Quarterly Market Update from The Jackson Hole Report

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marketfocusAvailable inventory in the Jackson Hole real estate market has been declining since Spring 2011. Currently inventory is the lowest it’s been in more than 25 years! Compare that to just 5 years ago (Spring 2010), when the market offered the most inventory in 25 years. This time of year in 2010, Buyers had 640 available homes, lots, condos, multi-family and commercial properties to choose from; now that same Buyer has half as many choices (319 active listings).

Every quarter, David Viehman, my colleague at RE/MAX Obsidian Real Estate publishes The Jackson Hole Report, an in-depth look at real estate sales, market trends and an analysis of different market segments. David’s report not only includes all the MLS sales, but he is also able to track sales happening outside of MLS. Below are some interesting statistics from his Q1 2015 Report. Please contact me for a copy of his entire report. All statistics (unless otherwise noted) are Q1 2015 verses Q1 2014.

Highlights:

OVERALL MARKET

  • Despite low inventory, the number of sales are up 10% vs Q1 2014 with sales volume up a staggering 46%!
  • As expected, average sales prices were also up 32%, with help from the $1-3 million segment, which saw 32% of all sales in Q1 2015.
  • Upper-End Sales (over $2 million) have seen 105% higher sales in Q1 2015 vs Q1 2014, with a third of those sales being condos (think Four Seasons).
  • The amount of properties currently under contract in Q1 2015 is 51% higher than Q1 2014, with a median list price up 51% as well.
  • Conversely, overall available inventory is down 17% when compared to Q1 2014.

CONDOS/TOWNHOMES

  • Available inventory is down 39% from Q1 2014.
  • During the height of the recession (2009) there were 4 times as many available condos on the market (195) compared to only 49 condos available now.
  • Of the 49 condos/townhomes available, only 14 are priced under $500,000 and only 4 are priced under $300,000.
  • Despite low inventory, condo/townhome sales are up 15% compared to Q1 2014, a trend that is expected to continue as we enter the summer months.

SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

  • Home sales in this segment are lagging 2014 (down 5% vs Q1 2014) due to record low inventory levels, however the median sales price has increased 22%.
  • As of April 1, 2015, only 107 homes were listed in the MLS (in all price ranges).
  • In 2013, there were 96 sales of single family homes under $750,000. Currently there are only 10 homes for sale in this price range.

TETON VILLAGE

  • Buyer’s flocked to Teton Village this winter (Jan-March 2015) gobbling up 69% more sales than the first quarter 2014 for 72% more in sales volume.
  • Nineteen properties currently under contract in Teton Village suggest this trend will continue.
  • Available affordable inventory is very low as we enter the summer months – only 4 condos priced under $500,000

Please contact me for a copy of the entire First Quarter 2015 – Jackson Hole Report.

Land Sales account for a third of all sales in Feb, March in Jackson Hole

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for April 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

What Sold in Mar 2015? 

  • 30% :: Percentage of single family home sales (similar to last month’s 29%)
  • 37% :: Percentage of condo/townhome sales (identical to last month)
  • 33% :: Percentage of Land Sales (high again for a second straight month)
  • 40% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for over $1 million (down from 54% last month)
  • 60% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $1 million (up from 46% last month)
  • 30% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $500,000 (up from 23% last month)

What it means: The breakdown of property types in March was also nearly identical the breakdown we saw in February. Land sales remained higher than average for the second straight month. While land sales usually represent about 20% of all sales on average, in February and March 2015 there were 12 and 11 sales accounting for 34% and 33% of all sales (see chart below). This trend could be explained by the lack of available built-out inventory (i.e. single family homes and townhomes). As buyers are unable to find what they are looking for (or what they like is overpriced), many are considering purchasing land and building their own home.  The percentage of properties selling for over $1 million dropped down to 40% after a high of 54% in February. The number of properties selling for under $500,000 increased after 4 months of decline (see chart below). That being said, the average sales price remained high ($1.57 million) due to several high end sales including a 6,000 square foot house in Teton Pines (selling close to $8 million) a 48 acre tract of land in Crescent H (selling around $5 million) and a 6 bedroom estate in Shooting Star, at the base of Jackson Hole Mountain Resort, which sold for north of $10 million (pictured below).

land sales

sales under 500k

Shooting Star

Click HERE to read the entire Monthly Market Update for April. 

