Sales and dollar volume down again, available inventory lowest since 2007: Mid Year update from The Jackson Hole Report

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Sale transactions and dollar volume are down again in the second quarter of 2016, mostly due to dwindling well-priced inventory under $1 million.  The Jackson Hole Report, a quarterly market report prepared by my colleague David Viehman at RE/MAX Obsidian Real Estate, provides insights into the local real estate market through the end of the 2nd quarter 2016. Click HERE to read the full 2016 Mid Year Report. A summary of statistics/trends follows:

OVERALL MARKET

  • Total number of Sale Transactions are down 16%
  • Sales under $1 million are down 21%
  • Overall dollar volume is down 14%
  • Despite dwindling sales, the Average Sale Price increased by 3% in Q2 2016
  • Hot Price Point: Properties priced under $1 million, where 53% of the sales occurred in the second quarter
  • Hot Location: The Town of Jackson, which accounted for 35% of all sales in the second quarter
  • Overall inventory is down by 7% (compared to Q2 2015), representing the LOWEST inventory levels since the market peak in 2007

HIGH END MARKET

  • High-end property sales ($2+ million) were down 23% from Q2 2015
  • However, despite declining sales, high-end properties under contract have increased by 42%
  • There are 68 properties for sale over $5 million, an increase of 11%
  • The most expensive property for sale in Teton County is a 264 acre property just south of Wilson with 7,715 sq ft main house, guest house, and expansive frontage on both the Snake River and Fish Creek, listed for $53 million (pictured below)

264 acre property on Snake River & Fish Creek – $53 million (listed by JH Sotheby’s)

SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

  • Single family (SF) home sales in the second quarter were up only slightly (2%) from last year at this time
  • SF home sales over $1 million are up 18%, SF home sales over $3 million are up 43%
  • Overall SF home inventory is down 12%, with only 20% of listings priced under $1 million
  • Only 13 homes are available under $750,000, down 71% from this time last year
  • The average asking price of new listings is up 11% to $3.65 million – the second highest average ever!

Click HERE to view the 39 single family home listings priced under $1 million

3 bed / 2 bath in Cottonwood Park – $650,000 (Listed by JH Sotheby’s)

CONDO/TOWNHOME

  • Overall condo sales have slowed, down 6% from this time last year
  • Condo sales under $500,000 fell dramatically (down 32%)
  • Overall available inventory is up 10%, however inventory under $300,000 is down 71%
  • The average listing price for condo/townhomes is up 29%
  • 72% of available condos are priced under $1 million, with only 31% priced under $500,000

Click HERE to see the 26 condos/townhomes available under $500,000

Nelson

4 bedroom townhome in East Jackson – $499,000 (listed by RE/MAX Obsidian)

VACANT LAND

  • Lot sales are down significantly (55%) with only 28 sales in the first 6 months of 2016
  • However, the average sales price continues to climb, up 10% in Q2 2016
  • 64% of lot sales are purchased with cash (i.e. no financing)
  • Overall available inventory dipped 5% from Q2 2015, however the supply of lots remains high
  • NOTE: Supply exceeds demand in this segment, with 34 months of inventory currently on the market.
  • The majority of available lots (49) are in the $500,000 – $1 million price range.

 

WHAT TO DO NEXT? 

BUYERS: Given the low levels of available inventory, especially in the entry level market, well priced and well maintained properties will continue to sell quickly. Please connect with me so that I can alert you about soon-to-be-listed properties in your price range. You can also search Jackson Hole properties on my website or sign up for automatic listing updates. As a Buyer, it’s very important to be prepared to act quickly. Get pre-qualified with a local bank (contact me for a list of local lenders) in order to be ready to make an offer on a competitive property.

SELLERS: As a Seller, the best strategy is to price your property competitively (based on the most comparable sales) and market it effectively, as well priced properties can receive multiple offers. If you are interested in a learning what your property could sell for in this market, please complete the Home Valuation Request Form for a free, in-depth, data-driven market analysis.

Condos and Homes in the $500,000-$1,000,000 price range see increased activity in June

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for July 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

What Sold in June 2016?

