Sales Volume and Transactions down in July in Jackson Hole

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for Aug 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – July 2015:

  • 33:: Total residential sale transactions (down again after May’s high)
  • $28,300,000 :: Total residential sales volume reported to MLS (down again from last month)
  • $944,000::  Average sales price of reported sales (down after several months of increases)
  • 96% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (same as last few months)
  • 158 ::  Average days on market prior to selling (down for the 5th month in a row)

What it means:  After a spike in May, transaction levels and sales volume dropped significantly in June and July appears to be following the same trend, dropping to pre-summer sales levels. Reported sales volume in July marked the lowest volume in the past 6 months.  There were only 3 unreported sale prices in July and all were for properties priced under $550,000. This is interesting as most unreported sales are for very high end property sales. (These buyers may have received a great deal (or maybe feared they paid too much) and therefore didn’t want the real estate community to know the final sales price.) The average sales price declined in July after a spike in June ($1.3 million) and dipped below the $1 million mark for only the second time in 2015.   The average days a property is on the market before closing continues to decline (5th month in a row), and now represents the second lowest number of days in the past year. Well priced properties continue to go under contract very quickly, many times within a day of being listed in the MLS. In particular, in the month of July nearly 50% of all sales occurred within 90 days of being listed. While many sellers are listing their properties very aggressively given past comps, we saw several price reductions in July, suggesting that some Sellers may be feeling pressured from the well priced properties that are going under contract quickly.

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Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for August 2015.

 

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A Full Recovery? Close, but not quite. Quarterly Update from The Jackson Hole Report

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Are we back to the real estate peak of 2007? Has the Jackson Hole market made a full recovery?

Not quite, but we are getting close according to The Jackson Hole Report, a quarterly market report prepared by my colleague David Viehman at RE/MAX Obsidian Real Estate. Click HERE to read the full 2015 Q2 Report.

Compared to this time last year, transactions have spiked (up 21%) and the average sales price has increased 32%. However, if we look at several paired sales (sales of identical properties (with little to no remodeling) that sold in 2006-2007 and again in 2014-2015), we get a better understanding of which types of properties and locations have recovered faster than others. The Jackson Hole Report looked at 108 of these paired sales and found the following:

  • Only 7 sales (6.4%) have actually increased in value from the peak and all time high of late 2007
  • Single family home values increased more than condos, townhomes or vacant land
  • Teton Village is the only area to report widespread increases in value

OVERALL MARKET

Compared to last year, the first 6 months of 2015 showed increases across the entire real estate market as a result of relatively low inventory levels and increasing demand.

  • Number of Sale Transactions are up 21%
  • Overall dollar volume rose 58%!
  • Average Sale Price increased by 32%
  • Sales over $1 million are up a staggering 83% since this time last year, with 1/3 of all property sales occuring between $1-3 million
  • Teton Village accounted for 16% of all sales and 27% of all sales volume
  • Overall available inventory remains low, with only a 3% increase over Q2 2014, and still represents some of the lowest inventory levels we’ve seen since the peak of 2007
  • Currently there are only 14 single family homes available in Teton County priced under $750,000 – compare that to last year, which saw 158 home sales under $750,000
HaySled

Just listed in Rafter J for $629,000, this 2 bed/1 bath home is the least expensive single family home (outside of Moran and Hoback)

SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

  • Demand continues to increase in 2015 with 31% more sales compared to last year
  • Average Sale Price increased 21%
  • The $1 – $3 million segment has seen the greatest increase – up 66% compared to mid-year 2014
  • Many older homes (20+ years) have come onto the market recently and currently make up 39% of available single family home inventory
  • Available single family home listings are up only slightly (5%) when compared to last year at this time
  • These new listings have a median list price close to $2.2 million
GraniteRidge

Recently listed 7,500+ sq foot retreat in Granite Ridge at the base of Jackson Hole Mountain Resort – $12.75 million

CONDO/TOWNHOME

  • Sales are up 16% compared to mid year 2014
  • Average Sale Price is up 65% resulting from a jump in condo sales above $1 million
  • Hot Spot: Condos in Teton Village, which was up 106%
  • Available inventory declined 7% from Q2 2014
  • Only 29% of available condos are priced under $500,000
WhiteBuffaloClub

Newly listed condos in The White Buffalo Club in downtown Jackson -One bdrm unit for $320,000 and 3 bdrm unit for $975,000

VACANT LAND

  • Lot sales continue to increase, up 11% compared to mid year 2014
  • Average Sale Price is up 22%
  • Lot sales over $1 million are up 40%
  • 50% of lot sales this year went to locals, who are perhaps fed up with the low single family home inventory
  • Over 3/4 of all lot sales in 2015 were cash transactions

OUTLOOK: Low inventory levels and high demand suggest that the Jackson Hole market will continue to appreciate throughout the summer. We should expect to see high levels of activity in the under $1 million single family home segment, given the particularly low inventory in that price range. However, buyers appear to be motivated by value (and not their emotions) and are not making offers on overpriced listings. As evidence, we’ve seen many overpriced listings sit on the market for more than a year as Sellers try to ‘test’ the market.

marketreport

As a Seller, the best strategy is to price your property competitively (based on comparable sales) and market it effectively. If you are interested in a learning what your property could sell for in this market, please connect with me for a free, in-depth, data-driven market analysis.

