Sales and Volume decline in 2016, while affordable inventory dwindles – Quarterly Update from The Jackson Hole Report

Sale transactions and dollar volume are down in the first quarter of 2016 while available inventory in the entry level market dwindles, resulting in increased demand for well priced properties. The Jackson Hole Report, a quarterly market report prepared by my colleague David Viehman at RE/MAX Obsidian Real Estate, provides insights into the local real estate market through the end of the 1st quarter 2016. Click HERE to read the full 2016 Q1 Report. A summary of statistics/trends follows:

OVERALL MARKET

  • Total number of Sale Transactions are down 26%
  • Sales under $1 million are down 36%
  • Overall dollar volume is down 27%
  • Due to limited inventory, the Average Sale Price increased by 11% in Q1 2016
  • Hot Price Point: Properties priced between $1-3 million, where 40% of the sales occurred in the first quarter
  • Hot Location: The Westbank (including Teton Village) which accounted for 45% of all sales in the first quarter
CrystalSprings

Crystal Springs condo sold in Teton Village (listed by JH Sotheby’s)

HIGH END MARKET

  • While high-end property sales ($2+ million) were down 68% in the first quarter, there are 39 high-end properties under contract (an increase of 34%), with an average list price of more than $4.5 million
  • Available inventory of high end properties is up 20% compared to this time last year
  • There are 47 properties for sale over $5 million, an increase of 18%
  • The most expensive property for sale in Teton County is a 580 acre ranch (with 6 building sites), listed for $45 million (pictured below)
580Acres

580 acres available for sale off Spring Gulch Rd – $45 million (listed by Live Water Properties)

SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

  • Single family home sales in the first quarter were consistent with sales last year at this time
  • However, the average sale price increased 18% to $2.3 million
  • Single family home sales over $1 million are up 13%
  • Single family home sales over $3 million are up 100% compared to this time last year!
  • While over all single family inventory is up 8%, available homes under $1 million are at a 25 year low
  • Only 15% of available single family homes are priced under $1 million
  • Considering that 47 homes sold in this segment in 2015, there is less than 1 month of available inventory for home under $1 million.
  • Click HERE to view the 20 single family home listings priced under $1 million
HiddenRanch

Single family home available in Hidden Ranch – $925,000 (listed by JHREA)

CONDO/TOWNHOME

  • Overall condo sales are down 29%, with only 39 sales in the first 3 months of 2016
  • The average sales price dropped 11%, however the price of available inventory is up 38% – which represents the highest average condo list price since the start of the recession in 2008
  • Condo sales under $500,000 decreased by 39% in Q1 2016 due to low inventory levels
  • Condo listings under $500,000 sell in 86 days, on average, many times receiving multiple offers
  • Only 28% of available condos are priced under $500,000

VACANT LAND

  • Lot sales are down significantly (58%) with only 14 sales in the first quarter of 2016
  • Average sales price is up 16%
  • Overall available inventory dropped 5% from last year, however list prices remained consistent.
  • Available vacant land for sale under $500,000 is only 1/4 of what was available in 2013 & 2014.
  • Majority (71%) of vacant land buyers are second homeowners and/or retiring baby boomers.

marketreport

As we approach the busy summer listing/selling season, the amount (and price) of new inventory will dictate future market values. The law of supply and demand will especially affect the sub $1 million segment, where current supply levels are very low compared to 2015, representing only 2 months of inventory. Whether you are a first time or seasoned home buyer, there are still opportunities out there, with many not listed in the MLS. If you are an active buyer, or looking to get into the Jackson Hole real estate market, please connect with me for an honest and comprehensive analysis of the current buying opportunities in our market.

As a Seller, the best strategy is to price your property competitively (based on the most comparable sales) and market it effectively, as buyers continue to be motivated by finding a good value. If you are interested in a learning what your property could sell for in this market, please connect with me for a free, in-depth, data-driven market analysis.

