End of 2014 in Jackson Hole Real Estate Market sees only slight increases in transactions, sales volume

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for January 2015 & Year End 2014

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – Dec 2014:

  • 34 :: Total residential sale transactions (up slightly from Nov’s 30 transactions)
  • $29,300,000 :: Total residential sales volume reported to MLS (up slightly from last month’s $23.8m)
  • $946,000::  Average sales price of reported sales (up slightly, still close to typical average)
  • 95% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (same for the 3rd month in a row)
  • 215 ::  Average days on market prior to selling (up from last month’s 170)

What it means: The year 2014 did not end with much fanfare for real estate in Teton County . Transactions were only slightly up from November and were below average compared to the rest of 2014 (see chart below). The summer and fall months of August, September and October proved to be the high point for the year, accounting for over 35% of the year’s transactions (159 sales). Sales Volume in December was also up slightly from November, but significantly lower than the monthly average for 2014 ($36,700,000 per month). There were 3 unreported sales in December, accounting for an estimated $8 million in additional sales volume, bringing the total sales volume in December to around $37 million, which is one of the lower volumes seen in 2014 (see Sales Volume WITH Unreported Sales chart below). August, September and October accounted for over $200,000,000 in sales, a whopping 47.5% of sales volume for the entire year!  The average sales price in December remained close to average at $946,000. The sale price to list price ratio in December stayed at 95% for the third month in a row and reflected a month that saw a handful of sales at or above list price as well as several heavily discounted sales (10% or more). Properties that are priced competitively and/or those that are in low inventory segments, continue to sell very quickly, while sellers who are testing the market tend to have properties that stay on the market longer or sell at a discount.

Trans.2014

SalesVol.2014

unreportedsales.2014

 

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for January 2015 and Year End 2014.

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Real Estate Transactions, Sales Volume down after busy selling season in Jackson Hole

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for December 2014

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – Nov 2014:

  • 30 :: Total residential sale transactions (down significantly from last month’s 56)
  • $23,800,000 :: Total residential sales volume reported to MLS (only 1/3 of last month’s volume)
  • $915,000::  Average sales price of reported sales (down again closer to typical average)
  • 95% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (same as last month)
  • 170 ::  Average days on market prior to selling (down from last month’s 206)

What it means: After a very active summer and fall, this off season saw the real estate market cool off a bit. There were only 30 residential sale transactions in the month of November, one of the slowest month’s in the past year (see chart below). Sales volume also dropped significantly, down from $73 million in October and $90 million in reported sales in September. There were 4 unreported sales in November, accounting for an estimated $18 million in additional sales volume, bringing the total sales volume in November to just under $41 million, which is this lowest total volume seen in the past 4 months. After high average sales prices of $2 million in September and $1.4 million in October, November saw the average sales price drop down to, well, average (see chart below). In November there were 10 condo sales under $500,000 (see “What Sold” below), which helped push the average sales price down this month. The sale price to list price ratio in November stayed at 95%, meaning that on average, buyers were getting a 5% discount to list price. However there were 3 properties that sold at quite a considerable discount including a house in Moran (sold at a 11% discount), a house south of Jackson (sold at a 15% discount) and a difficult building lot in Game Creek, which sold for 73% of the listing price. This suggests that, while we have seen listing prices increasing in the last several months (see Market Focus below), some Sellers are still very motivated to sell at market prices. Average days on market in November was the lowest seen in the past 2 years, probably a result of significantly lower inventory levels.

TransactionsDec2014

Volume.Dec2014

ASP.Dec2014

DOM.Dec

 

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for November. 

