Unreported sales push August sales volume above $100 million

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for Sept 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – Aug 2015:

  • 51:: Total residential sale transactions (up after 2 low months)
  • $40,500,000 :: Total residential sales volume reported to MLS (back up after a slow July)
  • $103,700,000 :: Total residential sales volume including unreported sale prices
  • $1,070,000::  Average sales price of reported sales (back up after a down month)
  • $2,034,000::  Average sales price including unreported sale prices
  • 96% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (same as last few months)
  • 201 ::  Average days on market prior to selling (up after 5 months of decline)

What it means:  After a slow June and July, August picked up the pace logging over 50 transactions last month, falling in line with May 2015, and marking the 3rd highest monthly transaction level in the past year. Reported sales volume increased slightly compared to July, however reported sales do not tell the whole story for August. Last month there were 13 property sales that did not disclose the sales price to the MLS. Many times, buyers and/or sellers do not want the real estate community to be privy to the agreed upon sales price of a particular property. This usually occurs with higher-end luxury properties (in this case 8 of the 13 unreported sales in August were for over $2 million).  When factoring in these unreported sales, August’s sales volume spikes to over $100 million (!) – the highest monthly sales volume not only in the past year but since October 2013.  The average sales price increased slightly in August but continues to hover near the $1 million mark. However, when adding in the 13 unreported sales, the average sales price increases to more than $2 million, or 2x the typical average.  A property’s average days on market jumped up after a 5 month declining trend. This can be explained by several of the higher-end sales in August, as these properties tend to sit on the market longer because the buyer pool is much smaller (as compared to say, a $400,000 townhome in Town). That being said, we continue to see well priced and high demand properties go under contract very quickly. Twenty-two of the 51 sales in August (or nearly one half) sold within 3 months of being listed (with many selling very close to the listing prices).

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Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for September 2015.

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Average New Listing Prices are 2.5x greater than Average Sales Price in July

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for Aug 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

What’s new in July 2015? (New Listing Analysis)

  • 94 :: Total number of new listings in June (a drop after several increasing months)
  • 76 new residential properties (single family, condo, townhome)
    • Average List Price: $1,890,000
    • New listings already under contract or sold: 13
  • 18 new building sites
    • Average List Price: $2,590,000
    • New listings already under contract or sold: 0

What it means: New listings took a dip in July after several months of steady increases, however we are still ahead of new listings from this time last year (July 2014 = 82 new listings). New inventory continues to outpace sales at a rate of nearly 3x, meaning for every sale, there are almost 3 new listings that hit the market. (Compare that to last fall when for several months there were more sales than new listings – see chart below.) The average listing price of all new listings in July (land and residential combined) remained high at nearly $2.25 million, which is almost 2.5x the average sales price in July (see Summary Section). For the past several months, between 22% – 32% of a month’s new listings are already under contract or sold by the time this report is published (usually around the 10th of the next month). Currently only 17% of the new July listings are under contract, a sharp drop from last month’s 29%. This further illustrates the recent lull in the market, which is also marked by lower transactions and sales volume (see Summary Section).

Notable new listings in July include: two new Elk Run townhomes listed just under $550,000 (one pictured below), a rarely listed Hillside condo overlooking Karns Meadow (already under contract), and 3 properties priced north of $5 million in Shooting Star, John Dodge and Teton Pines.

Click HERE to view all new July residential listings.

Click HERE to view all new July land listings.

New

new v sales

ElkRun

Recently listed Elk Run for $545,000

Still thinking of listing this summer? ForSale

If you are currently thinking about selling, I’d be happy to chat with you about the current real estate market. As a Seller, you may benefit from low inventory levels and resulting pent up demand in Teton County. Please contact me for more info or to receive a free market analysis on your property.