Real Estate sales and dollar volume recover in March

The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for February 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – Mar 2016:

  • 25 :: Total residential sale transactions (up again from last month)
  • $41,750,000 :: Total residential sales volume (up again from last month)
  • $1,670,000::  Average sales price of reported and unreported sales (down slightly from last month)
  • 90% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (lowest in past several years!)
  • 209 ::  Average days on market prior to selling (up slightly from last month)

What it means:  March real estate sales and dollar volume recovered after a very slow February, however both are still lagging numbers seen the same time last year. Transactions this March were roughly 30% below March 2015, while dollar volume was only 3/4 of what it was last year at this time. The average sales price in March remained high, thanks to several high end sales (see What Sold section). The sale price to list price ratio continued to fall in March, meaning properties were selling, on average, at more of discount, and reached a low not seen in the last 3+ years (since I’ve been compiling stats for this report). While this low percentage was in no doubt helped by a 105 acre ranch parcel which sold for half of its listing price in MLS, even without that transaction, the monthly average was still 92%. While this low percentage could indicate that Sellers are becoming more motivated in general, in reality many Sellers may have priced recent listings aggressively in anticipation that the market would continue to increase at the rate seen in 2015 (see 2015 Year End Report). Since the market value acceleration slowed a bit in 2016, many Sellers may now be willing to sell at a greater discount to their original list prices. The average days on market increased slightly as most properties, on average, sold within 200 days after listing. In March, only 4 properties sold in 3 months or less including two condo hotels in Teton Mountain Lodge and only 1 property sold at the listing price (compare that to various months in 2015, when as many as 1/3 of properties could sell within a few months of being listed and several properties would consistently sell at or above the list price).

Transactions

Volume

DOM

SaletoList%

 

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for April 2016.

Please consider following The Colbert Real Estate Report on social media for hot picks, market trends and industry news.

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Real Estate Transactions hit new low in February in Jackson Hole

The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for February 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – Feb 2016:

  • 19 :: Total residential sale transactions (lowest in past year)
  • $34,688,000 :: Total residential sales volume (up slightly from last month)
  • $1,825,000::  Average sales price of reported and unreported sales (up from last month)
  • 94% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (down from last several months)
  • 194 ::  Average days on market prior to selling (down from last month)

What it means:  Even with the extra Leap Day, real estate sale transactions hit a new low in February with only 19 sales reported to the MLS.  Sales volume remained low, but was a slight improvement from January.   The average sales price rose in February thanks to a $10+ million sale in Indian Springs (see What Sold below). Interestingly, the ratio of sale price to listing price dropped down to 94% after several months of 95-96% illustrating that buyers purchased property at even more of a discount in February. In particular, only 1 of the 19 sales occurred at or very near to the listing prices (compare that to December, where 35% of all sales sold at, near, or above the listing price). While this could be evidence that Sellers are becoming more motivated, more likely I believe that many sellers are pricing their properties above market and then are willing to sell at a price closer to recent sale comps. For example, one home sale in Teton Pines was originally listed at $5.2 million, reduced to $4.3 million and finally sold last month for $3.85 million. Properties that sold in February were on the market for an average of 194 days and marked the first time this statistic has dipped below 200 days since Oct 2015. There were 5 properties (or 26% of all sales) that sold in under 3 months, while two different high end properties sold after 2 years on the market, including a Granite Ridge property that sold after 426 days on the market.

Transactions

SalesVolume

DOM

SaleVsListRatio

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for March 2016.

Please consider following The Colbert Real Estate Report on social media for hot picks, market trends and industry news.

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Sale Transactions & Dollar Volume down at start of New Year

The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for February 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – Jan 2016:

  • 21 :: Total residential sale transactions (lowest in past year)
  • $32,690,000 :: Total residential sales volume (down again from last month)
  • $1,560,000::  Average sales price of reported and unreported sales (down from last month)
  • 95% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (same as last month)
  • 225 ::  Average days on market prior to selling (up slightly from last month)

What it means:  Real estate sale transactions continued to decline in January, reaching a low not seen in the past several years! Sales volume also decreased again, representing the 3rd lowest levels seen in the past year. While January is typically a slow month for sales (Jan 2015 had only 22 sales), some evidence suggests that these sluggish levels of activity may stick around.  The average sales price dipped to $1.5 million in January, after 3 of the last 4 months saw average prices up near $2 million mark. The ratio of sale price to listing price remained at 95% for the second month in a row suggesting that recently buyers are purchasing property at slightly more of a discount (on average). In January, only 2 properties sold within 1% of the listing price (compare that to December, where 35% of all sales sold at, near, or above the listing price). Properties that sold in January were on the market for an average of 225 days. In particular, there were 7 properties that sold after 6 months on the market and 4 that sold after being on the market for over a year. This could be a result of not much new inventory hitting the market, forcing buyers to focus on the existing, older inventory. There were several high-end sales in January, in which the sales prices were not disclosed to the MLS including a 10 acre estate perched above the Town of Kelly (listed for $7.5 million), a 6,000 sq foot house in Crescent H (listed for $7.9 million and pictured below) and a 6 bedroom home at the base of Jackson Hole Mountain Resort.

