2020: Q1 Sales & New Listings

Transactions/Sales Volume – What Sold?

$2,357,062

Average Sales Price

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$214,492,681

Total Sales Volume

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Market Analysis

Real estate sales in Jackson Hole in the first quarter of 2020 were slightly lower than sales in the first quarter last year. After just barely outpacing 2019 in January and February, a slower than usual March (with 7 fewer sales) contributed to an overall drop in sales from Q1 2019 to this year. Despite having 4 fewer sales, overall dollar volume was up about $15 million in Q1 2020, with higher monthly sales volume in all 3 months of the first quarter this year (even in March which had the 7 fewer sales). After seeing consistent average prices in January and February, the average sale price in March 2020 was up 44% versus March 2019, thanks to several high-end sales last month. As a result, the overall average sale price of Q1 2020 was up 12.5% versus Q1 2019. In looking at the median sale price, we see a somewhat similar trend. After falling short in both January and February, the median sales price in March was significantly higher, recording the highest median sale price in over a year and pulling the overall average of Q1 median sale prices in line with Q1 2019 ($1.415 million vs $1.453 million).

Which price point saw the most sales in the first quarter? Property sales in the $1-3 million range represented the majority of sales in each of the first 3 months in 2020, accounting for 40 of the 91 sales in the first quarter (44%). This is slightly higher than 2019, where 40% of sales occurred in this price point. The first quarter of 2020 saw 3 more high-end sales (above $3 million) but 11 fewer sales in the under $500,000 segment, a decline of 61%. While single family homes made up a similar percentage of sales in Q1 2020 versus Q1 2019, the first quarter of 2020 saw 9 more lot sales and 9 fewer condo/townhome sales than the first quarter of 2019.

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New Listings – What’s New?

$2,733,819

AvERAGE LIST PRICE

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$306,201,000

LIST PRICE Volume

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Market Analysis

The number of new listings entering the market in the first quarter of 2020 was nearly identical to the first quarter of 2019, however the timing of these new listing entering the market was very different. January 2020’s 32 new listings paled in comparison to the 55 new listings in January 2019. This difference may be explained by the fact that after a dynamite 2018, many sellers were encouraged to put their properties on the market in early 2019. February 2020 saw an unusually high number of new listings with 20 more properties hitting the market compared to February 2019. Finishing out the first quarter, new listings in March 2020 were consistent with March 2019. Despite having a similar number of new listings as Q1 2019, the dollar volume of the new listings in Q1 2020 was significantly higher, recording $93 million more in listing volume, an increase of 44%! Even though January 2020 saw 23 fewer sales than Jan 2019, dollar volume was strong ($110 million). February 2020’s new listing volume surpassed January, recording $88 million more in listing volume than February 2019. Finally, March 2020 outpaced March 2019 by $14 million. The average listing price has been declining since a high in December of $3.9 million, dipping below $2 million for the first time since November 2019. Despite the declining trend, the average listing price for the entire quarter was still nearly $1 million higher than the average listing price in Q1 2019. The median list price followed a similar trend. After a high of $2.3 million in January, we’ve seen a significant drop in each of the last two months, down to just above $1 million in March, the lowest median list price in over a year. However, the average median list price of Q1 2020 was still approx. $600,000 higher than this time last year.

The majority (40%) of new listings entered the market between $1-3 million in the first quarter of 2020. February was the most popular month for this price point with 20 new listings hitting the market. Interestingly, March saw a surge of listings in the $500,000 – $1 million segment, when 19 new options entered the market. Comparing quarter to quarter, 2020 saw more new listings in all price points (including the high-end where 10 more listings hit the market) with the exception of the entry level. There were only 5 new listings under $500,000 in the first 3 months of 2020 vs. 24 new listings in Q1 2019. Note: 18 of the 24 new listings represented the newly remodeled Virginian Village Condos, new to the market during Q1 last year.

