Properties selling under $500,000 lowest in over 2 years

The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for January 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

What Sold in Dec 2015? 

  • 48% :: Percentage of single family home sales (similar to last month)
  • 17% :: Percentage of condo/townhome sales (lowest in over 2 years)
  • 35% :: Percentage of Land Sales (one of highest % in past year)
  • 43% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for over $1 million (up from last month)
  • 57% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $1 million (down from last month)
  • 13% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $500,000 (lowest in past 2 years)
  • 10 :: Commercial Land Sales

What it means: Single family home sales remained near average levels in December, representing nearly 1/2 of all sales in December (12 month average is 47%). On the other hand, there were only 4 condo/townhome sales in December, accounting for less than 20% of sales in Teton County last month. This represents the lowest percentage seen since compiling statistics for this Report in the summer of 2013. Low condo sales could be explained by the low condo inventory levels – currently only 25% of all listings in Teton County are condo or townhomes. Land sales spiked in December, representing 35% of all sales, one of the highest percentages recorded in the past year. Notable land sales in December include two lot sales in 3 Creek Ranch, a 36 acre parcel in Bar-B-Bar Ranch north of Jackson and three land sales south of town in Squaw Creek, Shootin’ Iron Ranch and the Snake River Sporting Club.  Property sales under $500,000 took a significant drop in December – there were only 3 sales in December under the half million mark, representing the lowest percentage of sales the past 2 years. This decline is significant as it illustrates the shrinking of the entry level market. Options for first time home buyers and local families are becoming fewer, creating higher demand and resulting in even higher prices for this segment. On the other hand, sales above $1 million increased after a low month in November and represented nearly 1/2 of all sales in Teton County. Separately, there were 10 commercial sales in the month of December in Teton County, as many investors aimed to complete a purchase or sale before the year end. (Although this Report does not track commercial sales, there are usually 1-2 per month.) Notable commercial sales included: two industrial condominiums on Elk Ave (south of town), two Pine Box live/work units in Town (pictured below), two high end office condos in downtown and the sale of the Elk Refuge Inn, which sold for $3.5 million.

Over$1m

Under500

PropBreakdown

PineBox

Two Pine Box units sold in December offering a live/work option in West Jackson

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for January 2016.

 

 Thank you to all my clients and colleagues for making 2015 a great year in real estate. I was able to help 19 different buyers and sellers (15 shown) purchase or sell property in Teton County this past year.

2015NewYear

How can I help you buy or sell a home in 2016? 

 

New listings up slightly in December, but still very low

The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for January 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

What’s new in Dec 2015? (New Listing Analysis)

  • 26 :: Total number of new listings in December
    • Average List Price: $2,400,000
  • 23 new residential properties (single family, condo, townhome)
    • Average List Price: $1,833,000
    • New listings already under contract or sold: 4
  • 3 new building sites
    • Average List Price: $1,970,000
    • New listings already under contract or sold: 1

What it means: New listings picked up slightly in December, but still remained low. With only 26 new listings, December 2015 marked the second slowest month for new listings in the past year (November 2015 was the lowest with only 18 new listings). While winter is usually a slower time for new inventory, the small up tick in December could be explained by sellers’ motivation to list their properties in time for the holiday rush of visitors and skiers (potential real estate buyers).  In particular, 10 of the new listings in December were in Teton Village including a rarely listed 5 bedroom Snow Ridge condo for $1,600,000, which went under contract in early January. The average sales price of new listings increased for the second month in a row, jumping up to nearly $2 million, in part thanks to 2 high end land listings, both with Flat Creek frontage, but in different parts of the Valley. A 35 acre parcel in the Flat Creek Fishing Club Subdivision south of Jackson was listed for $5.65 million and a 1.17 acre lot in Shooting Star at the base of Jackson Hole Mountain Resort was listed for $2.85 million in December (pictured below).  As of Jan 10th, just under 20% of these new listings are pending or sold (down from nearly 30% in November), suggesting that many of the new listings prices may be a bit above market. Due to the low sales in December (see Summary section above), new inventory slightly outpaced inventory leaving the market (i.e. sales). While low inventory levels usually contribute to rising values, it’s becoming apparent that buyers are not willing to “buy just to buy” and are holding out for well-priced properties. It will be interesting to see the pricing trends of new inventory hitting the market in 2016, and to see if Sellers are still holding on to 2015 values (which were some of the highest seen since the peak in 2007) or if we will see sale and listing prices leveling off in the New Year.  That being said, now may be a great time to sell a property as there is little new inventory coming onto the market at competitive prices. (Please contact me for a free in-depth analysis on the current market value of your property.) 