Sales under $500,000 hit new low in Jackson Hole

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for June 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

What Sold in June 2015? 

  • 60% :: Percentage of single family home sales (up for the 4th month in a row)
  • 32% :: Percentage of condo/townhome sales (down again from last month)
  • 8% :: Percentage of Land Sales (down for the 4th month in a row)
  • 45% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for over $1 million (up significantly from last month)
  • 55% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $1 million (down significantly from last month)
  • 16% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $500,000 (lowest in the past year)

What it means: Single family home sales continued to dominate sales in Teton County, representing 60% of all sales in June. Since February 2015, every month has seen more and more single family homes sales (as it relates to other property types). As a result, land and condo/townhome sales have continued to make up less and less of the total sales over the past 4 months. (Note: There was one multi-family sale in June – a 3 unit property in E Jackson.) The percentage of properties selling for over $1 million spiked to a 4 month high after a few low months, representing nearly half of all sales in June. Properties selling in the sub-$500,000 market continued a downward trend that began last November, hitting a new low, as less than 1 in 5 sales occurred under $500,000 in Teton County. This may be the new reality of the market, as entry level condos (i.e. 1-2 bedrooms under 800 sq feet) are inching closer to $400,000 and anything  with 3 bedrooms and a garage (regardless of condition) is being priced well above $500,000.

Under500

Breakdown

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for July 2015.

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60% of properties selling in June were on market less than 90 days

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for June 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – June 2015:

  • 57 :: Total residential sale transactions (back down after a spike in May)
  • $54,000,000 :: Total residential sales volume reported to MLS (down slightly from last month)
  • $1,300,000::  Average sales price of reported sales (back up after 2 months of decline)
  • 96% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (same as last month)
  • 168 ::  Average days on market prior to selling (down for the 4th month in a row)

What it means:  After a spike in May, transaction levels in June returned to more recent levels, suggesting that May was more of an anomaly than the start of a summer trend, as many may have suspected. It will be interesting to see if July is in line with June or if we see a spike back up to May levels. Sales Volume was down, but not down significantly given the drop in transactions. As illustrated by the average sales price in June, there were many high end sales that contributed to the sales volume. There were two sales with unreported sales prices, which would bring the total sales volume to $58.2 million, which is consistent with levels seen in the last 5 months.  The sales price to list price ratio remained high at 96% as demand continues to out pace supply. The average days a property is on the market before closing declined for the 4th month in a row, representing the second lowest number of days in the past year. If priced well, properties are being snatched up very quickly. In fact in the month of June, nearly 60% of the properties that sold had been on the market for less than 90 days! As many sellers continue to list their properties at overly optimistic (read: above market) prices, Buyers are quick to jump on well priced new listings.

Transactions

Volume

AvgSalesPrice

Days on Market

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for July 2015.

 

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Many single family home sales occurring in the $500,000 – $1 million range

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for June 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

What Sold in May 2015? 

  • 50% :: Percentage of single family home sales (up again after several low months)
  • 39% :: Percentage of condo/townhome sales (down slightly from last month)
  • 11% :: Percentage of Land Sales (down again after two higher than average months)
  • 32% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for over $1 million (down significantly from last month)
  • 68% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $1 million (up significantly from last month)
  • 26% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $500,000 (down slightly from last month)

What it means: Single family home sales continued their upward trend last month, representing 1/2 of all sales in Teton County. Land sales dropped again to below average levels after two strong months in February and March 2015. (Note: There was one multi-family sale in May, a two 2-bdrm duplex in West Jackson, which was counted as a single family home sale for this analysis.) Properties selling for over $1 million continued a downward trend as less than 1/3 of properties sold in this price segment. On the other end, properties selling for under $500,000 also declined, albeit slightly. These two statistics can be explained by looking in the $500,000 – $1 million segment, which saw 23 sales in May (40% of all sales). We are seeing many of the entry level single family home sales in this price range. Gone are the days of buying a stand alone property (even a fixer upper) priced under $500,000. For example, in May, a 1,344 sq ft house in Cottonwood sold for $617,500, a 1,900 sq ft house in Red Top sold for $575,000 and a 2,155 sq ft house in Rafter J sold for $695,000. The month of May also saw several higher end condo sales including a nicely remodeled condo in E Jackson selling for $700,000, a Love Ridge condo selling for just under $1 million and a Teton Village condo selling for just over $1 million after 569 days on the market (pictured below).