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Note: All statistics are pulled from Teton Board of Realtors Multiple Listing Service for residential sales/listings in Teton County, WY for the dates specified above. It is estimated that sales outside of MLS account for an additional 10-20% of transactions/volume. Contact Katie for more details.

2020: March New Listings in Jackson Hole

What happened in March?

New Listings

New real estate listings in March dipped slightly from February, with 40 new properties hitting the market. To put that in perspective, last March 2019, 36 new listings entered the market. We typically see a spike in new listings starting in May continuing through June each year (in 2019, 205 new listings hit the market in these two months alone). However, this year is like no other, with COVID-19 disrupting our economy and many people’s daily lives. It will be very interesting to see the number of new listings that enter the market during this spring’s listing season. Will sellers hold off to wait to see what happens to the market? Will panic drive more sellers to dump their properties?
New listing volume dropped significantly in March, down nearly $45 million from February 2020, and dipping below $100 million for the first time since November 2019. As a result, the average listing price dropped to $1.9 million from a high of $3.9 million just 3 months ago in December 2019. Again, it’s typical for the higher-end listings to wait until May / June to enter the market (i.e. last year we saw an average list price of $4.2 million in June). The median listing price was also down in March, dropping $640,000 to just over $1 million as a whopping 19 properties (47.5%!) entered the market between $500,000 – $1,000,000. Despite the snowy conditions, we saw another 8 properties come online over $3 million, including houses in John Dodge, Spring Creek Ranch, Solitude, and Teton Village. So, while new listings continued hitting the market through March despite the early effects of coronavirus, pending sales appear to be down with only 6 these 40 new March listings under contract (as of April 9). Again, I think new listing numbers and dollar volume in April, and more significantly May, will really illustrate the coronavirus’ impact our Jackson Hole real estate market in 2020. Stay tuned!
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$76,223,000

New Listing Volume

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10

Vacant Lot Listings

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$1,905,575

Average List Price

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$1,010,000

MEDIAN LIST PRICE

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1

listings under $500,000

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8

Listings over $3M

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Note: All statistics are pulled from Teton Board of Realtors Multiple Listing Service for residential sales/listings in Teton County, WY for the dates specified above. It is estimated that sales outside of MLS account for an additional 10-20% of transactions/volume. Contact Katie for more details.

2020: March Sales in Jackson Hole

What happened in March?

What Sold

Real estate sales in March dipped, down to 23 transactions for all of Teton County, 4 fewer sales than last month (Feb 2020) and 7 fewer sales than March 2019. This dip is most likely not a result of the coronavirus, as many properties that closed in March went under contract in February, prior the current COVID-19 pandemic effects. Despite seeing lower sales, overall dollar volume was up $3 million from February, reaching nearly $64 million. Thanks to 2 very high-end sales in March – a beautiful 103 acre tract along the Snake River adjacent to Grand Teton National Park (listed for $14.45 million) and a 6,700 square foot cabin at 3 Creek (listed for $11.75 million) – the average sale price jumped up to nearly $2.8 million, the highest monthly average sale price in the past 2 years. The median sale price in March (which is not as affected by the high-end / outlier sales) was also up in March, reaching just under $1.6 million, the highest monthly median sale price in the past year. The majority (60%) of property sales were single family homes in March. Only 5 condos/townhomes sold last month, the lowest monthly total since March 2017. Three vacant lots sold in March, including a 5-acre parcel on the Village Road owned by Teton County and originally earmarked for affordable housing. The majority (43%) of March sales occurred in the $1-3 million price point. In addition to the 2 high-end property sales listed above, another 4 properties sold above $3 million, with that segment accounting for 26% of all sales in March.

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$63,981,729

Total Sales Volume

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176

Average Days on Market

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$1,595,000

MEDIAN SALES PRICE

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61%

Single Family Home Sales

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70%

of property sales over $1M

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3

TRANSACTION UNDER $500,000

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2020: February New Listings in Jackson Hole

What happened in February?