  • 55% :: Percentage of single family home sales (back up after low last month)
  • 38% :: Percentage of condo/townhome sales (down after high last month)
  • 7% :: Percentage of Land Sales (down for second month in a row)
  • 45% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for over $1 million (up again from last month)
  • 55% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $1 million (down again from last month)
  • 16% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $500,000 (half of last month)

What it means:  Single family homes sales are back up after a slow May, representing over half of all property sales in June.  Condos and townhome sales dipped after a strong showing in May.  Land sales declined again last month (only 4 sales in June), as many buyers focus their attention on the influx of existing homes and townhomes that have come onto the market in the last few months.  Entry level sales took a dip after a strong May, with only 15% of all sales occurring under $500,000 in June. The “hot spot” in June was the $500,000 – $1,000,000 price range, representing 36% of all sales last month. Sales in this segment included several vacation condos in The Aspens and Teton Village and several single family homes in Rafter J and Cottonwood Park, which are popular with local buyers. Property sales over $1 million increased for a second month in a row, accounting for 45% of all sales. High end property sales (defined as sales over $3 million) slowed in June as only 4 sales occurred in this price range (7% of all sales). Three of these high end sales were in Granite Ridge – 2 cabins (pictured below) and the last remaining undeveloped slopeside lot in the development. 

Under500

Over1m

PropertyType

Granite Ridge

One of 2 Granite Ridge cabins that sold in June (listed by JH Sotheby’s)

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for July 2016.

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New listing activity explodes in May in Jackson Hole real estate market

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for June 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

What’s new in May 2016? (New Listing Analysis)

  • 110 :: Total number of new listings in April
    • Total New Listing Volume: $206,025,000
    • Average List Price: $1,870,000
  • 78 new residential properties (single family, condo, townhome)
    • Average List Price: $1,860,000
    • New listings already under contract or sold: 13
  • 32 new building sites
    • Average List Price: $1,890,000
    • New listings already under contract or sold: 1

What it means: Hello Inventory! New listing activity exploded in May as over 100 new listings hit the market last month, totaling over $200 million in listing volume. Without a doubt, the busy summer selling season is here! In the early parts of 2016, inventory levels lagged 2014 & 2015 numbers (see chart below), however new listings in May surpassed 2015 levels and nearly matched 2014 levels.  New listings in May outpaced sales at a rate of more than 3 to 1, meaning for every sale in May, 3 new listings came onto the market. The average asking price of May’s new listings was close to $2 million, as many high end properties hit the market. In particular, there were 13 new listings over $3 million in Teton County in May, including a 35 acre property in Ely Springs Ranch ($10.3 million), the re-listing of the Lazy Moose Ranch in Wilson ($8.75 million) and a 5,100 sq foot home in Bar-B-Bar Meadows north of town (listed for $3.25 million and pictured below).  At the other end of the spectrum, 9 condos priced under $500,000 were added to the summer inventory, including a 2-story, 2 bed/2 bath townhome on Glenwood ($395,000) and a 2 bedroom Ponderosa Village condo, currently the least expensive property in Teton County, listed at $265,000.  Compared to April, May also saw nearly 3 times as many new lot listings, with an average listing price near $2 million. The least expensive lot listing in May is a 4.3 acre lot located south of Wilson for $380,000, while the most expensive lot listing was a 35 acre parcel in Crescent H Ranch listed for $6.75 million.

Notable new listings in May include:

  • Beautifully remodeled 3 bedroom East Jackson townhome with Teton views – $599,000
  • Re-development potential on double lot in Town with older single family home and large shop – $1,195,000
  • Newly constructed 2,400 sq foot home in downtown Wilson – $1,350,000
  • 6 acres of private land on the Wilson bench on Teton Pass – $1,200,000

Click HERE to view all new May residential listings.

Click HERE to view all new May land listings.