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Off-Season in Jackson Hole marked with Low Inventory and Bold List Prices

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marketfocus

If you are an active buyer in the Jackson Hole real estate market (or just simply someone who likes to stay on top of the market) you’ve surely noticed the lack of new inventory that has hit market in the last few months. Since October 1, only 45 new listings have come onto the market. Eleven of these properties have already sold or are currently under contract. This is hardly enough new inventory to make up for our very busy selling season this summer (July-Sept), which saw 143 transactions and $175 million in reported sales volume. As a result of a robust summer selling season (and low inventory levels) Sellers appear to be testing the market with more aggressive list prices. In particular, properties in the The Aspens, the Town of Jackson and Teton Shadows neighborhoods have seen some of the largest changes in available inventory and in some cases, listing prices. Has the market really increased that much and that quickly? Time will tell, as buyers decide if these prices truly reflect the new real estate market in Jackson Hole. One thing is for sure however, it appears to be a Seller’s market in many of the segments of the Jackson Hole Real Estate market.

CONDOS IN THE ASPENS

Cinqfoil

  • In the past 12 months, there have been 19 sales of 1 & 2  bdrm condos in The Aspens
  • One bedroom condos have sold, on average, for $314,000 or $400/sq ft
  • Four recent new listings of one bedroom condos range from $355,000-$389,000
  • Two bedroom condos have sold, on average for $450,000 or $424/sq ft
  • Two new listings of two bedroom condos are priced at $415,000 and $715,000

While not every condo unit is the same in The Aspens (some have an added loft, some have 2 bathrooms vs. 1 bathroom and some are end units or unique floor plans), the general trend shows an increase in pricing in one bedroom units in particular. The overall change in the two bedroom condo market is a bit more difficult to determine right now as one of the units is a very unique unit with a carport and ability to add a 3rd bedroom (pictured above) and the other unit appears to be listed by motivated sellers. 

TOWNHOMES IN TOWN (with a garage, priced under $550,000)

CottonwoodFlats

  • In the past 12 months, there have been 29 sales of townhomes in the Town of Jackson with a garage priced under $550,000
  • These townhomes have sold, on average, for $438,000 or $351/sq ft
  • Currently there is one townhome under contract in the Town of Jackson (priced under $550,000)
  • There are NO townhomes available for sale in the Town of Jackson, with a garage, priced under $550,000

This segment of the market has, in my opinion, seen the most drastic change in available (and affordable) inventory levels. After a year that saw almost 2.5 Town townhome sales per month, to not have a single available option in this price range at the end of the year is extreme. 

TETON SHADOWS

TetonShadows

  • In the past year, there have been 11 condo sales in Teton Shadows (a condo development located north of Jackson near Jackson Hole Golf & Tennis)
  • These condos have sold, on average, for $493,000 or $313/sq.ft.)
  • There are currently 0 Teton Shadows condos under contract
  • There is currently only 1 Teton Shadows condo on the market listed for $495,000 or $384/sq.ft

Similar to condos in The Aspens, Teton Shadows units can be quite different ranging in size (1,288sf – 2,088sq ft), bedrooms (2-4) and overall condition (original to fully remodeled). However, on average is appears that pricing is up (with more inventory we can be more certain) and inventory is down. 

Would you sell your home in …..Teton Shadows? …..The Aspens? …..Teton Village? …..the Town of Jackson? 

SoldSign

As seen from the above Market Focus, inventory is extremely low, especially in these areas.

Current Property owners are in a great position to take advantage of a Seller’s market.

If you are considering selling your home, I’d love the opportunity to share what I can do for you. 

Low inventory levels push prices up in Teton County real estate market

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The Jackson Hole Report Quarterly Update

Extremely low inventory levels are driving the number of sales down, but pushing prices up in Teton County, especially in the lower end of the market (under $1 million).  

marketfocus

My colleague at RE/MAX Obsidian Real Estate, David Viehman, has been collecting stats on the Jackson Hole Real Estate Market for the last 25 years. Every quarter he publishes The Jackson Hole Report, an in-depth look at real estate sales, market trends and an analysis of different market segments. Below are some interesting statistics from his 3rd Quarter Report. His entire report can be found HERE. All statistics (unless otherwise noted) are through the 3rd quarter 2014 and are compared to the first 3 quarters of 2013.