New Listings

New listings spiked in February with 42 properties hitting the market, the highest monthly level of new inventory since last September 2019. List volume was also up, reaching nearly $120 million. However, the average list price dropped to $2.85 million from the highs seen in December and January ($3.9M & 3.45M respectively). The median listing price was also down, dropping significantly to $1,650,000, as 14 new properties entered the market under $1 million including two condos and town under $400,000 that went under contract immediately. The majority (21) of February’s new listings were condos and townhomes, including short term rental condos in Teton Village, The Aspens and Jackson Hole Golf & Tennis. Only 4 building sites came onto the market including a two lot re-development opportunity in East Jackson, listed at $2.85 million.

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$119,741,000

New Listing Volume

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4

Vacant Lot Listings

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$2,850,976

Average List Price

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$1,650,000

MEDIAN LIST PRICE

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3

listings under $500,000

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8

Listings over $3M

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Note: All statistics are pulled from Teton Board of Realtors Multiple Listing Service for residential sales/listings in Teton County, WY for the dates specified above. It is estimated that sales outside of MLS account for an additional 10-20% of transactions/volume. Contact Katie for more details.

2020: February Sales in Jackson Hole

What happened in February?

What Sold

Real estate sales were down in February, recording only 27 transactions – the lowest monthly total since last February 2019. Overall sales volume was also down $30 million after a strong January that saw nearly $90 million in sales volume. February volume was the lowest monthly volume since June 2019. Despite lower sales and volume, the average sale price remains strong, reaching close to $2,250,000 for only the first time in the past year. February saw several high end sales including 2 Granite Ridge homes in Teton Village, selling for a combined $15 million. The majority (56%) of sales in February were for single family homes. Not surprisingly given the snow levels, only 3 vacant lots sold in February. The $1-3 million price point was again the hot spot, with nearly half of last month’s sales occurring in this price range. There were 0 sales under $500,000 in February, the first month without a sale in the entry level market since I began tracking this stat in January 2018. The average days on market dropped down to 168 days after reaching 191 last month. Interestingly, the sale to list price ratio hit 97% for the first time since July 2019, illustrating that properties, on average, were selling closer to listing price in February, with nearly 1 in 4 properties selling at or above their listing price last month.

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$60,598,698

Total Sales Volume

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168

Average Days on Market

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$1,495,000

MEDIAN SALES PRICE

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56%

Single Family Home Sales

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67%

of property sales over $1M

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0

TRANSACTION UNDER $500,000

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Note: All statistics are pulled from Teton Board of Realtors Multiple Listing Service for residential sales/listings in Teton County, WY for the dates specified above. It is estimated that sales outside of MLS account for an additional 10-20% of transactions/volume. Contact Katie for more details.

2020: January Sales in Jackson Hole

What happened in January?

What Sold

The New Year started out strong with 41 real estate sales in January 2020, an increase of 20% from December 2019. Those 41 sales translated to $90 million in sales volume, the highest monthly volume in the past 3 months. As a result, the average sale price for January 2020 reached $2.2 million, breaking $2 million for the first time since August 2019. The median sale price dropped $130,000 to $1.27 million in January with 34% of all sales occurring under $1 million and another 12 sales occurring between $1,000,000 – $1,300,000. Days on market increased slightly in January, with the average property selling in 191 days, however high demand and well priced listings are selling much more quickly. The sale to list price ratio remained at 95% for the third month in a row, with 7 of the 41 sales occurring at or above the listing price including a stand-alone townhome on East Hall, that received five offers in the first few days of listing, quickly selling for full price of $1,095,000 . The majority (41%) of the sales in January were single family homes, while townhomes accounted for 37% of all sales. Interestingly, there were 9 lot sales in January representing nearly 1 in every 4 sales last month, quite the increase considering that vacant land accounted for an average of 14% of all sales over the last 8 months. Nearly half (44%) of all sales occurred in the $1-3 million range, perhaps signalling a trend after representing 50% of all sales in Dec 2019. The high end segment started the New Year strong with 9 sales over $3 million in January, including several homes around Teton Village in Shooting Star, Granite Ridge, and Lake Creek Ranch.