 

Sales Volume and Transactions down in July in Jackson Hole

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for Aug 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – July 2015:

  • 33:: Total residential sale transactions (down again after May’s high)
  • $28,300,000 :: Total residential sales volume reported to MLS (down again from last month)
  • $944,000::  Average sales price of reported sales (down after several months of increases)
  • 96% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (same as last few months)
  • 158 ::  Average days on market prior to selling (down for the 5th month in a row)

What it means:  After a spike in May, transaction levels and sales volume dropped significantly in June and July appears to be following the same trend, dropping to pre-summer sales levels. Reported sales volume in July marked the lowest volume in the past 6 months.  There were only 3 unreported sale prices in July and all were for properties priced under $550,000. This is interesting as most unreported sales are for very high end property sales. (These buyers may have received a great deal (or maybe feared they paid too much) and therefore didn’t want the real estate community to know the final sales price.) The average sales price declined in July after a spike in June ($1.3 million) and dipped below the $1 million mark for only the second time in 2015.   The average days a property is on the market before closing continues to decline (5th month in a row), and now represents the second lowest number of days in the past year. Well priced properties continue to go under contract very quickly, many times within a day of being listed in the MLS. In particular, in the month of July nearly 50% of all sales occurred within 90 days of being listed. While many sellers are listing their properties very aggressively given past comps, we saw several price reductions in July, suggesting that some Sellers may be feeling pressured from the well priced properties that are going under contract quickly.

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Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for August 2015.

 

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A Full Recovery? Close, but not quite. Quarterly Update from The Jackson Hole Report

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Are we back to the real estate peak of 2007? Has the Jackson Hole market made a full recovery?

Not quite, but we are getting close according to The Jackson Hole Report, a quarterly market report prepared by my colleague David Viehman at RE/MAX Obsidian Real Estate. Click HERE to read the full 2015 Q2 Report.

Compared to this time last year, transactions have spiked (up 21%) and the average sales price has increased 32%. However, if we look at several paired sales (sales of identical properties (with little to no remodeling) that sold in 2006-2007 and again in 2014-2015), we get a better understanding of which types of properties and locations have recovered faster than others. The Jackson Hole Report looked at 108 of these paired sales and found the following:

  • Only 7 sales (6.4%) have actually increased in value from the peak and all time high of late 2007
  • Single family home values increased more than condos, townhomes or vacant land
  • Teton Village is the only area to report widespread increases in value

OVERALL MARKET

Compared to last year, the first 6 months of 2015 showed increases across the entire real estate market as a result of relatively low inventory levels and increasing demand.

  • Number of Sale Transactions are up 21%
  • Overall dollar volume rose 58%!
  • Average Sale Price increased by 32%
  • Sales over $1 million are up a staggering 83% since this time last year, with 1/3 of all property sales occuring between $1-3 million
  • Teton Village accounted for 16% of all sales and 27% of all sales volume
  • Overall available inventory remains low, with only a 3% increase over Q2 2014, and still represents some of the lowest inventory levels we’ve seen since the peak of 2007
  • Currently there are only 14 single family homes available in Teton County priced under $750,000 – compare that to last year, which saw 158 home sales under $750,000
HaySled

Just listed in Rafter J for $629,000, this 2 bed/1 bath home is the least expensive single family home (outside of Moran and Hoback)

SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

  • Demand continues to increase in 2015 with 31% more sales compared to last year
  • Average Sale Price increased 21%
  • The $1 – $3 million segment has seen the greatest increase – up 66% compared to mid-year 2014
  • Many older homes (20+ years) have come onto the market recently and currently make up 39% of available single family home inventory
  • Available single family home listings are up only slightly (5%) when compared to last year at this time
  • These new listings have a median list price close to $2.2 million
GraniteRidge

Recently listed 7,500+ sq foot retreat in Granite Ridge at the base of Jackson Hole Mountain Resort – $12.75 million

