

VACANT LAND

  • Total sales are down 11% compared to this time last year
  • The median sales price is up 11%
  • 36 land sales were under $500,000, representing 42% of all sales
  • However, pending land sales under $500,000 represent only 13% of all pending sales, compared to 50% in 2013
  • Available inventory for land is down 8%

Buyers Flock to East Jackson

The Jackson Hole Report’s 3rd Quarter Report also focuses on the recent surge of real estate activity seen in East Jackson. Since 2012, East Jackson has seen the largest concentration of new homes in Teton County with 44 completed and 10 currently under construction. However, of the 44 new homes, only 9 have been available on the open market. The majority (24) were custom built for home owners, while 11 were purchased directly from the developer. Of the 9 homes publicly listed (including the newly constructed home in the Gill Addition below), the average sales price was $1,247,000, or an average price per square foot of $400. These homes sold quickly, spending an average of only 47 days on the market before closing.

NewHome

 

Several high end land sales in October in Jackson Hole Real Estate Market

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for November 2014

Jackson Hole, WY

What Sold in Oct 2014? 

  • 34% :: Percentage of single family home sales (back down from last month’s high of 62%)
  • 30% :: Percentage of condo/townhome sales (identical to last month)
  • 36% :: Percentage of Land Sales (up significantly, much higher than usual)
  • 3.5% :: Percentage of distressed property sales (1 bank sale and 1 short sale in Oct)
  • 39% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for over $1 million (back down from last month’s high of 52%)
  • 61% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $1 million (back up from last month’s 48%)
  • 21% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $500,000 (down again from last month’s 26%)

What it means: After a summer filled with higher than usual single family home sales (52%-62% of all sales) the month of October saw fewer single family homes sales. The percentage of condo and townhome sales stayed the same, while building sites experienced higher than usual activity in October. In fact, in the month of October, there were the same amount of land sales (20) as the previous 4 months combined (June-Sept). In all, land sales accounted for over $32 million in sales volume last month helped by several very high end sales including a 13 acre parcel in Indian Springs (selling for over $6.5 million), a 35 acre tract in Crescent H Ranch (selling for north of $4.5 million) and a 18 acre lot up north in Solitude, which sold for over $4.5 million. The percentage of properties selling for over $1 million dropped down after a very strong month in September, however still remained higher than usual (see chart below). The percentage of properties that sold for under $500,000 declined for a 3rd month in a row, as inventory in the entry level market continues to dwindle (see chart below).

breakdownNov

over$1m

under$500

 

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for November. 

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Sales Transactions and Volume remain high in October in Jackson Hole Real Estate Market

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for November 2014

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – Oct 2014:

  • 56 :: Total residential sale transactions (up slightly from last month’s 50)
  • $73,700,000 :: Total residential sales volume reported to MLS (down from last month’s high of $90m)
  • $1,390,000::  Average sales price of reported sales (down from last month’s high of $2m)
  • 95% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (up slightly from last month’s 94%)
  • 206* ::  Average days on market prior to selling (up slightly from last month’s 193)

What it means: After September’s unusually high sales volume ($90 million) and transaction level (50), October remained strong with 56 residential sale transactions accounting for over $73 million in reported sales volume. There were also 3 unreported sales in October, accounting for an estimated $17 million in additional sales volume, bringing the total sales volume to $90 million, which is in line with last month’s unusually high volume (see charts below). After an average sales price of more than double the typical average in September, last month’s average remained higher than usual at $1.39 million (typical average is right around $ 1 million). There were again several high end real estate sales that helped keep the average sales price and sales volume higher than usual (see the “What Sold” section below). In October, the sale price to list price ratio increased to 95% after an usually low percentage (94%) in September. *After removing 2 outlier properties that were on the market for more than 1,000 days, the average days on market were similar to last month and again low on average, as inventory levels remain very low.

Trans.Nov2014

SalesVol.Nov2014

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Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for November. 

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Market Focus: New Fall Inventory in Jackson Hole Real Estate Market

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New Fall Inventory

marketfocus

What types of properties are hitting the market this Fall? How are they priced? How have new listings affected inventory levels? 

In last month’s Market Focus: Summer in Review, we analyzed the busy summer selling season (considered June/July/Aug) where we saw 124 residential sales transactions representing over $100 million in sales volume. In this month’s Market Focus, I decided to take a look at new listing activity since the end of the busy summer season.