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$89,912,254

Total Sales Volume

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191

Average Days on Market

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$1,270,000

MEDIAN SALES PRICE

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41%

Single Family Home Sales

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66%

of property sales over $1M

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4

TRANSACTION UNDER $500,000

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Note: All statistics are pulled from Teton Board of Realtors Multiple Listing Service for residential sales/listings in Teton County, WY for the dates specified above. It is estimated that sales outside of MLS account for an additional 10-20% of transactions/volume. Contact Katie for more details.

2020: January New Listings in Jackson Hole

What happened in January?

New Listings

The first month of the New Year saw 32 new listings enter the market, a slight increase over December 2019, however still roughly one-third of new inventory seen during the summer months. Listing volume topped $110 million for the second month in a row. The average listing price dropped slightly from December but remained strong at $3.4 million, continuing to outpace the average sale price by more than a $1 million for the last 2 months. The median list price spiked in January, topping $2 million for the first time since I began tracking this stat in April 2017. Not a surprise, considering that over 80% of January new listings were over $1 million with a whopping 40% of new listings over $3 million last month. Several high end homes came on the market at 3 Creek ($11.75 million), Solitude ($7.5 million) and a beautiful custom home north of town, listed for $16.9 million (and already under contract!). Only 5 new listings entered the “locals market” ($500,000 – $1 million) and only one property hit the market under $500,000 – a one bedroom condo in East Jackson, listed for $365,000 that received 3 immediate offers. New listings were split almost equally between single family homes (14) and townhomes (13) with 5 vacant lots coming onto the market in January, including a unique parcel on Huffsmith Hill with stunning Teton views, listed for $5.1 million.

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$110,237,000

New Listing Volume

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5

Vacant Lot Listings

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$3,444,906

Average List Price

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$2,347,000

MEDIAN LIST PRICE

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1

listings under $500,000

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13

Listings over $3M

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Note: All statistics are pulled from Teton Board of Realtors Multiple Listing Service for residential sales/listings in Teton County, WY for the dates specified above. It is estimated that sales outside of MLS account for an additional 10-20% of transactions/volume. Contact Katie for more details.

2019 Jackson Hole Real Estate Summary & 2020 Forecast

Summary: Jackson Hole Real Estate & 2020 Forecast

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Market Analysis

Real Estate Sales in Jackson Hole – Past 5 years

We all remember 2018 in the Jackson Hole real estate market, right? An explosive year where everything was up, way up! Transactions increased 13%, while overall sales volume jumped a staggering 38%, and the average sale price was up 22%. What a year! Could it continue? Surely this level of appreciation wasn’t sustainable? Many predicted a recession, or a the very least a stabilization after such a wild year. Well, the 2019 market in Jackson Hole did slow down, but just a bit. While not a significant correction like many were hoping / predicting, the numbers show that 2018 was most likely a “peak” year. With a similar level of sales in 2019, dollar volume decreased 6% and the average sale price dropped 4.5%. The median sale price increased, recording its highest mark in the last 5 years but that is more likely an indication of the “Virginian Village effect” (see sales section above) then a result of increasing sale prices. New this year, I analyzed properties that sold at or above their listing prices, which can help us understand overall demand, as these sales are usually a result of multiple and/or quick offers. In each year since 2016, more and more properties have sold at or above the asking price, peaking in 2018 at 114 property sales (nearly 1 in every 4 sales!). In 2019, with a similar level of overall sales, 87 properties sold at or above their listing price (or roughly 1 in every 6 properties). While not a drastic change, this is another indicator of demand slowing down from the highs of 2018.