Notable new listings in December include:

  • Two bedroom/one bath townhome with garage in Cottonwood Park – $499,000
  • Completely re-built 2 bedroom home on the Village Road – $950,000 (pictured below)
  • Four bedroom, true ski-in/ski-out home in Teton Village – $9.5 million

Click HERE to view all new December residential listings.

Click HERE to view all new December land listings.

NewListings

New.v.Sold

AVSP.NewV.Sale

ShootingStarLot

Lot for Sale in Shooting Star development – $2.85 million

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for January 2016.

2015NewYear

Thank you to all my clients and colleagues for making 2015 a great year in real estate. I was able to help 19 different buyers and sellers (15 shown) purchase or sell property in Teton County this past year.

How can I help you buy or sell a home in 2016? 

Entry level options disappear as upper-end home sales increase – Quarterly Update from The Jackson Hole Report

Entry level home options (under $500,000) have all but disappeared in the Jackson Hole real estate market, while upper-end home sales (over $1 million) see impressive increases amid the recovery. 

The Jackson Hole Report, a quarterly market report prepared by my colleague David Viehman at RE/MAX Obsidian Real Estate, provides insights into the local real estate market through the end of the 3rd quarter. Click HERE to read the full 2015 Q3 Report.

After the first 9 months of 2015, the trend in the Jackson Hole real estate market seems to be this: the more expensive the price point of the home, the greater the increase in sale transactions and sales volume. Home sales over $1 million are up 27%; home sales over $3 million are up 36%; and homes selling for over $5 million are up a whopping 200% compared to this time last year.

Conversely, homes for sale under $500,000 are a thing of the past. For only the second time in Jackson Hole’s history, there are ZERO single family homes for sale under $500,000. The least expensive single family home for sale in Teton County is a 584 sq ft log cabin with a loft bedroom on 2.24 acres in Red Top Meadows, priced at $545,000. These prices push many first time homebuyers into the condo/townhome market, where less than half of the 24 condo/townhomes listed for sale under $500,000 have a garage. Even with low interest rates, Buyers still need to come up with a $75,000 – $100,000 down payment to avoid costly private mortgage insurance.

OVERALL MARKET

Compared to last year, the first 9 months of 2015 continued to show signs of a bullish market recovery with increases across the entire real estate market.

  • Number of Sale Transactions are up 11%
  • Overall dollar volume rose 40%
  • Average Sale Price increased by 27%
  • Nearly half (47%) of real estate transactions in Jackson Hole through Q3 2015 were cash sales (i.e. no financing)
  • 51% of available listings are priced under $1 million, with only 11% of all inventory priced under $500,000
  • Overall available inventory rose slightly (2%), with an average listing price of $2.7 million, however available inventory under $1 million continues to decline
  • High end sales are experiencing tremendous growth with a 66% increase in sales. Notably, 26 sales have occurred over $5 million, up 200% from last year.
ShootingStar

Shooting Star Cabin at the base of Jackson Hole Mountain Resort – listed for $5.5 million and sold for an undisclosed price

SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

  • Single family home sales continue to gain steam, with transactions up 7% and dollar volume up 41%
  • Average Sale Price increased 32%
  • The $500,000 – $1 million segment saw the most sales (77) through the 3rd quarter, while the $1 -2 million range fared well too, with 62 sales so far this year
  • Most (28%) single family home sales occurred in the Town of Jackson, while 15 homes have sold in Rafter J in 2015
  • Available single family home listings are up 9%, with homes over $1 million up 11%, however the average listing price actually dipped 3% compared to this time last year
RafterJKingEider

Newly built home in Rafter J’s King Eider neighborhood was the most expensive sale in Rafter J in 2015, selling for more than $900,000

CONDO/TOWNHOME

  • Overall condo sales are up 7%, with condo sales over $1 million up 235%!
  • Condos and townhomes in Teton Village and Shooting Star accounted for 2/3 of the sales over $1 million
  • Average Sale Price is up 29%
  • Available inventory increased 25%, however inventory levels are still hovering at an eight year low
  • Active condo listings under $500,000 are down 61% compared to the high inventory levels seen in 2009
  • There are 24 available condos priced under $500,000, with only 3 condos are priced under $300,000
Pondo

2 bdrm condo in Town is one of only 3 available under $300,000

VACANT LAND

  • Lot sales continue to increase, with a 20% increase in transactions and a 54% increase in dollar volume compared to Q3 2014
  • Average Sale Price is up 29%
  • The majority (53%) of single family lot sales were over $1 million
  • Vacant land listings under $500,000 are disappearing, with only 13 currently on the market.

marketreport

As a first time home buyer in today’s market, it may seem that prices and values are becoming out of reach. Even as a seasoned home buyer, it is obvious that you can’t get as much as you once could in any given price range. That being said, there are still opportunities out there, with many not listed in the MLS. If you are an active buyer, or looking to get into the Jackson Hole real estate market, please connect with me for an honest and comprehensive analysis of the current buying opportunities in our market.

