Inventory Levels Archives - Page 3 of 8

2020: March New Listings in Jackson Hole

April 9, 2020/in Inventory Levels, Jackson Hole Real Estate, Market Report, Market Reports, Market Statistics, Monthly Market Update, New Listings, Real Estate Sales/by Molly Stewart

New real estate listings in March dipped slightly from February, with 40 new properties hitting the market. To put that in perspective, last March 2019, 36 new listings entered the market. We typically see a spike in new listings starting in May continuing through June each year (in 2019, 205 new listings hit the market in these two months alone). However, this year is like no other, with COVID-19 disrupting our economy and many people’s daily lives. It will be very interesting to see the number of new listings that enter the market during this spring’s listing season. Will sellers hold off to wait to see what happens to the market? Will panic drive more sellers to dump their properties?

New listing volume dropped significantly in March, down nearly $45 million from February 2020, and dipping below $100 million for the first time since November 2019. As a result, the average listing price dropped to $1.9 million from a high of $3.9 million just 3 months ago in December 2019. Again, it’s typical for the higher-end listings to wait until May / June to enter the market (i.e. last year we saw an average list price of $4.2 million in June). The median listing price was also down in March, dropping $640,000 to just over $1 million as a whopping 19 properties (47.5%!) entered the market between $500,000 – $1,000,000. Despite the snowy conditions, we saw another 8 properties come online over $3 million, including houses in John Dodge, Spring Creek Ranch, Solitude, and Teton Village. So, while new listings continued hitting the market through March despite the early effects of coronavirus, pending sales appear to be down with only 6 these 40 new March listings under contract (as of April 9). Again, I think new listing numbers and dollar volume in April, and more significantly May, will really illustrate the coronavirus’ impact our Jackson Hole real estate market in 2020. Stay tuned!

2019 Jackson Hole Real Estate Summary & 2020 Forecast

January 20, 2020/in Asking Prices, Average Sales Price, Building Site, Buyers, Condos, Condos under $500, Days on Market, East Jackson, Grand Teton National Park, High End Real Estate, Housing, Inventory Levels, Jackson Hole Real Estate, Jackson Hole Report, Land/Building Sites, Listing Prices, Luxury Property, Market Report, Market Reports, Market Statistics, Monthly Market Report, Monthly Market Update, Over $1 million, Past Sales, Properties under $500, Real Estate Sales, Supply/Demand, The Jackson Hole Report, Town of Jackson, Townhome, WY, Year in Review/by Molly Stewart

Real Estate Sales in Jackson Hole – Past 5 years

We all remember 2018 in the Jackson Hole real estate market, right? An explosive year where everything was up, way up! Transactions increased 13%, while overall sales volume jumped a staggering 38%, and the average sale price was up 22%. What a year! Could it continue? Surely this level of appreciation wasn’t sustainable? Many predicted a recession, or a the very least a stabilization after such a wild year. Well, the 2019 market in Jackson Hole did slow down, but just a bit. While not a significant correction like many were hoping / predicting, the numbers show that 2018 was most likely a “peak” year. With a similar level of sales in 2019, dollar volume decreased 6% and the average sale price dropped 4.5%. The median sale price increased, recording its highest mark in the last 5 years but that is more likely an indication of the “Virginian Village effect” (see sales section above) then a result of increasing sale prices. New this year, I analyzed properties that sold at or above their listing prices, which can help us understand overall demand, as these sales are usually a result of multiple and/or quick offers. In each year since 2016, more and more properties have sold at or above the asking price, peaking in 2018 at 114 property sales (nearly 1 in every 4 sales!). In 2019, with a similar level of overall sales, 87 properties sold at or above their listing price (or roughly 1 in every 6 properties). While not a drastic change, this is another indicator of demand slowing down from the highs of 2018.

Inventory Trends – Past 5 years

After peaking in 2015 (739 new listings), the amount of new inventory entering the market constricted in 2016, down 16% percent. New listing levels have been increasing year-over-year since 2017, recently up 10% from 2018 to 2019 (696 new listings) – marking the most significant increase in over 5 years. After seeing what the market did in 2018, sellers may have wanted to take advantage and cash out, listing their property for sale in 2019. When more inventory (supply) enters the market, this can put downward pressure on pricing, perhaps explaining the slight decline in both sales volume and average sales prices in 2019. Obviously this isn’t true for the entire market, as certain pockets (Town under $1.3 million for example) continue to see high demand (and increasing prices). However, even though there were more listings in 2019, we saw the same amount of sales as 2018 (with fewer new listings), perhaps as some potential buyers sat on the sidelines waiting for a larger market correction.

After a exceptionally strong 2018, I predicted that the unprecedented rate of market acceleration could not continue (see my 2019 forecast). After seeing things slow a bit in 2019, what will 2020 bring? Will things continue to slow or plateau like 2019 or will high demand for Jackson Hole properties once again push pricing upward?