CONDO/TOWNHOME

  • Sales are up 16% compared to mid year 2014
  • Average Sale Price is up 65% resulting from a jump in condo sales above $1 million
  • Hot Spot: Condos in Teton Village, which was up 106%
  • Available inventory declined 7% from Q2 2014
  • Only 29% of available condos are priced under $500,000
WhiteBuffaloClub

Newly listed condos in The White Buffalo Club in downtown Jackson -One bdrm unit for $320,000 and 3 bdrm unit for $975,000

VACANT LAND

  • Lot sales continue to increase, up 11% compared to mid year 2014
  • Average Sale Price is up 22%
  • Lot sales over $1 million are up 40%
  • 50% of lot sales this year went to locals, who are perhaps fed up with the low single family home inventory
  • Over 3/4 of all lot sales in 2015 were cash transactions

OUTLOOK: Low inventory levels and high demand suggest that the Jackson Hole market will continue to appreciate throughout the summer. We should expect to see high levels of activity in the under $1 million single family home segment, given the particularly low inventory in that price range. However, buyers appear to be motivated by value (and not their emotions) and are not making offers on overpriced listings. As evidence, we’ve seen many overpriced listings sit on the market for more than a year as Sellers try to ‘test’ the market.

marketreport

As a Seller, the best strategy is to price your property competitively (based on comparable sales) and market it effectively. If you are interested in a learning what your property could sell for in this market, please connect with me for a free, in-depth, data-driven market analysis.

60% of properties selling in June were on market less than 90 days

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for June 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – June 2015:

  • 57 :: Total residential sale transactions (back down after a spike in May)
  • $54,000,000 :: Total residential sales volume reported to MLS (down slightly from last month)
  • $1,300,000::  Average sales price of reported sales (back up after 2 months of decline)
  • 96% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (same as last month)
  • 168 ::  Average days on market prior to selling (down for the 4th month in a row)

What it means:  After a spike in May, transaction levels in June returned to more recent levels, suggesting that May was more of an anomaly than the start of a summer trend, as many may have suspected. It will be interesting to see if July is in line with June or if we see a spike back up to May levels. Sales Volume was down, but not down significantly given the drop in transactions. As illustrated by the average sales price in June, there were many high end sales that contributed to the sales volume. There were two sales with unreported sales prices, which would bring the total sales volume to $58.2 million, which is consistent with levels seen in the last 5 months.  The sales price to list price ratio remained high at 96% as demand continues to out pace supply. The average days a property is on the market before closing declined for the 4th month in a row, representing the second lowest number of days in the past year. If priced well, properties are being snatched up very quickly. In fact in the month of June, nearly 60% of the properties that sold had been on the market for less than 90 days! As many sellers continue to list their properties at overly optimistic (read: above market) prices, Buyers are quick to jump on well priced new listings.

Transactions

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AvgSalesPrice

Days on Market

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for July 2015.

 

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Real Estate Transactions sky rocket in May in Jackson Hole

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for June 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – May 2015:

  • 57 :: Total residential sale transactions (a huge jump from the last few months)
  • $54,000,000 :: Total residential sales volume reported to MLS (up significantly from last month)
  • $976,000::  Average sales price of reported sales (another dip)
  • 96% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (down slightly from last month)
  • 204 ::  Average days on market prior to selling (down again from last month)

What it means:  Transaction levels sky rocketed in May, hitting a high mark not seen since the Fall of 2013, signaling what could be a very busy summer in the Jackson Hole real estate market. Sales Volume also saw a significant increase in May, with $54 million in reported sales, marking the highest volume since October 2014 (see chart below). Adding in 2 sales with unreported sales prices, puts the actual volume in the $66 million range. We should expect to see these numbers continue to increase as we enter the busy summer selling season. As a point of reference, last September we saw sales volumes in excess of $90 million. We should also expect to see new listings continue to hit the market (See “What’s New?” section). The average sales price in May dropped again thanks to several sales in the sub-$500,000 market including 9 condo sales under $400,000. The sales price to list price ratio remained high at 96% as demand continues to out pace supply. The average days a property sits on the market before closing also continued to decrease, another illustration of the current “seller’s market” existing in the Jackson Hole Real Estate market.