As a Seller, the best strategy is to price your property competitively (based on the most comparable sales) and market it effectively. If you are interested in a learning what your property could sell for in this market, please connect with me for a free, in-depth, data-driven market analysis.

Sales over $1 million account for majority of real estate transactions in Jackson Hole

The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for October 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

What Sold in Sept 2015? 

  • 58% :: Percentage of single family home sales (up after two low months
  • 25% :: Percentage of condo/townhome sales (down from last two months)
  • 17% :: Percentage of Land Sales (down after a high trend this summer)
  • 57% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for over $1 million (highest % in last 2 years)
  • 43% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $1 million (down from last month)
  • 23% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $500,000 (up after a low in Aug)

What it means: Single family home sales spiked in September, representing nearly 60% of all sales in Teton County. High sales in this category usually go hand in hand with high sales volume and higher than usual average sales prices, as many of the sales in this price range tend to be single family homes. For example, in September 22 of the 30 sales occurring over $1 million were for stand alone homes (5 were lot sales and 3 were high end condo sales). As a result of higher single family home sales, condo and townhome sales and vacant land sales declined in September. Building lot sales in particular took a downturn after an increasing trend seen throughout the summer months. Sales over $1 million accounted for nearly 60% of all transactions, the highest percentage recorded in the last 2 years! Additionally, in the month of September, nine properties sold in excess of $3 million in neighborhoods like Tucker Ranch, Crescent H, Indian Springs, and 3 Creek Ranch. Two very high end homes sold in Teal Trace (in Wilson and pictured below) and Shooting Star (at the base of Jackson Hole Mountain Resort), both with listing prices north of $11 million. On the other end of the spectrum, sales under $500,000 rebounded to 23% after representing only 14% of all sales (a new low) in August. The overwhelming majority of sales in this price range are for 1-2 bedroom condos in the Town of Jackson. The least expensive single family home in September was for an older, 1,700 sq foot split level home in West Jackson, which sold for $675,000.

Over$1m

breakdown

TealTrace

Sold in Teal Trace in Wilson – listed for $11,500,000

 

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for October 2015.

Would you like to be notified as soon as a new listing hits the market in a particular location or price range?

Email

Sign up for automatic email market updates from The Colbert Real Estate Report.

 

Sales under $500,000 recover, but is it only temporary?

The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for Aug 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

What Sold in July 2015? 

  • 46% :: Percentage of single family home sales (down after several high months)
  • 39% :: Percentage of condo/townhome sales (up after several declining months)
  • 15% :: Percentage of Land Sales (up after several low months)
  • 30% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for over $1 million (dropped after a spike last month)
  • 70% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $1 million (down significantly from last month)
  • 27% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $500,000 (lowest in the past year)

What it means: After several months of dominating sales in Teton County, single family home sales took a hit in July as more condos, townhomes and land sales occurred. Less than 1/2 of all sales in July were for single family homes, which is actually close to the 12 month average of 47% of all sales. Condo/townhome and land sales also reached close to their 12 month averages as well (35% and 18% of all sales respectively). After spiking to a 4 month high in June , the percentage of properties selling for over $1 million dropped by a third in July and represents the lowest percentage in the past 6 months. Properties selling in the sub-$500,000 market saw a bit of recovery after a long downward trend that began last November. It will be interesting to see how this segment fairs in the next few months, to determine if July’s stats represent a change of a recent market trend (fewer and fewer properties selling for under $500,000) or just a temporary blip in July.  Interestingly, the July sales under $500,000 were comprised of 4 condos and 4 lot sales, including two adjacent lots in downtown Wilson, which each sold for under $500,000.

breakdown

Under500

WilsonLot

2 Lots in “downtown” Wilson sold in July

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for August 2015.

Would you like to be notified as soon as a new listing hits the market in a particular location or price range?

Email

Sign up for automatic email market updates from The Colbert Real Estate Report.