Trans

Volume

AVSP

CrescentH

6,000 sq foot home in Crescent H sold in January (listed by JHREA)

 

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for February 2016.

 

With the help of my friends and customers, I’ve been voted one of Jackson’s Best Realtors since 2012 and am hoping you can help me earn the GOLD medal this year!

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Visit www.bestofjh.com to vote. Be sure to vote for all your other Jackson favorites. It’s fun!

I very much appreciate your support! 

Real estate values increase in 2015, as Sales Volume up 30% in Jackson Hole

Market Focus

marketfocus

2015 Year in Review: Market Trends and Sale Statistics for the Jackson Hole Real Estate Market

Over the course of 2015, I have tracked many different sale and market statistics which all help paint a picture of the real estate market in Jackson Hole over the past year. Below are some of the take-aways from the Jackson Hole real estate market in 2015, how they compare to 2014, and a look forward to 2016:

Quick Stats – 2015:

  • 466 total real estate transactions in 2015
    • 2014 = 447 sales
  • Sales volume of $743,000,000 (includes reported and unreported* sales)
    • 2014 = $568,000,000
  • Average sales price = $1,590,000
    • 2014 = $1,270,000

*Note: When a sales price is not disclosed in the MLS, an estimate is used based on the current listing price and the average monthly sale to list ratio.

Sales Transactions and Sales Volume: While the number of transactions didn’t increase much, Sales Volume in 2015 jumped up 30% from 2014!! Monthly sales volume in Teton County in 2015 matched or outpaced monthly volume in 2014 in all but one month (July 2015). Not only were the “big” months of Aug & Sept bigger in 2015, much of the rest of year, especially the Spring of 2015 saw roughly double the sales volume of 2014. These levels are impressive given that there were only 19 more sales in 2015 (v. 2014).

YearEndVolume

 

As mentioned in the Quick Stats above, the Average Sales Price in Teton County for 2015, including unreported sales in MLS, was just under $1.6 million. With the exception of July 2015, the monthly average sales price never dipped below $1 million last year. During the peak selling months in the summer/fall 2015, the monthly average sales price hovered around $2 million. The obvious trend? Prices went up in 2015. Compared to 2014, which had an average sales price of $1.27 million, prices in 2015, on average, went up 27%!

YearEndAVSP

 

In analyzing the Breakdown of Sales by Price Point in 2015, and comparing it to 2014, a few trends become clear. Similar to 2014, the majority (36%) of residential sales in Teton County in 2015 were in the $500,000 – $1,000,000 range. These sales included fixer upper single family homes in the Town of Jackson, 3 bedroom townhomes in Town and south of Town, homes in Rafter J and condos in Teton Village. The $1-3 million segment was also strong, accounting for nearly 1/3 of all sales in Teton County in 2015. Compare that to 2014, when this segment made up only 23% of all sales.  Only 4% of all sales in 2015 were under $300,000 and only 1 in 5 sales occurred under $500,000. This is the biggest change from 2014, when nearly 40% of all sales occurred under the half million mark, illustrating a trend of higher prices and a shrinking “entry-level” market. Finally, the percentage of high-end sales ($3 million and up) more than doubled from 2014 to 2015, as many wealthy second homeowners invested in the Jackson Hole market.

PriceBreakdown2015Res

BreakdownPriceRes

The breakdown for land sales in 2015 shows a slightly different distribution, with 50% of all lot sales happening above $1 million – compare that to 2014, when only 29% of sales occurred in this segment. In particular, there were 14 land sales over $3 million in 2015, including parcels in Ely Springs, Shooting Star and Bar B C Ranch. Conversely, only 5% of lot sales in 2015 were under $300,000, compared to nearly 20% of all sales in 2014, illustrating a shrinking entry-level market for vacant land as well. The 4 sales that occurred under $300,000 were located south of Town in the Hoback and Sqauw Creek neighborhoods.