NewListings

NewListings2014-2016

NewVsSold

Bar-B-Bar

Newly listed home in Bar-B-Bar $3.25 million – Listed by RE/MAX Obsidian

marketreport

As we enter the busy summer listing/selling season, the amount (and price) of new inventory will dictate future market values. The law of supply and demand will especially affect the sub $1 million segment, where current supply levels are very low compared to 2015. Whether you are a first time or seasoned home buyer, there are still opportunities out there, with many not listed in the MLS. If you are an active buyer, or looking to get into the Jackson Hole real estate market, please connect with me for an honest and comprehensive analysis of the current buying opportunities in our market.

As a Seller, the best strategy is to price your property competitively (based on the most comparable sales) and market it effectively, as buyers continue to be motivated by finding a good value. If you are interested in a learning what your property could sell for in this market, please connect with me for a free, in-depth, data-driven market analysis.

Property sales under $500,000 increase for 2nd month in Jackson Hole

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for June 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

What Sold in May 2016? 

  • 42% :: Percentage of single family home sales (significant drop from previous months)
  • 46% :: Percentage of condo/townhome sales (significant increase from previous months)
  • 12% :: Percentage of Land Sales (down slightly from April)
  • 36% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for over $1 million (up from low last month)
  • 64% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $1 million (down from high last month)
  • 30% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $500,000 (2nd large monthly increase)
  • 7 :: Commercial Transactions – 5 sales and 2 leases

What it means: After increasing for 3 straight months, single family homes sales declined in May, representing only 42% of all sales and marking the lowest percentage since Aug 2015. Three of these sales were multi-family properties (2 duplexes and 1 four-plex), illustrating investors’ interest in our strong rental market in Jackson Hole. On the other end, the percentage of condo and townhome sales nearly doubled from April to May and accounted for more sales than single family homes for the first time in several months (see chart below). There were 4 land sales in May including two 1.17 acre vacant lots in Shooting Star near Teton Village at the base of Jackson Hole Mountain Resort which sold for $2.7 million each.  Entry level sales had another strong month, with 30% of all sales occurring under $500,000 in May, achieving a double digit increase for the second month in a row (see chart below). The majority of the 10 sales under $500,000 where condos in the Town of Jackson, including a 2 bed/2 bath townhome with a 1 car garage located in central Jackson, which sold in 79 days from listing. Property sales over $1 million rebounded slightly after accounting for only 25% of all sales last month. Property sales over $3 million also rebounded with 4 sales over $3 million including a newly built home on the Westbank, which had been on and off the market for nearly 3 years (pictured below).  The month of May also saw 4 larger commercial sales in Jackson, including the Wilson gas station, an in-town restaurant space and a re-development opportunity on Broadway (currently home to Ocean City).

Over$1m

Under$500

PropertyTypeBreakdown

Rivendell

New custom home on Westbank – SOLD in May 2016 – Listed by JH Real Estate Assoc

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for June 2016.

Please consider following The Colbert Real Estate Report on social media for hot picks, market trends and industry news.

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New Listings continue to hit the market as busy summer selling season approaches in Jackson Hole

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for May 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

What’s new in Apr 2016? (New Listing Analysis)

  • 54 :: Total number of new listings in April
    • Total New Listing Volume: $83,100,000
    • Average List Price: $1,540,000
  • 43 new residential properties (single family, condo, townhome)
    • Average List Price: $1,266,000
    • New listings already under contract or sold: 9
  • 11 new building sites
    • Average List Price: $2,600,000
    • New listings already under contract or sold: 0

What it means: New listing activity continued to increase as we approach the busy summer selling season. Fifty-four new properties (including both residential properties & building sites) hit the Teton County real estate market in April. After several months of lagging or matching the inventory levels seen in 2014 & 2015, April saw more new residential listings than in the previous years (see chart below). New listings in April continued to outpace sluggish sales levels, this time at a rate of 2.5 to 1. In April, there were 10 new condo/townhome listings under $750,000, lower than last month’s 17 new listings in this price range, but nonetheless adding much needed inventory to the entry level market. By March 10th, 4 of these new listings were already under contract, illustrating the continued high demand for properties in this price point. At the other end of the spectrum, 6 single family homes hit the market priced in excess of $2 million including homes in Jackson Hole Golf & Tennis, Teton Pines, Game Creek and an 8,300 sq foot home in Town overlooking the Elk Refuge (listed for $4.9m). The middle of the market saw quite a bit of new listing activity as 11 new single family home listings priced between $500,000 – $1,000,000 hit the market, including homes in Rafter J, Cottonwood Park, East Jackson, and a ranch style home on 5 acres south of Jackson (pictured below).  Nearly a dozen new lot listings were added to the inventory in April including 4 building sites in Saddle Butte, located just north of downtown, ranging from $788,000-$1,995,000.