 

Interested in keeping an eye on new listings this spring/summer? Would you like to be alerted as soon as a new listing hits the market in a particular location or price range? 

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March sales continue trend of increasing sales prices in Jackson Hole

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for April 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – Mar 2015:

  • 33 :: Total residential sale transactions (down slightly from Feb’s 35)
  • $52,000,000 :: Total residential sales volume reported to MLS (up slightly from last month)
  • $1,570,000::  Average sales price of reported sales (identical to last month)
  • 95% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (up slightly from last month)
  • 239 ::  Average days on market prior to selling (up slightly from last month’s 243)
  • 48 :: Number of new listings in March
  • $1,240,000 :: Average list price of new listings
  • 15 :: Number of those new listings currently under contract or already sold

What it means:  The month of March echoed the trends/statistics we saw in February. Sales Volume remained close to $50 million (the highest levels we’ve seen in 2015) and sale transactions hovered near 30. We continue to see a lower amount of sale transactions as a result of extremely low inventory levels. Despite limited sale transactions however, the average sales price remained near $1.5 million, due to several high end sales in March (see What Sold below). The average sales price has been increasing, month over month, since November 2014 (see chart below). Sale price to list price and average days on market in March remained close to February numbers.

NEW THIS MONTH: Every month going forward, I will be monitoring new residential listings, the average list prices of those listings and tracking how many of them go under contract (or sell) within the month. These benchmarks should help keep an eye on inventory levels and can help us understand the relationship between new inventory (new supply) and sales prices. See the Market Focus section below for an in-depth analysis of past patterns of new listings/inventory levels in Teton County.

transactions

sales vol

sales price

Click HERE to read the entire Monthly Market Update for April. 

 

Interested in keeping an eye on new listings this spring/summer? Would you like to be alerted as soon as a new listing hits the market in a particular location or price range? 

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Inventory Levels in Jackson Hole: Then and Now

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Teton County sees historically low inventory levels as we enter the busy spring/summer listing season

marketfocus

As my colleague David Viehman noted in his year end Jackson Hole Report (and I summarized in a previous analysis),current inventory levels are at or near their lowest levels in 25 years. At the end of 2014…..

  • Overall available inventory in Teton County was down 15% from 2013, and is now at the second lowest level in 25 years
  • Single family home inventory was the lowest in 25 years
  • Condo/Townhome inventory was down 23% compared to year end 2013, marking the 3rd lowest condo inventory in the past 25 years
  • Available land inventory was down 12% compared to year end 2013

I went back over the past year and determined the number of new listings (residential property in Teton County) to hit the MLS each month. Typically spring and early summer see the most new listings, which was the case in 2014 when there were 228 new listings in the months of May and June last year. Since the start of the new year we’ve seen a total of only 141 new listings. After 6 months of limited new inventory, listing activity picked up in March with 59 new listings. It will be interesting to see if March’s increase continues into our spring/early summer listing season. How much new inventory will we see in May and June? Will it be at the same levels we saw in 2014?

NewListings

It’s also interesting to compare the number of new listings with the sale transactions that occur each month. Last spring/early summer there were almost 4 times as many new listings hitting the market as there were sales each month. Compare that to the Fall months of 2014 (Sept/Oct/Nov) where there was not even enough new inventory to replace the sales that occurred those months. In the past 3 months, we’ve seen slightly more new listings than sales, however historically low inventory levels in the past 6 months are likely contributing to the low transaction levels.