Transactions

ReportedVolume

DaysonMarket

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New listings increase as we enter busy summer selling season, but still lagging levels from last year

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What’s new in May 2015? (New Listing Analysis)

  • 85 :: Total number of new listings in May (a jump from last month’s 66)
  • 67 new residential properties (single family, condo, townhome)
    • Average List Price: $1,650,000
    • New listings already under contract or sold: 15
  • 18 new building sites
    • Average List Price: $2,375,000
    • New listings already under contract or sold: 1

What it means: The number of new listings continues to increase each month as we have now entered the busy summer selling season in the Jackson Hole real estate market. We are seeing slightly fewer new listings than we did during this time last year (see chart below). Despite the new listings, inventory levels continue to remain very low. New listings in May barely replaced the inventory that was sold in May (see chart below). Many of the recent new listings appear to be ‘testing’ the market with aggressive listing prices that are significantly higher than past sales. In some cases, buyers are willing to pay that premium because inventory levels are so low. Many buyers may feel a sense of urgency to get into a market that has been increasing at a fast pace for the last 6 months. When these higher sales prices are achieved they set the new bar for future listings in that neighborhood or condo complex, which then contributes to the increasing market.  Of the 15 new residential listings in May that are already under contract or have closed, 13 of them were priced under $1 million with only 3 of them priced under $500,000. This again points to a consistently hot market in the $500,000 – $1 million range (see “What Sold?” above). The month of May saw many new high end lots hit the market (with an average list price of $3,275,000) including four 40 acre parcels of land available in Buffalo Valley for $18,900,000 and two different 35 acre ranch parcels in the Bar BC listed for $8.5 million and $8.95 million (pictured below).

Click HERE to view all new May residential listings.

Click HERE to view all new May land listings.

NewListings

NewvsSold

BarBC

Teton views from a 35 acre ranch parcel in the Bar BC

Thinking of listing this summer? There is still time.ForSale

If you are currently thinking about selling, I’d be happy to chat with you about the current real estate market. As a Seller, you may benefit from the record low inventory levels and resulting pent up demand in Teton County. Please contact me for more info or to receive a free market analysis on your property.

 

 

Sales to List Price increases to 97% for April real estate sales in jackson Hole

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for May 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – Apr 2015:

  • 34 :: Total residential sale transactions (similar to the last 3 months)
  • $34,000,000 :: Total residential sales volume reported to MLS (down from last month)
  • $1,135,000::  Average sales price of reported sales (a drop after two high months)
  • 97% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (up again from last month, highest in almost a year)
  • 215 ::  Average days on market prior to selling (down from last month)

What it means:  Transaction levels remained consistent in April, hovering around 35 sales. We should expect the increase in new listings (See “What’s New?“) to increase sale transactions in the coming months. Reported sales volume in April took a slight dip from previous months, however adding in the estimated sales volume from 4 high end, unreported sales resulted in a slight increase in overall sales volume in April (see chart below). The average sales price in April dropped after 5 straight months of increases. This can be explained by several entry level condo and townhome sales this past month (7 sales under $500,000). For the first time in almost a year, the sales price to list price ratio hit a high of 97%, as many properties are selling very close to list price.

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Click HERE to view the entire Monthly Market Update for May. 

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Quarterly Market Update from The Jackson Hole Report

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marketfocusAvailable inventory in the Jackson Hole real estate market has been declining since Spring 2011. Currently inventory is the lowest it’s been in more than 25 years! Compare that to just 5 years ago (Spring 2010), when the market offered the most inventory in 25 years. This time of year in 2010, Buyers had 640 available homes, lots, condos, multi-family and commercial properties to choose from; now that same Buyer has half as many choices (319 active listings).