THE OVERALL MARKET

  • The total number of sales decreased by 11%, while sales under $1 million dropped 14%
  • The average sales price increased by 7% (Note: Exactly 1/2 of all transactions through Sept 2014 were conducted in CASH)
  • Available inventory (active listings) decreased by 15%, while available inventory under $1 million dropped 24%
  • The median listing price rose 39%, as a result of low inventory levels

SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

  • Total Single Family Home sales are down 24% (when compared to this time last year)
  • The average sale price is up 6%
  • Available inventory has dropped 16% and is down 29% in the under $1 million segment
  • 75 sales have occurred in the $500,000-$1,000,000 range (Hot Spot)
  • As of Oct 1, there were 37 homes on the market, with only 1 priced under $500,000 (located in Moran)

CONDO/TOWNHOME

  • Total condo/townhome sales are similar to this time last year
  • The average sales price is up 8%
  • Available inventory has fallen 32%
  • 88 sales have occurred in the sub $500,000 market, representing 54% of all condo/townhome sales (Hot Spot)
  • 24 sales occurred in the sub $300,000 market, however only 3 condos are currently listed in this price range

VACANT LAND

  • Total sales are down 11% compared to this time last year
  • The median sales price is up 11%
  • 36 land sales were under $500,000, representing 42% of all sales
  • However, pending land sales under $500,000 represent only 13% of all pending sales, compared to 50% in 2013
  • Available inventory for land is down 8%

Buyers Flock to East Jackson

The Jackson Hole Report’s 3rd Quarter Report also focuses on the recent surge of real estate activity seen in East Jackson. Since 2012, East Jackson has seen the largest concentration of new homes in Teton County with 44 completed and 10 currently under construction. However, of the 44 new homes, only 9 have been available on the open market. The majority (24) were custom built for home owners, while 11 were purchased directly from the developer. Of the 9 homes publicly listed (including the newly constructed home in the Gill Addition below), the average sales price was $1,247,000, or an average price per square foot of $400. These homes sold quickly, spending an average of only 47 days on the market before closing.

NewHome

 

Several high end land sales in October in Jackson Hole Real Estate Market

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for November 2014

Jackson Hole, WY

What Sold in Oct 2014? 

  • 34% :: Percentage of single family home sales (back down from last month’s high of 62%)
  • 30% :: Percentage of condo/townhome sales (identical to last month)
  • 36% :: Percentage of Land Sales (up significantly, much higher than usual)
  • 3.5% :: Percentage of distressed property sales (1 bank sale and 1 short sale in Oct)
  • 39% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for over $1 million (back down from last month’s high of 52%)
  • 61% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $1 million (back up from last month’s 48%)
  • 21% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $500,000 (down again from last month’s 26%)

What it means: After a summer filled with higher than usual single family home sales (52%-62% of all sales) the month of October saw fewer single family homes sales. The percentage of condo and townhome sales stayed the same, while building sites experienced higher than usual activity in October. In fact, in the month of October, there were the same amount of land sales (20) as the previous 4 months combined (June-Sept). In all, land sales accounted for over $32 million in sales volume last month helped by several very high end sales including a 13 acre parcel in Indian Springs (selling for over $6.5 million), a 35 acre tract in Crescent H Ranch (selling for north of $4.5 million) and a 18 acre lot up north in Solitude, which sold for over $4.5 million. The percentage of properties selling for over $1 million dropped down after a very strong month in September, however still remained higher than usual (see chart below). The percentage of properties that sold for under $500,000 declined for a 3rd month in a row, as inventory in the entry level market continues to dwindle (see chart below).

breakdownNov

over$1m

under$500

 

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for November. 

Please also consider following me on social media for up-to-date market statistics, Hot Picks and real estate news and trends.