Notable new listings in April include:

  • 3 bdrm condo at Snow King with short term rental income – $545,000
  • 3 bdrm remodeled townhome (with garage) at the base of Jackson Hole Mountain Resort – $1,275,000
  • Rafter J lot in the new King Eider subdivision – $349,000

Click HERE to view all new April residential listings.

Click HERE to view all new April land listings.

NewListings

NewListings2014-2016

Spoiled Horse

New Listing in Spoiled Horse subdivision – $849,000 – listed by RE/MAX Obsidian

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for May 2016.

Thinking of listing this summer?

As we approach the busy selling season, Sellers will be in a great position to benefit from low inventory levels in the Jackson Hole market. If you are curious about the value of your property in the current market, please contact me for a free and accurate market analysis. Properties listed by May 25, 2016 will be included in our RE/MAX Obsidian Real Estate Summer Brochure!

Brochure-e1402338408759

Sales and Volume decline in 2016, while affordable inventory dwindles – Quarterly Update from The Jackson Hole Report

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Sale transactions and dollar volume are down in the first quarter of 2016 while available inventory in the entry level market dwindles, resulting in increased demand for well priced properties. The Jackson Hole Report, a quarterly market report prepared by my colleague David Viehman at RE/MAX Obsidian Real Estate, provides insights into the local real estate market through the end of the 1st quarter 2016. Click HERE to read the full 2016 Q1 Report. A summary of statistics/trends follows:

OVERALL MARKET

  • Total number of Sale Transactions are down 26%
  • Sales under $1 million are down 36%
  • Overall dollar volume is down 27%
  • Due to limited inventory, the Average Sale Price increased by 11% in Q1 2016
  • Hot Price Point: Properties priced between $1-3 million, where 40% of the sales occurred in the first quarter
  • Hot Location: The Westbank (including Teton Village) which accounted for 45% of all sales in the first quarter
CrystalSprings

Crystal Springs condo sold in Teton Village (listed by JH Sotheby’s)

HIGH END MARKET

  • While high-end property sales ($2+ million) were down 68% in the first quarter, there are 39 high-end properties under contract (an increase of 34%), with an average list price of more than $4.5 million
  • Available inventory of high end properties is up 20% compared to this time last year
  • There are 47 properties for sale over $5 million, an increase of 18%
  • The most expensive property for sale in Teton County is a 580 acre ranch (with 6 building sites), listed for $45 million (pictured below)
580Acres

580 acres available for sale off Spring Gulch Rd – $45 million (listed by Live Water Properties)

SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

  • Single family home sales in the first quarter were consistent with sales last year at this time
  • However, the average sale price increased 18% to $2.3 million
  • Single family home sales over $1 million are up 13%
  • Single family home sales over $3 million are up 100% compared to this time last year!
  • While over all single family inventory is up 8%, available homes under $1 million are at a 25 year low
  • Only 15% of available single family homes are priced under $1 million
  • Considering that 47 homes sold in this segment in 2015, there is less than 1 month of available inventory for home under $1 million.
  • Click HERE to view the 20 single family home listings priced under $1 million
HiddenRanch

Single family home available in Hidden Ranch – $925,000 (listed by JHREA)