Inventory Trends – Past 5 years

After peaking in 2015 (739 new listings), the amount of new inventory entering the market constricted in 2016, down 16% percent. New listing levels have been increasing year-over-year since 2017, recently up 10% from 2018 to 2019 (696 new listings) – marking the most significant increase in over 5 years. After seeing what the market did in 2018, sellers may have wanted to take advantage and cash out, listing their property for sale in 2019. When more inventory (supply) enters the market, this can put downward pressure on pricing, perhaps explaining the slight decline in both sales volume and average sales prices in 2019. Obviously this isn’t true for the entire market, as certain pockets (Town under $1.3 million for example) continue to see high demand (and increasing prices). However, even though there were more listings in 2019, we saw the same amount of sales as 2018 (with fewer new listings), perhaps as some potential buyers sat on the sidelines waiting for a larger market correction.

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2020 Forecast

After a exceptionally strong 2018, I predicted that the unprecedented rate of market acceleration could not continue (see my 2019 forecast). After seeing things slow a bit in 2019, what will 2020 bring? Will things continue to slow or plateau like 2019 or will high demand for Jackson Hole properties once again push pricing upward?

Talks of a pending recession still abound, but will it happen in Jackson? It seems unlikely. Jackson Hole remains a highly desirable place to live for year round families and second homeowners alike. As more and more people can work remotely, many want to make living the dream in Jackson Hole a reality. That will probably never change. As people continue to move here, they will continue to compete for properties with the local buyers. Unfortunately, this can lead to the local working people getting squeezed – beaten out by cash offers and buyers willing to pay over market value to get their spot in Jackson Hole. I predict it getting continually harder and harder for local buyers to enter the market, and increasingly difficult to move up in the market (without taking on a higher mortgage in the process).

There is always uncertainty with an election year. Add to that global trade talks and impeachment hearings and many people are holding their breath and watching the market closely. That being said, many investors are cash heavy, waiting for any recession induced opportunities, suggesting that any slight down turn will be immediately buoyed by an increase in demand.

In a unique market like Jackson Hole, where the supply of land is permanently limited due to publicly held land and  conservation easements, it’s hard to imagine we will see enough new supply (or a decrease in demand) to result in any significant downtown. Happy 2020!

 

Advice for Sellers in 2020:

Know how your property’s “micro-market”. Certain segments of the market are seeing different levels of demand. Be familiar with recent comps, but even more importantly, current inventory / competition in your segment.

Be prepared for multiple or quick offers in certain segments. Think about what terms are most important to you. Focus on buyer’s enthusiasm and ability to preform.

Prepare your home for sale: de-clutter, clean up, work on deferred maintenance items, etc. Move in ready and remodeled properties are receiving the most attention. Discuss which (if any) updates will produce a higher return.

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Advice for Buyers in 2020:

Know and follow the market. What are the recent comps? How are current inventory levels? What types of properties are selling quickly?

Recognize a good/fair deal and be ready to act quickly as inventory in certain segments remains low. Know that there are many buyers for the same property. How will you position yourself to be the best candidate in a multiple offer situation?

If you need to sell to buy, prepare your home now so that you will be ready to list as soon as you find the right property. Be prepared for things to move quickly when that happens.

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Note: All statistics are pulled from Teton Board of Realtors Multiple Listing Service for residential sales/listings in Teton County, WY for the dates specified above. It is estimated that sales outside of MLS account for an additional 10-20% of transactions/volume. Contact Katie for more details.

2019: Year End Review – Jackson Hole

2019: Transactions/Sales Volume – What Sold?