NewVsSold

 

Interested in keeping an eye on new listings this spring/summer? Would you like to be alerted as soon as a new listing hits the market in a particular location or price range? 

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Low inventory levels increase vacant land sales in Teton County, while under $500,000 sales continue to decline

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for March 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

What Sold in Feb 2015? 

  • 29% :: Percentage of single family home sales (nearly half of last month’s 55%)
  • 37% :: Percentage of condo/townhome sales (similar to last month’s 36%)
  • 34% :: Percentage of Land Sales (up significantly from last month’s 20%)
  • 0 :: Number of distressed property sales (No bank or short sales)
  • 54% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for over $1 million (vs. 23% last month)
  • 46% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $1 million (down from a high of 77% last month)
  • 23% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $500,000 (down again from last month)

What it means: The breakdown of property types was very atypical last month. Single family homes sales only represented 29% of all sales (they usually represent around 50%). Land sales dominated in February, with 12 sales representing a whopping 34% of land sales (lot sales usually account for around 20% of all sales). This is the 2nd time in the last 5 months that land sales have exceeded 1/3 of monthly sales (see chart below). Low levels in single family home and condo/townhome inventory have no doubt pushed people to land – if they can’t find it, then they will buy land and build it! Buyers were purchasing many lots that had sat on the market for quite some time. In particular, of the 12 lots last sold in February, the average days on market was 526 days! There were no bank or short sales again last month and there continue to be no distressed sales on the market, suggesting that the ‘shadow’ inventory has been fully absorbed. The percentage of properties selling for over $1 million jumped up in February (to the highest % in the past year), thanks to several high end sales including two Four Seasons condos (selling for $3.25m and $3.95m), a beautiful home in Dairy Ranches (pictured below), which sold for north of $7 million, a 4.24 acre lot in Indian Springs (selling for $3.5 million), and a home in Granite Ridge selling for just under $4 million.  Properties selling for under $500,000 continue to decline (see chart below), as overall prices continue to go up.  The least expensive single family home sale in February was for an older home on Aspen Drive (4 bed / 1 bath) which sold for the list price (with multiple offers) of $650,000.

Breakdown

Under500

DairyRanches

 

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for March 2015.

Please also consider following me on social media for up-to-date market statistics, Hot Picks and real estate news and trends.

         

 

Several high end sales in February push up transactions, sales volume in Jackson Hole Real Estate

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for March 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – Feb 2015:

  • 35 :: Total residential sale transactions (up significantly from Jan’s 22)
  • $47,000,000 :: Total residential sales volume reported to MLS (double last month’s $23.6m)
  • $1,500,000::  Average sales price of reported sales (up significantly from last month’s $1,124,000)
  • 94% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (slight dip from the last few months)
  • 243 ::  Average days on market prior to selling (back up from last month’s 148)

What it means:  After a slow start to 2015 (See Last Month’s Market Report), sales in February picked up the pace. Last month we saw 37 transactions, which was the highest level of transactions in the past 4 months. Sales Volume in Teton County in February reached $47 million in reported sales, also the highest in the last 4 months (see charts below). In February, there was an estimated additional $19 million in unreported sales, including two large land parcels located up north in Bar BC East – a 49 acre parcel listed at $9.5 million and a 35 acre parcel listed at $9 million. Due to several high end sales in February (see “What Sold?” below), the average sales price was pushed up to $1.5 million, the highest average sales price since September 2014 (see chart below). The sales price to list price ratio dipped down to 94%, while days on market increased to 243 days. We are continuing to see well priced properties, in high demand sub-markets, sell very quickly. In February in particular, we saw several lots sell after long exposure time on the market (see “What Sold” below).

Transactions

Volume

AVSP

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for March 2015.

Please also consider following me on social media for up-to-date market statistics, Hot Picks and real estate news and trends.