         

 

Sales Transactions and Volume remain high in October in Jackson Hole Real Estate Market

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for November 2014

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – Oct 2014:

  • 56 :: Total residential sale transactions (up slightly from last month’s 50)
  • $73,700,000 :: Total residential sales volume reported to MLS (down from last month’s high of $90m)
  • $1,390,000::  Average sales price of reported sales (down from last month’s high of $2m)
  • 95% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (up slightly from last month’s 94%)
  • 206* ::  Average days on market prior to selling (up slightly from last month’s 193)

What it means: After September’s unusually high sales volume ($90 million) and transaction level (50), October remained strong with 56 residential sale transactions accounting for over $73 million in reported sales volume. There were also 3 unreported sales in October, accounting for an estimated $17 million in additional sales volume, bringing the total sales volume to $90 million, which is in line with last month’s unusually high volume (see charts below). After an average sales price of more than double the typical average in September, last month’s average remained higher than usual at $1.39 million (typical average is right around $ 1 million). There were again several high end real estate sales that helped keep the average sales price and sales volume higher than usual (see the “What Sold” section below). In October, the sale price to list price ratio increased to 95% after an usually low percentage (94%) in September. *After removing 2 outlier properties that were on the market for more than 1,000 days, the average days on market were similar to last month and again low on average, as inventory levels remain very low.

Trans.Nov2014

SalesVol.Nov2014

Unreported.Nov2014

 

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for November. 

Please also consider following me on social media for up-to-date market statistics, Hot Picks and real estate news and trends.

         

Market Focus: New Fall Inventory in Jackson Hole Real Estate Market

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New Fall Inventory

marketfocus

What types of properties are hitting the market this Fall? How are they priced? How have new listings affected inventory levels? 

In last month’s Market Focus: Summer in Review, we analyzed the busy summer selling season (considered June/July/Aug) where we saw 124 residential sales transactions representing over $100 million in sales volume. In this month’s Market Focus, I decided to take a look at new listing activity since the end of the busy summer season.

Between September 1, 2014 and October 15, 2014  there have been 33 new residential listings in Teton County totaling $52 million in listing volume (excluding fractionals and lots (see below)). That equates to one new listing every 1.36 days. The average listing price of these new listings is $1,538,000. Compare that to the typical average of just under $1,000,000 for SOLD properties.  As of Oct 15th, 14 of these new listings (or 42%) are already off the market; as 12 have been put under contract and 2 have already sold.

Click HERE to view the new residential listings

Between September 1, 2014 and October 15, 2014  there have been 14 new building lot listings in Teton County totaling $22 million in listing volume. That equates to one new listing every 3.2 days. The average listing price of these new lots is $1,584,000. As of Oct 15th, 3 of these new listings (or 21%) are already off the market; as 2 have been put under contract and 1 has already sold.

Click HERE to view the new building site listings

 

Many of the new listings, and the majority of the entry level listings (under $525,000), are located in the Town of Jackson. Three new listings are in Rafter J, two are in Melody Ranch and two are in Teton Village (a Tensleep 2 bdrm condo for $389,000 and a 9th floor 3 bdrm unit at the Four Seasons for $3,050,000 – pictured below).

fourseasons

New listings for building sites are located all over the County, including several high end lots in Spring Creek Ranch, Gros Ventre West & North, and Stilson Ranch. Only one of the new lot listings is priced under $300,000 – a 0.6 acre lot south of Town on Horse Creek Road. The next least expensive lot is a 6.21 acre building site in Game Creek for $649,000 (pictured below). The most expensive new lot listing is for a 2.75 acre parcel in 3 Creek Ranch for $3,550,000.

Game Creek

Of the properties that have already gone under contract, half of them are priced under $600,000 and the majority are located in the Town of Jackson including Cottonwood Flats, E Jackson and Snow King. The two new listings that closed in less than a month included a 2 bdrm house in Wilson, which was not advertised in the MLS, and a 2 bdrm Meadowbrook/Town Creek condo in Town, which sold in 25 days.