PriceBreakdown2015

BreakdownPriceLand

Summary and What’s Next? There is no question, 2015 was a big year! Sales Volume increased 30% with only a 4% increase in transactions. As expected we saw prices rise with the average sales price increasing roughly $360,000 from 2014 to 2015. Nearly 1/2 of all properties sales occurred over $1 million, with significant growth especially in the higher end of the market. Consequently, the entry level segment of the market shrunk as fewer residential properties and vacant land sold under $500,000 in 2015. It’s hard to imagine this explosive growth can continue. In November and December 2015, we began to witness a slow down in sales and volume (see Jan 2016 Market Report). While some of that can be attributed to the slower time of year, many real estate professionals sense a plateauing of real estate activity in 2016. Even though Jackson Hole is somewhat insulated from global and/or national trends, the recent activity in China, the Middle East and the stock market should have some effect on sales and values in our market.

Stay tuned to The Colbert Real Estate Report for market statistics and trends in Jackson Hole Real Estate as we enter 2016.

December sales lowest since Jan 2015 in Jackson Hole real estate market

The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for January 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – Dec 2015:

  • 23 :: Total residential sale transactions (2nd lowest in past year)
  • $44,525,000 :: Total residential sales volume (another drop)
  • $1,935,000::  Average sales price of reported and unreported sales (back up after a dip last month)
  • 95% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (slight drop after many consistent months)
  • 217 ::  Average days on market prior to selling (identical to last month)

What it means:  Real estate sale transactions dropped off significantly in December, marking the lowest number of monthly sales since Jan 2015, and perhaps signaling a new trend of slowing real estate activity. Sales volume also declined again, representing the 3rd lowest levels seen in the past year.  The average sales price was back up near $2 million, a typical average price over the last several months. The ratio of sale price to listing price dropped slightly to 95% after 7 months at 96%, suggesting that recently buyers are purchasing property at more of a discount (on average). That being said however, 35% of all sales in December sold at, near, or above the listing price, including all 3 sales that occurred under $500,000.  Properties selling in December were, on average, on the market slightly longer than sales in the summer months. The 10 acre Forest Service parcel on North Cache finally sold after 910 days on the market (and after falling out of contract with several previous buyers).  Conversely there were also several property sales that occurred very quickly in December including a cabin on 3 acres in Red Top Meadows (listed for $489,000) and an Aspens one bedroom condo with a unique floor plan (listed for $405,000). Both properties sold in under 70 days from hitting the market. Well priced and high demand properties continue to sell quickly, however many aggressively priced properties are sitting on the market. Heading into 2016, I anticipate this trend to continue as Buyers continue to be motivated by value and are not ready or willing to pay more than a property is worth (based on the most recent market comps).

Transactions

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AvgSalePrice

DOM

AspensCondo

Aspens Condo with unique floor plan sold quickly in December

 

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for January 2016.

 

 Thank you to all my clients and colleagues for making 2015 a great year in real estate. I was able to help 19 different buyers and sellers (15 shown) purchase or sell property in Teton County this past year.

2015NewYear

How can I help you buy or sell a home in 2016? 

Sales Volume drops significantly in November in Jackson Hole real estate market

The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for Dec 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – Nov 2015:

  • 41 :: Total residential sale transactions (down for the second month)
  • $52,500,000 :: Total residential sales volume (a BIG drop from the last few months)
  • $1,280,000::  Average sales price of reported and unreported sales (down after many months near $2m)
  • 96% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (consistent for past 7 months)
  • 216 ::  Average days on market prior to selling (up for second month in a row)

What it means:  Real estate sale transactions dipped again in November after a busy Fall season. Sales volume dropped off significantly in November, representing only half of sales volumes seen this summer.  The average sales price also decreased significantly, down nearly 35% from the averages of Aug-Sept-Oct. Properties are consistently selling, on average, at 96% of the current listing price. That being said there were several properties that sold this month for significantly less than their original listing price including a 2 bedroom home in Rafter J that sold for $50,000 less than the listing price, a Moosecreek townhome in Teton Village that sold at 90% of list price and a property at the base of Snow King, which sold for nearly $200,000 less than its original listing price. Properties that sold in November were, on average, on the market longer than sales in the previous 2 months. in particular, a unique distressed property (short sale) on Fish Creek Road finally sold after being on the market for over 2 years (pictured below).  That being said, there were 12 properties that sold in November (29% of all sales) after less than 3 months on the market, including a 3 bedroom condo at Snow King with short term rental zoning, which had multiple offers in the first few days and sold for $15,000 OVER the listing price. Bottom line: Well priced properties continue to sell quickly, while aggressively priced properties sit on the market and/or eventually sell at deep discounts. This demonstrates that Buyers are ready to buy but are motivated by value and are not willing to over pay for a property.