Every quarter, David Viehman, my colleague at RE/MAX Obsidian Real Estate publishes The Jackson Hole Report, an in-depth look at real estate sales, market trends and an analysis of different market segments. David’s report not only includes all the MLS sales, but he is also able to track sales happening outside of MLS. Below are some interesting statistics from his Q1 2015 Report. Please contact me for a copy of his entire report. All statistics (unless otherwise noted) are Q1 2015 verses Q1 2014.

Highlights:

OVERALL MARKET

  • Despite low inventory, the number of sales are up 10% vs Q1 2014 with sales volume up a staggering 46%!
  • As expected, average sales prices were also up 32%, with help from the $1-3 million segment, which saw 32% of all sales in Q1 2015.
  • Upper-End Sales (over $2 million) have seen 105% higher sales in Q1 2015 vs Q1 2014, with a third of those sales being condos (think Four Seasons).
  • The amount of properties currently under contract in Q1 2015 is 51% higher than Q1 2014, with a median list price up 51% as well.
  • Conversely, overall available inventory is down 17% when compared to Q1 2014.

CONDOS/TOWNHOMES

  • Available inventory is down 39% from Q1 2014.
  • During the height of the recession (2009) there were 4 times as many available condos on the market (195) compared to only 49 condos available now.
  • Of the 49 condos/townhomes available, only 14 are priced under $500,000 and only 4 are priced under $300,000.
  • Despite low inventory, condo/townhome sales are up 15% compared to Q1 2014, a trend that is expected to continue as we enter the summer months.

SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

  • Home sales in this segment are lagging 2014 (down 5% vs Q1 2014) due to record low inventory levels, however the median sales price has increased 22%.
  • As of April 1, 2015, only 107 homes were listed in the MLS (in all price ranges).
  • In 2013, there were 96 sales of single family homes under $750,000. Currently there are only 10 homes for sale in this price range.

TETON VILLAGE

  • Buyer’s flocked to Teton Village this winter (Jan-March 2015) gobbling up 69% more sales than the first quarter 2014 for 72% more in sales volume.
  • Nineteen properties currently under contract in Teton Village suggest this trend will continue.
  • Available affordable inventory is very low as we enter the summer months – only 4 condos priced under $500,000

Please contact me for a copy of the entire First Quarter 2015 – Jackson Hole Report.

March sales continue trend of increasing sales prices in Jackson Hole

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for April 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – Mar 2015:

  • 33 :: Total residential sale transactions (down slightly from Feb’s 35)
  • $52,000,000 :: Total residential sales volume reported to MLS (up slightly from last month)
  • $1,570,000::  Average sales price of reported sales (identical to last month)
  • 95% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (up slightly from last month)
  • 239 ::  Average days on market prior to selling (up slightly from last month’s 243)
  • 48 :: Number of new listings in March
  • $1,240,000 :: Average list price of new listings
  • 15 :: Number of those new listings currently under contract or already sold

What it means:  The month of March echoed the trends/statistics we saw in February. Sales Volume remained close to $50 million (the highest levels we’ve seen in 2015) and sale transactions hovered near 30. We continue to see a lower amount of sale transactions as a result of extremely low inventory levels. Despite limited sale transactions however, the average sales price remained near $1.5 million, due to several high end sales in March (see What Sold below). The average sales price has been increasing, month over month, since November 2014 (see chart below). Sale price to list price and average days on market in March remained close to February numbers.

NEW THIS MONTH: Every month going forward, I will be monitoring new residential listings, the average list prices of those listings and tracking how many of them go under contract (or sell) within the month. These benchmarks should help keep an eye on inventory levels and can help us understand the relationship between new inventory (new supply) and sales prices. See the Market Focus section below for an in-depth analysis of past patterns of new listings/inventory levels in Teton County.

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Click HERE to read the entire Monthly Market Update for April. 

 

Interested in keeping an eye on new listings this spring/summer? Would you like to be alerted as soon as a new listing hits the market in a particular location or price range? 

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