Overall, inventory is not being replaced quite as quickly as it has been selling. Over the summer, there were 124 transactions, averaging out to 1.34 sales per day, while the recent new listings (land and homes combined) have been coming onto the market at a rate of about 1 per day in the last month and a half.

Summary: In conclusion, these new listings tell us a few things about the market. 1) Prices (at least asking prices) are increasing. The average listing price for new residential listings in the last 1.5 months was 50% higher than the average SOLD price in the past year. 2) Well priced properties (and even not-so-well priced properties that are in a high demand location or price point) are being snatched up quickly, and 3) overall inventory levels remain lower than usual and demand remains high, especially in the sub $600,000 market.

 

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Single Family Home Sales Continue Upward Trend in Jackson Hole Real Estate Market

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for October 2014

Jackson Hole, WY

What Sold in Sept 2014? 

  • 62% :: Percentage of single family home sales (the highest % seen in years)
  • 30% :: Percentage of condo/townhome sales (down from last month’ s 38%)
  • 8% :: Percentage of Land Sales (similar to last month, but lower than average)
  • 4% :: Percentage of distressed property sales (1 bank sale and 1 short sale in Sept)
  • 52% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for over $1 million (considerably higher than average)
  • 48% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $1 million (down significantly from last month’s 68%)
  • 26% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $500,000 (down slightly from last month’s 28%)

What it means: The month of September was the 4th month in a row that saw month-over-month increases in single family home sales and represented the highest percentage (62%) of single family home sales since I began keeping statistics (see chart below). Condo and townhome sales fell to 30% of all sales after a spike in activity last month, where this segment represented 38% of all sales. Land sales remained low this past month and only represented 8% of all residential sales in Teton County. September saw 2 distressed sales – a bank owned condo in Teton Village and a short sale condo in The Aspens. Currently there are two distressed properties under contract and NO other bank or short sales on the market. Sales under $500,000 continued to decline in September, accounting for only 26% of all sales, the lowest representation in over a year. On the other hand, sales over $1 million continued to increase, representing a staggering 52% of all sales in September. See Charts below. Several VERY high end single family home and ranch sales occurred in September which contributed to the higher than average numbers. Five high end homes in Bar B Bar, Pine Meadows and Shooting Star sold between $3-5 million in September. Additionally, 3 large ranches sold last month including the 164 acre Fall Creek Ranch (located south of Red Top Meadows) and 140 acres of the VandeWater Ranch along Fish Creek, which sold for close to $20 million.

BreakdownOct2014

under$500

over$1m

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for September. 

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Sales Volume and Average Sales Price Double in September in Jackson Hole Real Estate Market

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for October 2014

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – Sept 2014:

  • 50 :: Total residential sale transactions (similar to last month’s 53)
  • $90,600,000 :: Total residential sales volume reported to MLS (DOUBLE last month’s $45 million)
  • $2,014,000::  Average sales price of all* sales (DOUBLE last month’s $957,000)
  • 96% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (down from last month’s 96%)
  • 193** ::  Average days on market prior to selling (similar to last month’s 180)

What it means: September continued the strong selling trends of the summer with 50 transactions and a staggering $90,600,000 in reported sales volume (more than double the typical volume). In fact, this month’s sales volume was at the highest level since I began keeping statistics. The closest comparable month was Aug 2013, which saw $70,000,000 in reported sales volume. Additionally, there were 5 unreported sale prices in September, accounting for an estimated $10 million in additional sales volume. Understandably, the average sales price also nearly doubled from last month ($957,000). *Note that the Average sales price calculation factors in unreported sales by making an estimate on these sales prices. The increases in sales volume and average sales price can be explained by several high end sales (over $4 million) and 2 very high end sales (over $10 million). See the “What Sold” section below. The sale price to list price ratio dropped after several months at or above 95%. This could be explained by many sellers’ extra motivation and eagerness to sell as we head into the Fall/Winter season. **After removing 3 outlier properties that were on the market for more than 1,000 days, the average days on market were similar to last month and again low on average (see chart below).