Between September 1, 2014 and October 15, 2014  there have been 33 new residential listings in Teton County totaling $52 million in listing volume (excluding fractionals and lots (see below)). That equates to one new listing every 1.36 days. The average listing price of these new listings is $1,538,000. Compare that to the typical average of just under $1,000,000 for SOLD properties.  As of Oct 15th, 14 of these new listings (or 42%) are already off the market; as 12 have been put under contract and 2 have already sold.

Click HERE to view the new residential listings

Between September 1, 2014 and October 15, 2014  there have been 14 new building lot listings in Teton County totaling $22 million in listing volume. That equates to one new listing every 3.2 days. The average listing price of these new lots is $1,584,000. As of Oct 15th, 3 of these new listings (or 21%) are already off the market; as 2 have been put under contract and 1 has already sold.

Click HERE to view the new building site listings

 

Many of the new listings, and the majority of the entry level listings (under $525,000), are located in the Town of Jackson. Three new listings are in Rafter J, two are in Melody Ranch and two are in Teton Village (a Tensleep 2 bdrm condo for $389,000 and a 9th floor 3 bdrm unit at the Four Seasons for $3,050,000 – pictured below).

fourseasons

New listings for building sites are located all over the County, including several high end lots in Spring Creek Ranch, Gros Ventre West & North, and Stilson Ranch. Only one of the new lot listings is priced under $300,000 – a 0.6 acre lot south of Town on Horse Creek Road. The next least expensive lot is a 6.21 acre building site in Game Creek for $649,000 (pictured below). The most expensive new lot listing is for a 2.75 acre parcel in 3 Creek Ranch for $3,550,000.

Game Creek

Of the properties that have already gone under contract, half of them are priced under $600,000 and the majority are located in the Town of Jackson including Cottonwood Flats, E Jackson and Snow King. The two new listings that closed in less than a month included a 2 bdrm house in Wilson, which was not advertised in the MLS, and a 2 bdrm Meadowbrook/Town Creek condo in Town, which sold in 25 days.

Overall, inventory is not being replaced quite as quickly as it has been selling. Over the summer, there were 124 transactions, averaging out to 1.34 sales per day, while the recent new listings (land and homes combined) have been coming onto the market at a rate of about 1 per day in the last month and a half.

Summary: In conclusion, these new listings tell us a few things about the market. 1) Prices (at least asking prices) are increasing. The average listing price for new residential listings in the last 1.5 months was 50% higher than the average SOLD price in the past year. 2) Well priced properties (and even not-so-well priced properties that are in a high demand location or price point) are being snatched up quickly, and 3) overall inventory levels remain lower than usual and demand remains high, especially in the sub $600,000 market.

 

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Sales Volume and Average Sales Price Double in September in Jackson Hole Real Estate Market

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for October 2014

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – Sept 2014:

  • 50 :: Total residential sale transactions (similar to last month’s 53)
  • $90,600,000 :: Total residential sales volume reported to MLS (DOUBLE last month’s $45 million)
  • $2,014,000::  Average sales price of all* sales (DOUBLE last month’s $957,000)
  • 96% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (down from last month’s 96%)
  • 193** ::  Average days on market prior to selling (similar to last month’s 180)

What it means: September continued the strong selling trends of the summer with 50 transactions and a staggering $90,600,000 in reported sales volume (more than double the typical volume). In fact, this month’s sales volume was at the highest level since I began keeping statistics. The closest comparable month was Aug 2013, which saw $70,000,000 in reported sales volume. Additionally, there were 5 unreported sale prices in September, accounting for an estimated $10 million in additional sales volume. Understandably, the average sales price also nearly doubled from last month ($957,000). *Note that the Average sales price calculation factors in unreported sales by making an estimate on these sales prices. The increases in sales volume and average sales price can be explained by several high end sales (over $4 million) and 2 very high end sales (over $10 million). See the “What Sold” section below. The sale price to list price ratio dropped after several months at or above 95%. This could be explained by many sellers’ extra motivation and eagerness to sell as we head into the Fall/Winter season. **After removing 3 outlier properties that were on the market for more than 1,000 days, the average days on market were similar to last month and again low on average (see chart below).

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Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for September. 

 

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Market Focus: Jackson Hole Real Estate – Summer 2014 in Review

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2014 Summer in Review:

What sold? What did it sell for? Where did properties sell this summer?

marketfocus

Based on transaction numbers and sales volume, it appears the Jackson Hole real estate market went up month over month this summer. After a slow start in June (28 transactions for $20 million in sales volume), July saw 40 transactions and nearly $39 million in reported sales. The summer ended on a high note with 53 transactions for $45 million in reported sales in August. (See Charts in Sales Summary above.) The below analysis focuses on what sold, where property sold and for how much it sold, as well as a few highlighted sales of the summer.