Over$1m

Under$500

TetonVillage

4 bdrm condo at the base of Jackson Hole Mountain Resort

Thinking of listing this summer? There is still time.ForSale

If you are currently thinking about selling, I’d be happy to chat with you about the current real estate market. As a Seller, you may benefit from the record low inventory levels and resulting pent up demand in Teton County. Please contact me for more info or to receive a free market analysis on your property.

 

Real Estate Transactions sky rocket in May in Jackson Hole

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for June 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – May 2015:

  • 57 :: Total residential sale transactions (a huge jump from the last few months)
  • $54,000,000 :: Total residential sales volume reported to MLS (up significantly from last month)
  • $976,000::  Average sales price of reported sales (another dip)
  • 96% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (down slightly from last month)
  • 204 ::  Average days on market prior to selling (down again from last month)

What it means:  Transaction levels sky rocketed in May, hitting a high mark not seen since the Fall of 2013, signaling what could be a very busy summer in the Jackson Hole real estate market. Sales Volume also saw a significant increase in May, with $54 million in reported sales, marking the highest volume since October 2014 (see chart below). Adding in 2 sales with unreported sales prices, puts the actual volume in the $66 million range. We should expect to see these numbers continue to increase as we enter the busy summer selling season. As a point of reference, last September we saw sales volumes in excess of $90 million. We should also expect to see new listings continue to hit the market (See “What’s New?” section). The average sales price in May dropped again thanks to several sales in the sub-$500,000 market including 9 condo sales under $400,000. The sales price to list price ratio remained high at 96% as demand continues to out pace supply. The average days a property sits on the market before closing also continued to decrease, another illustration of the current “seller’s market” existing in the Jackson Hole Real Estate market.

Transactions

ReportedVolume

DaysonMarket

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New listings increase as we enter busy summer selling season, but still lagging levels from last year

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What’s new in May 2015? (New Listing Analysis)

  • 85 :: Total number of new listings in May (a jump from last month’s 66)
  • 67 new residential properties (single family, condo, townhome)
    • Average List Price: $1,650,000
    • New listings already under contract or sold: 15
  • 18 new building sites
    • Average List Price: $2,375,000
    • New listings already under contract or sold: 1

What it means: The number of new listings continues to increase each month as we have now entered the busy summer selling season in the Jackson Hole real estate market. We are seeing slightly fewer new listings than we did during this time last year (see chart below). Despite the new listings, inventory levels continue to remain very low. New listings in May barely replaced the inventory that was sold in May (see chart below). Many of the recent new listings appear to be ‘testing’ the market with aggressive listing prices that are significantly higher than past sales. In some cases, buyers are willing to pay that premium because inventory levels are so low. Many buyers may feel a sense of urgency to get into a market that has been increasing at a fast pace for the last 6 months. When these higher sales prices are achieved they set the new bar for future listings in that neighborhood or condo complex, which then contributes to the increasing market.  Of the 15 new residential listings in May that are already under contract or have closed, 13 of them were priced under $1 million with only 3 of them priced under $500,000. This again points to a consistently hot market in the $500,000 – $1 million range (see “What Sold?” above). The month of May saw many new high end lots hit the market (with an average list price of $3,275,000) including four 40 acre parcels of land available in Buffalo Valley for $18,900,000 and two different 35 acre ranch parcels in the Bar BC listed for $8.5 million and $8.95 million (pictured below).

Click HERE to view all new May residential listings.

Click HERE to view all new May land listings.

NewListings

NewvsSold

BarBC

Teton views from a 35 acre ranch parcel in the Bar BC

Thinking of listing this summer? There is still time.ForSale

If you are currently thinking about selling, I’d be happy to chat with you about the current real estate market. As a Seller, you may benefit from the record low inventory levels and resulting pent up demand in Teton County. Please contact me for more info or to receive a free market analysis on your property.

 

 

Land Sales in Jackson dip after several strong months, high end sales dominate

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for May 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

What Sold in April 2015? 