         

 

Low Inventory contributes to low sales, volume for 2015

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for February 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – Jan 2015:

  • 22 :: Total residential sale transactions (down significantly from Dec’s 34)
  • $23,600,000 :: Total residential sales volume reported to MLS (down from last month’s $29.3m)
  • $1,124,000::  Average sales price of reported sales (up from last month’s $946,000)
  • 95% ::  Ratio of sales price to list price (same for the 4th month in a row)
  • 148 ::  Average days on market prior to selling (down significantly from last month’s 215)

What it means:  The beginning of 2015 was off to a slow start in terms of both transactions and sales volume, but the average sales price was up. There was only 22 sales in January; the lowest amount in over 2 years! Sales Volume remained low (under $30 million) for the third month in a row. (See charts below). Despite low transactions and volume, the average sales price increased after two months below the $1,000,000 mark. These trends are a result of a very limited inventory in the Jackson Hole real estate market – the lowest we’ve seen in 25 years!  (see Market Focus below). There was only 1 unreported sales price in the MLS in January (estimated at $850,000), however it is likely that there were several sales handled completely outside of the MLS, which is a typical occurance as inventory shrinks. The average days on market decreased signficantly (after removing two outliers) suggesting that properties are moving much more quickly (again a result of low inventory levels). As we move into 2015, we should see the trend of increasing prices continue until more inventory comes onto the market.

transactions

sales volume

avsprice

 

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for February 2015.

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Condo sales rebound in 2015 slow December

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for February 2015

Jackson Hole, WY

What Sold in Jan 2015? 

  • 55% :: Percentage of single family home sales (down from last month’s 62%)
  • 36% :: Percentage of condo/townhome sales (up from the lowest % of 2014)
  • 9% :: Percentage of Land Sales (down from last month’s 20%)
  • 0 :: Number of distressed property sales (No bank or short sales)
  • 23% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for over $1 million (back down after a peak last month)
  • 77% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $1 million (back to a high)
  • 27% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $500,000 (down again from last month)

What it means: The breakdown of property types returned to more typical distributions last month, with about 55% of all sales representing single family homes. Condo and townhome sales rebounded in January after reporting the lowest percentage of sales in over 2 years in December 2014. There were 2 land sales in January, representing 9% of all sales. There were no bank or short sales last month and there continue to be no distressed sales on the market, suggesting that the ‘shadow’ inventory has been fully absorbed. The percentage of properties selling for over $1 million dropped back down after a peak in December. In January , 27% of the property sales were for $500,000 or under, lower than the 2014 average of 34%. Of the 6 sales under $500,000, all were for 1-2 bedroom condos. The least expensive single family home sale in January was a 1,665 sq foot house in Cottonwood Park, which sold for just under $650,000.

breakdownjan

over

under

 

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for February 2015.

Please also consider following me on social media for up-to-date market statistics, Hot Picks and real estate news and trends.

         

 

The Jackson Hole Report: Year End Update

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Extremely low inventory levels continue to contribute to fewer sales, while pushing prices up in Teton County

My colleague at RE/MAX Obsidian Real Estate, David Viehman, has been collecting stats on the Jackson Hole Real Estate Market for the last 25 years. Every quarter he publishes The Jackson Hole Report, an in-depth look at real estate sales, market trends and an analysis of different market segments. David’s report not only includes all the MLS sales, but he is also able to track sales happening outside of MLS. Below are some interesting statistics from his Year End Report. His entire report can be found HERE. All statistics (unless otherwise noted) are through the year end 2014 and are compared to 2013.