Trans.Oct2014

SalesVol.Oct2014

ADOM.Oct2014

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for September. 

 

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Market Focus: Jackson Hole Real Estate – Summer 2014 in Review

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2014 Summer in Review:

What sold? What did it sell for? Where did properties sell this summer?

marketfocus

Based on transaction numbers and sales volume, it appears the Jackson Hole real estate market went up month over month this summer. After a slow start in June (28 transactions for $20 million in sales volume), July saw 40 transactions and nearly $39 million in reported sales. The summer ended on a high note with 53 transactions for $45 million in reported sales in August. (See Charts in Sales Summary above.) The below analysis focuses on what sold, where property sold and for how much it sold, as well as a few highlighted sales of the summer.

Market Summary – Summer 2014 (June/July/August):

  • 124 :: Total residential sale transactions
  • $106,000,000 :: Total residential sales volume reported to MLS
  • $33,000,000 :: Additional estimated sales volume from undisclosed sales prices
  • $940,000::  Average sales price of reported sales
  • 96% ::  Average ratio of sales price to list price
  • 267 ::  Average days on market prior to selling

This summer there were 124 residential transactions (excluding fractional sales), or roughly 1.35 properties sold each day. Compare that to Jan-May of 2014, which saw 1.03 properties sold each day (156 total sales). Average days on market this summer (267 days) was significantly lower than the earlier part of the year, which saw an average of 353 days on market before a property sold.

 What Sold this Summer?

  • Single Family Homes:
    • There were 55 single family home sales this summer, which represented 44% of all sales this summer.
    • The average sales price was $1.2 million or $445/sq ft on average.
    • The least expensive single family home sale was a summer cabin up in Turpin Meadows in Moran, which sold for $99,000 (pictured below). The least expensive single family home sale outside of Moran was a 2 bed / 1 bath little house in Cottonwood Park, which sold for $498,000.
    • The most expensive single family home sale was a 7,700 sq foot house in Teton Pines, which sold for $4 million.

Moran

  • Condo / Townhome Sales:
    • There were 45 condo or townhome sales this summer, representing 36% of all sales this summer.
    • The average sales price was $507,000, or $416/sq ft on average.
    • The least expensive condo sale was a bank owned Ponderosa Village condo in Town which sold for $187,500.
    • The most expensive condo sale was Moose Creek townhome in Teton Village that sold for just over $1.6 million (pictured below).

MooseCreek

  • Land Sales:
    • There were 20 lot sales this summer, representing 16% of all sales this summer.
    • The average sales price was $1,300,000.
    • The least expensive lot sale was a 3 acre parcel near Red Top Meadows, south of Wilson, which sold for $210,000.
    • The most expensive lot sale was a 35 acre tract in Crescent H Ranch, which sold for $4.7 million.
  • Distressed Sales: There were only 4 distressed property sales this summer (2 bank sales and 2 short sales), which represented 3.2% of all sales.

Where did properties sell this Summer?

  • Town of Jackson :: 44 sales :: 35% of all sales
  • South of Jackson (inc. Hoback) :: 24 sales :: 19% of all sales
  • Wilson/Westbank :: 18 sales :: 15% of all sales
  • Aspens / Teton Pines :: 14 sales :: 11% of all sales
  • North of Jackson :: 9 sales :: 7% of all sales
  • Teton Village :: 6 sales :: 5% of all sales

LocationSales

How much were properties selling for this Summer? 

The average sales price this summer was $940,000 which was slightly higher than the first part of 2014 ($906,000). Property sales were spread out pretty evenly between the following price points with the majority of sales occurring in the $500,000 – $1,000,000 price range.

  • Under $500,000 :: 38 sales :: 31% of all sales
  • $500,001 – $1,000,000 :: 47 sales :: 39% of all sales
  • Over $1 million :: 29 sales :: 30% of all sales

SummerBreakdown