CONDO/TOWNHOME

  • Overall condo sales are down 29%, with only 39 sales in the first 3 months of 2016
  • The average sales price dropped 11%, however the price of available inventory is up 38% – which represents the highest average condo list price since the start of the recession in 2008
  • Condo sales under $500,000 decreased by 39% in Q1 2016 due to low inventory levels
  • Condo listings under $500,000 sell in 86 days, on average, many times receiving multiple offers
  • Only 28% of available condos are priced under $500,000

VACANT LAND

  • Lot sales are down significantly (58%) with only 14 sales in the first quarter of 2016
  • Average sales price is up 16%
  • Overall available inventory dropped 5% from last year, however list prices remained consistent.
  • Available vacant land for sale under $500,000 is only 1/4 of what was available in 2013 & 2014.
  • Majority (71%) of vacant land buyers are second homeowners and/or retiring baby boomers.

marketreport

As we approach the busy summer listing/selling season, the amount (and price) of new inventory will dictate future market values. The law of supply and demand will especially affect the sub $1 million segment, where current supply levels are very low compared to 2015, representing only 2 months of inventory. Whether you are a first time or seasoned home buyer, there are still opportunities out there, with many not listed in the MLS. If you are an active buyer, or looking to get into the Jackson Hole real estate market, please connect with me for an honest and comprehensive analysis of the current buying opportunities in our market.

As a Seller, the best strategy is to price your property competitively (based on the most comparable sales) and market it effectively, as buyers continue to be motivated by finding a good value. If you are interested in a learning what your property could sell for in this market, please connect with me for a free, in-depth, data-driven market analysis.

Nearly 50 new listings hit the Jackson Hole real estate market in March 2016

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for April 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

What’s new in Mar 2016? (New Listing Analysis)

  • 48 :: Total number of new listings in March
    • Total New Listing Volume: $66,500,000
    • Average List Price: $1,385,000
  • 40 new residential properties (single family, condo, townhome)
    • Average List Price: $1,415,000
    • New listings already under contract or sold: 14
  • 8 new building sites
    • Average List Price: $1,235,000
    • New listings already under contract or sold: 3

What it means: New listing activity picked up in March, with nearly 50 new properties hitting the Teton County real estate market. We should expect to see more inventory each month as we get closer to the busy summer selling season. New listings in March outpaced March sales at a rate of 2 to 1, marking the first time since last Aug 2015 that new listings have been at least 2x that of monthly sales. In March, there were 17 new condo/townhome listings under $750,000, adding some much needed inventory to the entry level market. By April 10th, 8 of these new listings were already under contract, illustrating the high demand for properties in this price point. At the other end of the spectrum, there were 7 single family homes that hit the market priced in excess of $2 million including a recently remodeled home in the Gill Addition ($2.25m and pictured below), an equestrian estate in the Flat Creek Fishing Club ($3.96m) and a 5,400 sq ft home in Owl Creek listed for just under $6 million. Eight new lot listings hit the market in March including, 4 of which are located north of Town with great Teton views.

As we approach the busy selling season, Sellers will be in a great position to sell this Spring/Summer. If you are curious about the value of your property in the current market, please contact me for a free and accurate market analysis.

Notable new listings in March include:

  • 23 different options to own a tenant-in-common interest at the Fireside Resort – $350,000-$395,000 (Note: These properties are not available for conventional financing. In the new listing stats above, these options were only counted as 2 new listings for March)
  • Bright and sunny 3 bed / 3.5 bath townhome in East Jackson – $695,000
  • Four contiguous lots zoned for multi-family development in Town  -$3,000,000

Click HERE to view all new March residential listings.

Click HERE to view all new March land listings.

NewListings

NewVSold

GillAddition

Recently remodeled home in the Gill Addition – $2.25 million – listed by RE/MAX Obsidian

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for April 2016.

Thinking of listing this summer?

As we approach the busy selling season, Sellers will be in a great position to benefit from low inventory levels in the Jackson Hole market. If you are curious about the value of your property in the current market, please contact me for a free and accurate market analysis. Properties listed by April 30, 2016 will be included in our RE/MAX Obsidian Real Estate Spring Brochure!

Please consider following The Colbert Real Estate Report on social media for hot picks, market trends and industry news.