THE OVERALL MARKET

  • All types of properties (single family homes, condos, land) saw fewer sales in 2014 (compared to 2013) as the total number of sales in Teton County decreased by 12%
  • Overall sales volume was also down across the board, dropping 8% in 2014
  • Overall available inventory is down 15% from last year, and is now at the second lowest level in 25 years – which obviously contributes to the low sales transactions and sales volume
  • The shortage in supply has pushed prices up – the average sales price jumped 18% from 2013

SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

  • Total Single Family Home sales volume is down 16% compared to 2013
  • The average sale price rose by 5%
  • Current available inventory is the lowest in 25 years
  • In 2014, there were 123 sales under $1 million (representing 51% of all single family home sales) however only 19 homes are currently on the market in this price point (representing only 17% of all single family home listings)
  • Of the 113 homes currently listed, the average listing price is $4.25 million
  • Least expensive single family home listing: a 2 bedroom older home in Buffalo Valley for $465,000
  • Most expensive single family home listing: a 7,583 sq ft private 72 acre estate on the Snake River for $24.75 million (pictured below)

SnakeRiverHome

CONDO/TOWNHOME

  • Total condo/townhome sales were down 10% compared to 2013, while sales volume fell by 9%
  • Average sales price was UP by 9%
  • Currently only 4 condos are available in Teton County for under $300,000
  • 56% of all condos sales were under $500,000, however currently there are only 11 condos for sale in this segment
  • Available inventory is down 23% compared to this time in 2013, marking the 3rd lowest condo inventory in the past 25 years
  • Least expensive condo listing: a 558 sq ft, 1 bed/1 bath condo at Snake River Lodge & Spa in Teton Village for $270,000 (pictured below)
  • Most expensive condo listing: a 2,240 sq ft, 3 bed/3 bath condo for $3.1 million at the Four Seasons Resort

SnakeRiverLodge

VACANT LAND

  • Total lots sales in 2014 dropped 14%
  • The average sales price was up 4% compared to 2013
  • The number of lots under contract has dropped by 40%, while the average listing price for lots under contract has jumped 180%
  • Available lot inventory is down 12% compared to this time in 2013
  • Average listing price for vacant lots in Teton County is $2.173 million
  • Currently there are 5 lots for sale in Teton County priced under $300,000
  • With home inventory at an all time low, we should see demand increase for vacant land

Best of Jackson Hole – JH Weekly’s Reader’s Poll – 2015

With the help of my friends and customers, I’ve been voted one of Jackson’s Best Realtors since 2012 and am hoping you can help me earn the GOLD medal this year!

May I ask for your vote? 

BestofJH2015

Visit www.jhweekly.com and click on the icon on the right hand side. After you enter your name/email you can start voting. Be sure to vote for all your other Jackson favorites. It’s fun!
I very much appreciate your support!

Single family home sales dominate in December in Jackson Hole Real Estate Market

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The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for January 2015 & Year End 2014

Jackson Hole, WY

What Sold in Dec 2014? 

  • 62% :: Percentage of single family home sales (up significantly from last month’s 40%)
  • 18% :: Percentage of condo/townhome sales (the lowest % of 2014)
  • 20% :: Percentage of Land Sales (right around average for the year)
  • 1 :: Number of distressed property sales (One bank sale in Dec)
  • 35% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for over $1 million (back up after several low months)
  • 65% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $1 million (down from last month’s high of 77%)
  • 32% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $500,000 (down slightly from last month)

What it means: Single family home sales dominated the month of December, representing 62% of all sales, tied for the highest monthly percentage this year. Conversely, condo and townhome sales were slim – there were only 6 sales in this segment, representing only 18% of all sales, by far the lowest percentage of the year (see chart below). Land sales in December were about average for the year, representing 20% of all sales (average for 2014 was 19%).  There was one bank sales in December, a 20 acre tract of land up Horse Creek that sold after 2,189 days on the market!  Currently there are zero distressed properties on the market. The percentage of properties selling for over $1 million picked up after several months of decline. In December, 32% of the property sales were for $500,000 or under, in line with the 2014 average of 34%.

Breakdown2014

Over1Jan

Under500Jan

 

Click HERE to read the full Monthly Market Update for January 2015 and Year End 2014.

Please also consider following me on social media for up-to-date market statistics, Hot Picks and real estate news and trends.