Transactions

Volume

AverageSalePrice

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FishCreek

Unique Property on Fish Creek Rd – a short sale that finally sold after 2+ years on market

 

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for December 2015.

 

Please consider following The Colbert Real Estate Report on social media for hot picks, market trends and industry news.

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October real estate transactions and volume dipped slightly, but remain strong in Jackson Hole market

The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for October 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – Oct 2015:

  • 46 :: Total residential sale transactions (down slightly after 2 high months)
  • $89,000,000 :: Total residential sales volume (including unreported sale prices)
  • $1,940,000::  Average sales price of reported and unreported sales (similar to last month)
  • 96% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (consistent for past 6 months)
  • 196 ::  Average days on market prior to selling (back up after a low month in Sept)

What it means:  After a very strong performance in August and September, both real estate transactions and sales volume dipped slightly in October, but remained robust. Sales transactions in October were the fifth highest in the past 12 months, while sales volume (including unreported sale prices*) was the fourth highest in the previous year. The average sales price in Teton County remained consistent with the past 2 months, hovering just under $2 million. Properties continue to sell, on average, at a 4% discount to the current listing price.  The average days a property sits on the market before selling increased slightly after a low in September and is right near the 12-month average of 193 days. In particular, there were 3 properties that sold last month after more than 2 years on the market, including a Bed and Breakfast on Teton Village Road, that sold for 97% of its original listing price when it first came onto the market back in July 2013. We continue to see well priced and/or in high demand properties selling very quickly and close to asking price. In October, 16 of the 46 sales (35% of all sales) closed within 3 months of being listed. Additionally, 7 sales in October sold at or ABOVE the listing price, including a rare Grand Teton National Park in-holding, which sold for $1.795m after 150 days on the market.

*Note that in previous reports, I separately tracked sales that were reported to the MLS and transactions where the sales price was withheld from the MLS. Lately, there have been several significant sales each month that are not reported to the MLS. Given that these undisclosed sales are a valuable component in tracking the overall market trends, going forward, I will be reporting the COMBINED total sales volume and average sales prices, including those sales reported to the MLS and making an estimate for sale prices not reported to the MLS.

Transactions

Volume

AverageSalesPrice

DaysonMarket

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for November 2015.

 

Please consider following The Colbert Real Estate Report on social media for hot picks, market trends and industry news.

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Entry level options disappear as upper-end home sales increase – Quarterly Update from The Jackson Hole Report

Entry level home options (under $500,000) have all but disappeared in the Jackson Hole real estate market, while upper-end home sales (over $1 million) see impressive increases amid the recovery. 

The Jackson Hole Report, a quarterly market report prepared by my colleague David Viehman at RE/MAX Obsidian Real Estate, provides insights into the local real estate market through the end of the 3rd quarter. Click HERE to read the full 2015 Q3 Report.

After the first 9 months of 2015, the trend in the Jackson Hole real estate market seems to be this: the more expensive the price point of the home, the greater the increase in sale transactions and sales volume. Home sales over $1 million are up 27%; home sales over $3 million are up 36%; and homes selling for over $5 million are up a whopping 200% compared to this time last year.

Conversely, homes for sale under $500,000 are a thing of the past. For only the second time in Jackson Hole’s history, there are ZERO single family homes for sale under $500,000. The least expensive single family home for sale in Teton County is a 584 sq ft log cabin with a loft bedroom on 2.24 acres in Red Top Meadows, priced at $545,000. These prices push many first time homebuyers into the condo/townhome market, where less than half of the 24 condo/townhomes listed for sale under $500,000 have a garage. Even with low interest rates, Buyers still need to come up with a $75,000 – $100,000 down payment to avoid costly private mortgage insurance.

OVERALL MARKET

Compared to last year, the first 9 months of 2015 continued to show signs of a bullish market recovery with increases across the entire real estate market.