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$890,085,959

Total Sales Volume

$1,805,448

Average Sales Price

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Market Analysis

After an explosive 2018 that saw a 13% annual increase in sales and a staggering 38% increase in dollar volume, many predicted that the market would slow in 2019, many thought the market was in need of a correction. The number of real estate sales did not slow down in 2019, recording a nearly identical number of sales as 2018. After under performing 2018 in the first two quarters, transactions increased in Q3 and Q4 of 2019, netting a total of 493 sales* (vs. 494 sales in 2018). What did change in 2019 was the overall dollar volume, dropping 6% percent from 2018, to $890,000,000* in 2019. After starting the year off strong  (2019 Q1 sales volume was up 50% from 2018 Q1), the second quarter of 2019 really under preformed 2018, recording just over half of the sales volume seen in the 2nd quarter of 2018. While the second half of 2019 recorded similar numbers to the same time in 2018, the overall dollar volume of 2019 still came up $45 million short of 2018. With a similar level of sales and less dollar volume, it’s no surprise that the average sale price followed a similar trend (high in Q1, low in Q2 and pretty even in Q3 & Q4) with the end of year average dropping $85,000 (4.5%) to just over $1.8 million. In analyzing the price point breakdown in 2019 vs 2018, a few trends become clear:

  1. The high end market saw a similar level of sales in 2019 (74 vs 76 in 2018). Digging deeper, shows that overall dollar volume of this segment was down 3.5% in 2019, accounting for $412 million in total volume.
  2. Sales seemed to shift from the locals market ($500,000 – $1,000,000), which was down 17%, to the $1-3 million range, which was up 9% from 2018.
  3. The most dramatic change occurred in the sub $500,000 market, where nearly 50% MORE sales occurred in 2019. The 24 additional sales in this price point can be almost entirely explained by the sales of the Virginian Village condos. Condominiumized by the developer several years ago, these 1 and 2 bedroom units located in the heart of Jackson were completely renovated with new appliances, flooring, kitchens, baths, etc. After selling several units FSBO, the remaining units were put on the market with Jackson Hole Real Estate Associates and accounted for 26 sales between Feb – Dec 2019. These condos were in high demand, selling one after the other, with 1 bedrooms selling between $302,000 – $325,000 and 2 bedrooms selling between $402,500 – $435,000.
This influx of inventory and sales in the entry level market, can help explain why, despite a decrease in average sales price, the average monthly median sales price in 2019 was actually up, increasing to $1.15 million from $1.09 million in 2018. With more sales in the bottom end of the market, the median (which measures the middle of the market sales) was pushed up in 2019 because of the additional 26 sales on the low end. In analyzing the property type breakdown, it shows that single family home sales decreased 5%, representing 46% of all sales in 2019, while townhome/condo sales increased in 2019, up 6% representing 40% of all sales. Again, most likely a result of the 26 Virginian Village condo sales in 2019. Land sales represented a similar amount of sales in 2019 (14% vs 12% in 2018).
*Note: All statistics are pulled from Teton Board of Realtors Multiple Listing Service for residential sales/listings in Teton County, WY for 2019, excluding fractional sales and duplicate entries. It is estimated that sales outside of MLS account for an additional 20% of transactions/volume. Contact Katie for more details.
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$1,155,979

Average Median Sales Price

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14%

of Sales were Land Lots

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2019: New Listing/Inventory Analysis

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$1,852,044,899

LIST PRICE Volume

$2,660,984

AvERAGE LIST PRICE

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Market Analysis

Buyers had more options in 2019, as 696 new residential listings entered the market, compared to 632 in 2018, an increase of 10%. New inventory levels outpaced 2018 in the first 3 quarters of 2019, with an especially strong Q3 that saw 40 more new listings than the same period in 2018. While the number of new listings increased 10%, the dollar volume of those new listings jumped up 15%, with $243 million more in dollar volume than in 2018. New listing volume outpaced 2018 in 3 of the 4 quarters, with a very strong Q2 seeing $200 million more in listing volume than in Q2 2018. So, not only was more inventory entering the market in 2019, but it did so at higher price points. As a result, the average listing price increased 4.5%, up to $2.66 million in 2019. Sixty-five percent of 2019’s new listings were in excess of $1 million, with the majority (44%) in the $1-3 million range. Fifty-seven properties entered the market priced under $500,000, with the Virginian Village condos accounting for roughly half (28) of the listings. Single family homes accounted for just over 50% of new listings in 2019.