Sales under $500,000 hit new low in Jackson Hole

The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for June 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

What Sold in June 2015? 

  • 60% :: Percentage of single family home sales (up for the 4th month in a row)
  • 32% :: Percentage of condo/townhome sales (down again from last month)
  • 8% :: Percentage of Land Sales (down for the 4th month in a row)
  • 45% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for over $1 million (up significantly from last month)
  • 55% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $1 million (down significantly from last month)
  • 16% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $500,000 (lowest in the past year)

What it means: Single family home sales continued to dominate sales in Teton County, representing 60% of all sales in June. Since February 2015, every month has seen more and more single family homes sales (as it relates to other property types). As a result, land and condo/townhome sales have continued to make up less and less of the total sales over the past 4 months. (Note: There was one multi-family sale in June – a 3 unit property in E Jackson.) The percentage of properties selling for over $1 million spiked to a 4 month high after a few low months, representing nearly half of all sales in June. Properties selling in the sub-$500,000 market continued a downward trend that began last November, hitting a new low, as less than 1 in 5 sales occurred under $500,000 in Teton County. This may be the new reality of the market, as entry level condos (i.e. 1-2 bedrooms under 800 sq feet) are inching closer to $400,000 and anything  with 3 bedrooms and a garage (regardless of condition) is being priced well above $500,000.

Under500

Breakdown

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for July 2015.

Would you like to be notified as soon as a new listing hits the market in a particular location or price range?

Email

Sign up for automatic email market updates from The Colbert Real Estate Report.

Many single family home sales occurring in the $500,000 – $1 million range

The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for June 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

What Sold in May 2015? 

  • 50% :: Percentage of single family home sales (up again after several low months)
  • 39% :: Percentage of condo/townhome sales (down slightly from last month)
  • 11% :: Percentage of Land Sales (down again after two higher than average months)
  • 32% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for over $1 million (down significantly from last month)
  • 68% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $1 million (up significantly from last month)
  • 26% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $500,000 (down slightly from last month)

What it means: Single family home sales continued their upward trend last month, representing 1/2 of all sales in Teton County. Land sales dropped again to below average levels after two strong months in February and March 2015. (Note: There was one multi-family sale in May, a two 2-bdrm duplex in West Jackson, which was counted as a single family home sale for this analysis.) Properties selling for over $1 million continued a downward trend as less than 1/3 of properties sold in this price segment. On the other end, properties selling for under $500,000 also declined, albeit slightly. These two statistics can be explained by looking in the $500,000 – $1 million segment, which saw 23 sales in May (40% of all sales). We are seeing many of the entry level single family home sales in this price range. Gone are the days of buying a stand alone property (even a fixer upper) priced under $500,000. For example, in May, a 1,344 sq ft house in Cottonwood sold for $617,500, a 1,900 sq ft house in Red Top sold for $575,000 and a 2,155 sq ft house in Rafter J sold for $695,000. The month of May also saw several higher end condo sales including a nicely remodeled condo in E Jackson selling for $700,000, a Love Ridge condo selling for just under $1 million and a Teton Village condo selling for just over $1 million after 569 days on the market (pictured below).

Over$1m

Under$500

TetonVillage

4 bdrm condo at the base of Jackson Hole Mountain Resort

Thinking of listing this summer? There is still time.ForSale

If you are currently thinking about selling, I’d be happy to chat with you about the current real estate market. As a Seller, you may benefit from the record low inventory levels and resulting pent up demand in Teton County. Please contact me for more info or to receive a free market analysis on your property.

 

Real Estate Transactions sky rocket in May in Jackson Hole

The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for June 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – May 2015:

  • 57 :: Total residential sale transactions (a huge jump from the last few months)
  • $54,000,000 :: Total residential sales volume reported to MLS (up significantly from last month)
  • $976,000::  Average sales price of reported sales (another dip)
  • 96% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (down slightly from last month)
  • 204 ::  Average days on market prior to selling (down again from last month)

What it means:  Transaction levels sky rocketed in May, hitting a high mark not seen since the Fall of 2013, signaling what could be a very busy summer in the Jackson Hole real estate market. Sales Volume also saw a significant increase in May, with $54 million in reported sales, marking the highest volume since October 2014 (see chart below). Adding in 2 sales with unreported sales prices, puts the actual volume in the $66 million range. We should expect to see these numbers continue to increase as we enter the busy summer selling season. As a point of reference, last September we saw sales volumes in excess of $90 million. We should also expect to see new listings continue to hit the market (See “What’s New?” section). The average sales price in May dropped again thanks to several sales in the sub-$500,000 market including 9 condo sales under $400,000. The sales price to list price ratio remained high at 96% as demand continues to out pace supply. The average days a property sits on the market before closing also continued to decrease, another illustration of the current “seller’s market” existing in the Jackson Hole Real Estate market.