  • Number of Sale Transactions are up 11%
  • Overall dollar volume rose 40%
  • Average Sale Price increased by 27%
  • Nearly half (47%) of real estate transactions in Jackson Hole through Q3 2015 were cash sales (i.e. no financing)
  • 51% of available listings are priced under $1 million, with only 11% of all inventory priced under $500,000
  • Overall available inventory rose slightly (2%), with an average listing price of $2.7 million, however available inventory under $1 million continues to decline
  • High end sales are experiencing tremendous growth with a 66% increase in sales. Notably, 26 sales have occurred over $5 million, up 200% from last year.
ShootingStar

Shooting Star Cabin at the base of Jackson Hole Mountain Resort – listed for $5.5 million and sold for an undisclosed price

SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

  • Single family home sales continue to gain steam, with transactions up 7% and dollar volume up 41%
  • Average Sale Price increased 32%
  • The $500,000 – $1 million segment saw the most sales (77) through the 3rd quarter, while the $1 -2 million range fared well too, with 62 sales so far this year
  • Most (28%) single family home sales occurred in the Town of Jackson, while 15 homes have sold in Rafter J in 2015
  • Available single family home listings are up 9%, with homes over $1 million up 11%, however the average listing price actually dipped 3% compared to this time last year
RafterJKingEider

Newly built home in Rafter J’s King Eider neighborhood was the most expensive sale in Rafter J in 2015, selling for more than $900,000

CONDO/TOWNHOME

  • Overall condo sales are up 7%, with condo sales over $1 million up 235%!
  • Condos and townhomes in Teton Village and Shooting Star accounted for 2/3 of the sales over $1 million
  • Average Sale Price is up 29%
  • Available inventory increased 25%, however inventory levels are still hovering at an eight year low
  • Active condo listings under $500,000 are down 61% compared to the high inventory levels seen in 2009
  • There are 24 available condos priced under $500,000, with only 3 condos are priced under $300,000
Pondo

2 bdrm condo in Town is one of only 3 available under $300,000

VACANT LAND

  • Lot sales continue to increase, with a 20% increase in transactions and a 54% increase in dollar volume compared to Q3 2014
  • Average Sale Price is up 29%
  • The majority (53%) of single family lot sales were over $1 million
  • Vacant land listings under $500,000 are disappearing, with only 13 currently on the market.

marketreport

As a first time home buyer in today’s market, it may seem that prices and values are becoming out of reach. Even as a seasoned home buyer, it is obvious that you can’t get as much as you once could in any given price range. That being said, there are still opportunities out there, with many not listed in the MLS. If you are an active buyer, or looking to get into the Jackson Hole real estate market, please connect with me for an honest and comprehensive analysis of the current buying opportunities in our market.

As a Seller, the best strategy is to price your property competitively (based on the most comparable sales) and market it effectively. If you are interested in a learning what your property could sell for in this market, please connect with me for a free, in-depth, data-driven market analysis.

Another strong month for transactions and sales volume in Jackson Hole real estate market

The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for October 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary Sept 2015:

  • 53:: Total residential sale transactions (similar to Aug’s high)
  • $100,500,000 :: Total residential sales volume including unreported sale prices
  • $1,900,000::  Average sales price of reported and unreported sales
  • 96% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (consistent for past 5 months)
  • 155 ::  Average days on market prior to selling (back down after last month’s spike)

What it means:  September real estate sales followed in August’s footsteps, recording a second straight month of robust transaction levels. Additionally, sales volume in September had another strong performance topping $100 million for the second month in a row (including reported and non-reported sales prices – see note below).  As a point of reference, we haven’t seen total sales volume top $100 million since October 2013 and haven’t seen numbers even close to these since last fall (Sept & Oct 2014 had total sales volumes of just over $90 million each). It is typical for the fall months, mainly Sept and Oct, to put up strong numbers as they account for deals that came together during the busy summer selling season (i.e. if you put a property under contract in Aug, you will most likely close in Sept or Oct). I also think the high September sales transaction and volume are also an indication of increasing motivation of sellers as we approach the end of summer. As an illustration, we saw several price reductions last month as many Sellers hope to sell their properties before winter. In conjunction with the higher than usual sales volume, the average sales price (again including both reported and unreported sales) remained much higher than usual at just under $2 million.  The average days a property sits on the market before selling dropped down again after a small increase in August. Properties that are well priced and/or in high demand continue to sell very quickly and close to asking price. In particular, 22 of the sales in September closed within 3 months of being listed. Additionally, nearly 20% of all sales occurring in September closed at or above the listing price.

Note that in previous reports, I separately tracked sales that were reported to the MLS and transactions where the sales price was withheld from the MLS. Lately, there have been several significant sales each month that are not reported to the MLS. Given that these undisclosed sales are a valuable component in tracking the overall market trends, going forward, I will be reporting the COMBINED total sales volume and average sales prices, including those sales reported to the MLS and making an estimate for sale prices not reported to the MLS.

transactions

VolumewithUnreported

AVSP

ADOM

 

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for October 2015.

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