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$1,412,500

AvERAGE MEDIAN LIST PRICE

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65%

Listings over $1 million

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Note: All statistics are pulled from Teton Board of Realtors Multiple Listing Service for residential sales/listings in Teton County, WY for the dates specified above. It is estimated that sales outside of MLS account for an additional 10-20% of transactions/volume. Contact Katie for more details.

2019: Q4 Sales & New Listings

Transactions/Sales Volume – What Sold?

$1,930,301

Average Sales Price

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$254,799,682

Total Sales Volume

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Market Analysis

The 4th quarter of 2019 looked a lot like the 4th quarter of 2018. Total sales increased ever so slightly, up from 130 in 2018 to 132 sales in 2019. In looking at numbers month-by-month, while 2019 saw a few more sales in October and December, it was balanced out by a few less sales in November. Dollar volume was also similar quarter to quarter, and actually dropped 1.7% from Q4 2018, recording a total of $254,800,000 in Q4 2019. Monthly dollar volume in 2019 outpaced 2018 most significantly in October, recording over $108 million in volume vs $91 million in October 2018. November was a bit slower in 2019 while December was identical at $66 million for the month. As expected, the average sale price was also consistent between 2018 and 2019 slipping down to $1.93 million from $1.99 million in 2018. In analyzing price points, sales in the $1-3 million range were up 15% while sales in the $500,000-$1,000,000 range dropped by 17% compared to Q4 2018. This upward shift in price point is reflected in the median sales price, which was higher in each month of Q4 2019. Sales under $500,000 stayed consistent, recording 12 sales in all of the 4th quarter. Townhomes and condos represented slightly more of the sales in 2019, while lot sales remained steady, representing 16% of all sales in Q4 2019.  What does all this mean? While things aren’t necessarily slowing down, the rate of acceleration has appeared to slow. Will we see more of the same in 2020 or is this an indication of the market leveling off as we enter the next decade? Stay tuned!

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New Listings – What’s New?

$3,023,767

AvERAGE LIST PRICE

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$278,891,000

LIST PRICE Volume

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Market Analysis

New inventory was down, but listing prices were up in the 4th quarter of 2019, where 18 fewer properties hit the market – a drop of 17% from the same time in 2018. New listings were down every month in the 4th quarter with the biggest drop coming in October, when only 34 properties hit the market (vs. 46 in October 2018). Despite having 17% fewer options in 2019, buyers saw those options increase in price with total dollar volume jumping 12% from Q4 2018. October & December were big dollar months, recording $116 million and $117 million in new listings respectively. As a result, the average listing price jumped up dramatically in the 4th quarter, going from $2.3 million in Q4 2018 to above $3 million in Q4 2019. The median list price saw a more modest, yet still significant, increase from $1.26 million to $1.37 million – a jump of 9%. The spike in dollar volume and average listing price is supported by the price point of several high end listings in Q4 2019. While a similar number of these $3+ million listings hit the market in Q4 2019 and Q4 2018, this past year saw several ultra-high-end listings including: a contemporary home with stunning views atop Spring Creek Ranch for $15 million, a 3 lot estate on 20+ acres south of Wilson for $25 million, and a recently listed 18,000 sq foot home, guest home and barn on 215 acres in the heart of Jackson Hole for $35 million. For much of 2019, we saw higher priced inventory replace the lower price sales, a pattern that can’t be sustainable for long in our market. How will Q1 2020 compare? Will more high end listings continue to flood the market, while the “local’s market” sees fewer and fewer options? How will that affect demand in each of those segments? Stay tuned…

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Note: All statistics are pulled from Teton Board of Realtors Multiple Listing Service for residential sales/listings in Teton County, WY for the dates specified above. It is estimated that sales outside of MLS account for an additional 10-20% of transactions/volume. Contact Katie for more details.