Transactions

ReportedVolume

DaysonMarket

Interested in keeping an eye on new listings this spring/summer? Would you like to be alerted as soon as a new listing hits the market in a particular location or price range?

Email

Sign up for automatic email market updates from The Colbert Real Estate Report.

Land Sales account for a third of all sales in Feb, March in Jackson Hole

The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for April 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

What Sold in Mar 2015? 

  • 30% :: Percentage of single family home sales (similar to last month’s 29%)
  • 37% :: Percentage of condo/townhome sales (identical to last month)
  • 33% :: Percentage of Land Sales (high again for a second straight month)
  • 40% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for over $1 million (down from 54% last month)
  • 60% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $1 million (up from 46% last month)
  • 30% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $500,000 (up from 23% last month)

What it means: The breakdown of property types in March was also nearly identical the breakdown we saw in February. Land sales remained higher than average for the second straight month. While land sales usually represent about 20% of all sales on average, in February and March 2015 there were 12 and 11 sales accounting for 34% and 33% of all sales (see chart below). This trend could be explained by the lack of available built-out inventory (i.e. single family homes and townhomes). As buyers are unable to find what they are looking for (or what they like is overpriced), many are considering purchasing land and building their own home.  The percentage of properties selling for over $1 million dropped down to 40% after a high of 54% in February. The number of properties selling for under $500,000 increased after 4 months of decline (see chart below). That being said, the average sales price remained high ($1.57 million) due to several high end sales including a 6,000 square foot house in Teton Pines (selling close to $8 million) a 48 acre tract of land in Crescent H (selling around $5 million) and a 6 bedroom estate in Shooting Star, at the base of Jackson Hole Mountain Resort, which sold for north of $10 million (pictured below).

land sales

sales under 500k

Shooting Star

Click HERE to read the entire Monthly Market Update for April. 

 

Interested in keeping an eye on new listings this spring/summer? Would you like to be alerted as soon as a new listing hits the market in a particular location or price range? 

Email

Sign up for automatic email market updates from The Colbert Real Estate Report.

 

Low inventory levels increase vacant land sales in Teton County, while under $500,000 sales continue to decline

The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for March 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

What Sold in Feb 2015? 

  • 29% :: Percentage of single family home sales (nearly half of last month’s 55%)
  • 37% :: Percentage of condo/townhome sales (similar to last month’s 36%)
  • 34% :: Percentage of Land Sales (up significantly from last month’s 20%)
  • 0 :: Number of distressed property sales (No bank or short sales)
  • 54% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for over $1 million (vs. 23% last month)
  • 46% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $1 million (down from a high of 77% last month)
  • 23% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $500,000 (down again from last month)

What it means: The breakdown of property types was very atypical last month. Single family homes sales only represented 29% of all sales (they usually represent around 50%). Land sales dominated in February, with 12 sales representing a whopping 34% of land sales (lot sales usually account for around 20% of all sales). This is the 2nd time in the last 5 months that land sales have exceeded 1/3 of monthly sales (see chart below). Low levels in single family home and condo/townhome inventory have no doubt pushed people to land – if they can’t find it, then they will buy land and build it! Buyers were purchasing many lots that had sat on the market for quite some time. In particular, of the 12 lots last sold in February, the average days on market was 526 days! There were no bank or short sales again last month and there continue to be no distressed sales on the market, suggesting that the ‘shadow’ inventory has been fully absorbed. The percentage of properties selling for over $1 million jumped up in February (to the highest % in the past year), thanks to several high end sales including two Four Seasons condos (selling for $3.25m and $3.95m), a beautiful home in Dairy Ranches (pictured below), which sold for north of $7 million, a 4.24 acre lot in Indian Springs (selling for $3.5 million), and a home in Granite Ridge selling for just under $4 million.  Properties selling for under $500,000 continue to decline (see chart below), as overall prices continue to go up.  The least expensive single family home sale in February was for an older home on Aspen Drive (4 bed / 1 bath) which sold for the list price (with multiple offers) of $650,000.

Breakdown

Under500

DairyRanches

 

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for March 2015.

Please also consider following me on social media for up-to-date market statistics, Hot Picks and real estate news and trends.