  • 41% :: Percentage of single family home sales (up after two low months)
  • 41% :: Percentage of condo/townhome sales (up slightly from last month)
  • 18% :: Percentage of Land Sales (down after two higher than average months)
  • 41% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for over $1 million (similar to last month)
  • 59% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $1 million (similar to last month)
  • 29% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $500,000 (similar to last month)

What it means: Land sales dropped back down to average levels after two months of above average activity. Single family home sales increased after two months below average.  The breakdown by print point was very similar to last month. In addition to seeing several entry level condo/townhome sales (7 sales under $500,000), April also saw several high end sales. Nine properties sold for over $2 million (with 6 of those sales over $3 million) including two lots in Shooting Star and two Granite Ridge cabins, both located at the base of Jackson Hole Mountain Resort, a 10,000 square foot estate in Indian Spring Ranch (listed for $7.5 million) and a 13 acre legacy parcel (with a 17,500 sq foot home) located in Owl Creek adjacent to the Grand Teton National Park, which sold for an undisclosed price (listed at $10.9 million and pictured below).

LandSales

BreakdownPropertyType

OwlCreek

13 acre, 17,000 sq foot estate in Owl Creek

Click HERE to view the entire Monthly Market Update for May. 

Thinking of listing this summer?

If you are currently thinking about selling, I’d be happy to chat with you about the current real estate market. As a Seller, you may benefit from the record low inventory levels and resulting pent up demand in Teton County. Please contact me for more info or to receive a free market analysis on your property. Properties listed byMay 31, 2015 will be included in our RE/MAX Obsidian Real Estate Summer Brochure!

Brochure

 

Sales to List Price increases to 97% for April real estate sales in jackson Hole

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for May 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – Apr 2015:

  • 34 :: Total residential sale transactions (similar to the last 3 months)
  • $34,000,000 :: Total residential sales volume reported to MLS (down from last month)
  • $1,135,000::  Average sales price of reported sales (a drop after two high months)
  • 97% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (up again from last month, highest in almost a year)
  • 215 ::  Average days on market prior to selling (down from last month)

What it means:  Transaction levels remained consistent in April, hovering around 35 sales. We should expect the increase in new listings (See “What’s New?“) to increase sale transactions in the coming months. Reported sales volume in April took a slight dip from previous months, however adding in the estimated sales volume from 4 high end, unreported sales resulted in a slight increase in overall sales volume in April (see chart below). The average sales price in April dropped after 5 straight months of increases. This can be explained by several entry level condo and townhome sales this past month (7 sales under $500,000). For the first time in almost a year, the sales price to list price ratio hit a high of 97%, as many properties are selling very close to list price.

Transactions

UnreportedVolume

AvgSalesPrice

ListPrice-SalesPrice

 

Click HERE to view the entire Monthly Market Update for May. 

Interested in keeping an eye on new listings this spring/summer?

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What’s new in the Jackson Hole Real Estate Market? Spring New Listing Analysis

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April New Listings Update: Currently in Teton County, we are seeing inventory levels at a 25 year low. The following benchmarks, such as number of new listings, average sales price of those listings, and how quickly those listings go under contract, should help keep an eye on these inventory levels and can help us understand the relationship between new inventory (new supply) and sales prices.

  • 66 :: Total number of new listings in April
  • 47 new residential properties (single family, condo, townhome)
    • Average List Price: $1,540,000
    • New listings already under contract or sold: 15
  • 19 new building sites
    • Average List Price: $1,544,000
    • New listings already under contract or sold: 0

What it means: The number of new listings have been increasing almost every month since November 2014 (see chart below), however not at a rate to significantly impact the record low inventory levels. Hopefully we continue to see more listings hit the market as we enter the busy listing season (May-June). Currently we are barely replacing the inventory that is selling (see chart below). Judging from the consistent sale transaction levels (see Summary section above), we have yet to see a real impact from these new listings. That being said, many new listings are being snatched up as soon as they hit the market. Of the 47 new residential listings that hit the market in April, almost 1/3 of them are already under contract. Therefore, we should expect to see sales transactions tick up next month. Lot listings aren’t moving as quickly, possibly due to the fact that 17 of the 19 new land listings in April are priced over $1,000,000 (5 of the new land listings are priced in excess of $2 million). The average list price of new listings last month ($1.54m) is nearly $500,000 higher than the average sales price of properties sold last month ($1.135m).

Click HERE to view all new April residential listings.

Click HERE to view all new April land listings.

 

NewListings

NewlistingsvsSales

 

Thinking of Listing this Summer? 

If you are currently thinking about selling, I’d be happy to chat with you about the current real estate market.
As a Seller, you may benefit from the record low inventory levels and resulting pent up demand in Teton County.Obsidian Holiday Season 2014 Brochure PG1
Please contact me for more info or to receive a free market analysis on your property. Properties listed by May 31, 2015 will be included in our RE/MAX Obsidian Real Estate Summer Brochure!