Market Summary – Summer 2014 (June/July/August):

  • 124 :: Total residential sale transactions
  • $106,000,000 :: Total residential sales volume reported to MLS
  • $33,000,000 :: Additional estimated sales volume from undisclosed sales prices
  • $940,000::  Average sales price of reported sales
  • 96% ::  Average ratio of sales price to list price
  • 267 ::  Average days on market prior to selling

This summer there were 124 residential transactions (excluding fractional sales), or roughly 1.35 properties sold each day. Compare that to Jan-May of 2014, which saw 1.03 properties sold each day (156 total sales). Average days on market this summer (267 days) was significantly lower than the earlier part of the year, which saw an average of 353 days on market before a property sold.

 What Sold this Summer?

  • Single Family Homes:
    • There were 55 single family home sales this summer, which represented 44% of all sales this summer.
    • The average sales price was $1.2 million or $445/sq ft on average.
    • The least expensive single family home sale was a summer cabin up in Turpin Meadows in Moran, which sold for $99,000 (pictured below). The least expensive single family home sale outside of Moran was a 2 bed / 1 bath little house in Cottonwood Park, which sold for $498,000.
    • The most expensive single family home sale was a 7,700 sq foot house in Teton Pines, which sold for $4 million.

Moran

  • Condo / Townhome Sales:
    • There were 45 condo or townhome sales this summer, representing 36% of all sales this summer.
    • The average sales price was $507,000, or $416/sq ft on average.
    • The least expensive condo sale was a bank owned Ponderosa Village condo in Town which sold for $187,500.
    • The most expensive condo sale was Moose Creek townhome in Teton Village that sold for just over $1.6 million (pictured below).

MooseCreek

  • Land Sales:
    • There were 20 lot sales this summer, representing 16% of all sales this summer.
    • The average sales price was $1,300,000.
    • The least expensive lot sale was a 3 acre parcel near Red Top Meadows, south of Wilson, which sold for $210,000.
    • The most expensive lot sale was a 35 acre tract in Crescent H Ranch, which sold for $4.7 million.
  • Distressed Sales: There were only 4 distressed property sales this summer (2 bank sales and 2 short sales), which represented 3.2% of all sales.

Where did properties sell this Summer?

  • Town of Jackson :: 44 sales :: 35% of all sales
  • South of Jackson (inc. Hoback) :: 24 sales :: 19% of all sales
  • Wilson/Westbank :: 18 sales :: 15% of all sales
  • Aspens / Teton Pines :: 14 sales :: 11% of all sales
  • North of Jackson :: 9 sales :: 7% of all sales
  • Teton Village :: 6 sales :: 5% of all sales

LocationSales

How much were properties selling for this Summer? 

The average sales price this summer was $940,000 which was slightly higher than the first part of 2014 ($906,000). Property sales were spread out pretty evenly between the following price points with the majority of sales occurring in the $500,000 – $1,000,000 price range.

  • Under $500,000 :: 38 sales :: 31% of all sales
  • $500,001 – $1,000,000 :: 47 sales :: 39% of all sales
  • Over $1 million :: 29 sales :: 30% of all sales

SummerBreakdown

Sale Statistics for the Jackson Hole Real Estate Market – August 2014

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Monthly Market Update for August 2014

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – Aug 2014:

  • 53 :: Total residential sale transactions (up significantly from last month’s 40)
  • $45,400,000 :: Total residential sales volume reported to MLS (up again from last month’s $38 million)
  • $957,000::  Average sales price of reported sales (down slightly from last month’s high)
  • 96% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (same as last month)
  • 180 ::  Average days on market prior to selling (down from 293 days)

What it means: This summer officially ended on a high note! Transactions were up 32.5% from last month and were the highest reported since almost a year ago (57 in Oct 2013). Reported sales volume was up $8 million compared to last month (with another $5 million in estimated sales volume from sales with undisclosed prices). Sales volume was at the highest level since Nov 2013 ($58 million in reported sales volume). See Charts below. The average sales price held strong at $957,000, down slightly from July’s 8-month high of $1,075,000. The sale price to list price ratio remains high at 96% illustrating that properties continue to sell very close to their listing price (on average).  Average days on market were down, suggesting that a good amount of summer inventory has sold. In fact, in the month of August, 23 properties sold within 3 months of hitting the market – representing 43% of all properties sold.

Trans.Sept2014

SalesVolume.Sept2014

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