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Real Estate Transactions hit new low in February in Jackson Hole

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for February 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – Feb 2016:

  • 19 :: Total residential sale transactions (lowest in past year)
  • $34,688,000 :: Total residential sales volume (up slightly from last month)
  • $1,825,000::  Average sales price of reported and unreported sales (up from last month)
  • 94% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (down from last several months)
  • 194 ::  Average days on market prior to selling (down from last month)

What it means:  Even with the extra Leap Day, real estate sale transactions hit a new low in February with only 19 sales reported to the MLS.  Sales volume remained low, but was a slight improvement from January.   The average sales price rose in February thanks to a $10+ million sale in Indian Springs (see What Sold below). Interestingly, the ratio of sale price to listing price dropped down to 94% after several months of 95-96% illustrating that buyers purchased property at even more of a discount in February. In particular, only 1 of the 19 sales occurred at or very near to the listing prices (compare that to December, where 35% of all sales sold at, near, or above the listing price). While this could be evidence that Sellers are becoming more motivated, more likely I believe that many sellers are pricing their properties above market and then are willing to sell at a price closer to recent sale comps. For example, one home sale in Teton Pines was originally listed at $5.2 million, reduced to $4.3 million and finally sold last month for $3.85 million. Properties that sold in February were on the market for an average of 194 days and marked the first time this statistic has dipped below 200 days since Oct 2015. There were 5 properties (or 26% of all sales) that sold in under 3 months, while two different high end properties sold after 2 years on the market, including a Granite Ridge property that sold after 426 days on the market.

Transactions

SalesVolume

DOM

SaleVsListRatio

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for March 2016.

Please consider following The Colbert Real Estate Report on social media for hot picks, market trends and industry news.

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Condo/Townhome sales rebound in January in Town of Jackson

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for February 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

What Sold in Jan 2016? 

  • 43% :: Percentage of single family home sales (slight dip from last month)
  • 48% :: Percentage of condo/townhome sales (jump after low last month)
  • 9% :: Percentage of Land Sales (down after high last month)
  • 43% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for over $1 million (identical to last month)
  • 57% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $1 million (identical to last month)
  • 33% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $500,000 (huge jump after low last month)
  • 3 :: Commercial Land Sales (after 10 last month)

What it means: Single family home sales dipped slightly last month but still remained close to average levels.  Condo and townhome sales jumped up in January, representing nearly 1/2 of all sales after an all-time low in December (17% of all sales).  Land Sales, which were at an all time high in December (35% of all sales), leveled off to typical levels in January. Property sales under $500,000 rebounded in January after recording only 3 sales in December. This is a bit of good news for the entry level market, as 2015 saw a downward trend in sales under $500,000 (See 2015 Year End Review). It remains to be seen if this trend will continue as we move through 2016 (there are 17 condos under $500,000 available now). All of the sales under the half million mark in January were condos in The Aspens or the Town of Jackson, including a one bedroom Hollybock building in The Aspens, which sold close to asking price after only 51 days on the market. Sales above $1 million remained consistent, accounting for nearly 1/2 of all sales in January. Separately, there were 3 large commercial land sales in the month of January (after 10 commercial sales in December!), as investors and developers continue to have interest in the Jackson Hole market.  Notably, 8 commercial lots on the corner of N Cache and Mercill (across from the Forest Service building) sold for an undisclosed amount to a Marriott & Hilton franchise (listed for a collective $7.8 million and pictured below).

Over1

Under500

Breakdown

Commercial

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for February 2016.

With the help of my friends and customers, I’ve been voted one of Jackson’s Best Realtors since 2012 and am hoping you can help me earn the GOLD medal this year!

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Real estate values increase in 2015, as Sales Volume up 30% in Jackson Hole

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Market Focus

marketfocus

2015 Year in Review: Market Trends and Sale Statistics for the Jackson Hole Real Estate Market

Over the course of 2015, I have tracked many different sale and market statistics which all help paint a picture of the real estate market in Jackson Hole over the past year. Below are some of the take-aways from the Jackson Hole real estate market in 2015, how they compare to 2014, and a look forward to 2016:

Quick Stats – 2015:

  • 466 total real estate transactions in 2015
    • 2014 = 447 sales
  • Sales volume of $743,000,000 (includes reported and unreported* sales)
    • 2014 = $568,000,000
  • Average sales price = $1,590,000
    • 2014 = $1,270,000

*Note: When a sales price is not disclosed in the MLS, an estimate is used based on the current listing price and the average monthly sale to list ratio.

Sales Transactions and Sales Volume: While the number of transactions didn’t increase much, Sales Volume in 2015 jumped up 30% from 2014!! Monthly sales volume in Teton County in 2015 matched or outpaced monthly volume in 2014 in all but one month (July 2015). Not only were the “big” months of Aug & Sept bigger in 2015, much of the rest of year, especially the Spring of 2015 saw roughly double the sales volume of 2014. These levels are impressive given that there were only 19 more sales in 2015 (v. 2014).

YearEndVolume

 

As mentioned in the Quick Stats above, the Average Sales Price in Teton County for 2015, including unreported sales in MLS, was just under $1.6 million. With the exception of July 2015, the monthly average sales price never dipped below $1 million last year. During the peak selling months in the summer/fall 2015, the monthly average sales price hovered around $2 million. The obvious trend? Prices went up in 2015. Compared to 2014, which had an average sales price of $1.27 million, prices in 2015, on average, went up 27%!

YearEndAVSP

 

In analyzing the Breakdown of Sales by Price Point in 2015, and comparing it to 2014, a few trends become clear. Similar to 2014, the majority (36%) of residential sales in Teton County in 2015 were in the $500,000 – $1,000,000 range. These sales included fixer upper single family homes in the Town of Jackson, 3 bedroom townhomes in Town and south of Town, homes in Rafter J and condos in Teton Village. The $1-3 million segment was also strong, accounting for nearly 1/3 of all sales in Teton County in 2015. Compare that to 2014, when this segment made up only 23% of all sales.  Only 4% of all sales in 2015 were under $300,000 and only 1 in 5 sales occurred under $500,000. This is the biggest change from 2014, when nearly 40% of all sales occurred under the half million mark, illustrating a trend of higher prices and a shrinking “entry-level” market. Finally, the percentage of high-end sales ($3 million and up) more than doubled from 2014 to 2015, as many wealthy second homeowners invested in the Jackson Hole market.

PriceBreakdown2015Res

BreakdownPriceRes

The breakdown for land sales in 2015 shows a slightly different distribution, with 50% of all lot sales happening above $1 million – compare that to 2014, when only 29% of sales occurred in this segment. In particular, there were 14 land sales over $3 million in 2015, including parcels in Ely Springs, Shooting Star and Bar B C Ranch. Conversely, only 5% of lot sales in 2015 were under $300,000, compared to nearly 20% of all sales in 2014, illustrating a shrinking entry-level market for vacant land as well. The 4 sales that occurred under $300,000 were located south of Town in the Hoback and Sqauw Creek neighborhoods.

PriceBreakdown2015

BreakdownPriceLand

Summary and What’s Next? There is no question, 2015 was a big year! Sales Volume increased 30% with only a 4% increase in transactions. As expected we saw prices rise with the average sales price increasing roughly $360,000 from 2014 to 2015. Nearly 1/2 of all properties sales occurred over $1 million, with significant growth especially in the higher end of the market. Consequently, the entry level segment of the market shrunk as fewer residential properties and vacant land sold under $500,000 in 2015. It’s hard to imagine this explosive growth can continue. In November and December 2015, we began to witness a slow down in sales and volume (see Jan 2016 Market Report). While some of that can be attributed to the slower time of year, many real estate professionals sense a plateauing of real estate activity in 2016. Even though Jackson Hole is somewhat insulated from global and/or national trends, the recent activity in China, the Middle East and the stock market should have some effect on sales and values in our market.

Stay tuned to The Colbert Real Estate Report for market statistics and trends in Jackson Hole Real Estate as we enter 2016.