Talks of a pending recession still abound, but will it happen in Jackson? It seems unlikely. Jackson Hole remains a highly desirable place to live for year round families and second homeowners alike. As more and more people can work remotely, many want to make living the dream in Jackson Hole a reality. That will probably never change. As people continue to move here, they will continue to compete for properties with the local buyers. Unfortunately, this can lead to the local working people getting squeezed – beaten out by cash offers and buyers willing to pay over market value to get their spot in Jackson Hole. I predict it getting continually harder and harder for local buyers to enter the market, and increasingly difficult to move up in the market (without taking on a higher mortgage in the process).

There is always uncertainty with an election year. Add to that global trade talks and impeachment hearings and many people are holding their breath and watching the market closely. That being said, many investors are cash heavy, waiting for any recession induced opportunities, suggesting that any slight down turn will be immediately buoyed by an increase in demand.

In a unique market like Jackson Hole, where the supply of land is permanently limited due to publicly held land and conservation easements, it’s hard to imagine we will see enough new supply (or a decrease in demand) to result in any significant downtown. Happy 2020!

Know how your property’s “micro-market”. Certain segments of the market are seeing different levels of demand. Be familiar with recent comps, but even more importantly, current inventory / competition in your segment.

Be prepared for multiple or quick offers in certain segments. Think about what terms are most important to you. Focus on buyer’s enthusiasm and ability to preform.

Prepare your home for sale: de-clutter, clean up, work on deferred maintenance items, etc. Move in ready and remodeled properties are receiving the most attention. Discuss which (if any) updates will produce a higher return.

Know and follow the market. What are the recent comps? How are current inventory levels? What types of properties are selling quickly?

Recognize a good/fair deal and be ready to act quickly as inventory in certain segments remains low. Know that there are many buyers for the same property. How will you position yourself to be the best candidate in a multiple offer situation?

If you need to sell to buy, prepare your home now so that you will be ready to list as soon as you find the right property. Be prepared for things to move quickly when that happens.

2019: Year End Review – Jackson Hole

January 18, 2020/in Asking Prices, Average Sales Price, Buyers, Condos, Days on Market, Foreclosure Properties, High End Real Estate, Inventory Levels, Investment Property, Jackson Hole Real Estate, Jackson Hole Report, Market Report, Market Reports, Market Statistics, Multi-family, New Listings, Over $1 million, Past Sales, Properties under $500, Sale to List Price Ratio, Sales Volume, Sellers, Single family homes, Supply/Demand, The Jackson Hole Report, Town of Jackson, WY, Year in Review/by Molly Stewart

After an explosive 2018 that saw a 13% annual increase in sales and a staggering 38% increase in dollar volume, many predicted that the market would slow in 2019, many thought the market was in need of a correction. The number of real estate sales did not slow down in 2019, recording a nearly identical number of sales as 2018. After under performing 2018 in the first two quarters, transactions increased in Q3 and Q4 of 2019, netting a total of 493 sales* (vs. 494 sales in 2018). What did change in 2019 was the overall dollar volume, dropping 6% percent from 2018, to $890,000,000* in 2019. After starting the year off strong (2019 Q1 sales volume was up 50% from 2018 Q1), the second quarter of 2019 really under preformed 2018, recording just over half of the sales volume seen in the 2nd quarter of 2018. While the second half of 2019 recorded similar numbers to the same time in 2018, the overall dollar volume of 2019 still came up $45 million short of 2018. With a similar level of sales and less dollar volume, it’s no surprise that the average sale price followed a similar trend (high in Q1, low in Q2 and pretty even in Q3 & Q4) with the end of year average dropping $85,000 (4.5%) to just over $1.8 million. In analyzing the price point breakdown in 2019 vs 2018, a few trends become clear:

The high end market saw a similar level of sales in 2019 (74 vs 76 in 2018). Digging deeper, shows that overall dollar volume of this segment was down 3.5% in 2019, accounting for $412 million in total volume.
Sales seemed to shift from the locals market ($500,000 – $1,000,000), which was down 17%, to the $1-3 million range, which was up 9% from 2018.
The most dramatic change occurred in the sub $500,000 market, where nearly 50% MORE sales occurred in 2019. The 24 additional sales in this price point can be almost entirely explained by the sales of the Virginian Village condos. Condominiumized by the developer several years ago, these 1 and 2 bedroom units located in the heart of Jackson were completely renovated with new appliances, flooring, kitchens, baths, etc. After selling several units FSBO, the remaining units were put on the market with Jackson Hole Real Estate Associates and accounted for 26 sales between Feb – Dec 2019. These condos were in high demand, selling one after the other, with 1 bedrooms selling between $302,000 – $325,000 and 2 bedrooms selling between $402,500 – $435,000.

This influx of inventory and sales in the entry level market, can help explain why, despite a decrease in average sales price, the average monthly median sales price in 2019 was actually up, increasing to $1.15 million from $1.09 million in 2018. With more sales in the bottom end of the market, the median (which measures the middle of the market sales) was pushed up in 2019 because of the additional 26 sales on the low end. In analyzing the property type breakdown, it shows that single family home sales decreased 5%, representing 46% of all sales in 2019, while townhome/condo sales increased in 2019, up 6% representing 40% of all sales. Again, most likely a result of the 26 Virginian Village condo sales in 2019. Land sales represented a similar amount of sales in 2019 (14% vs 12% in 2018).

*Note: All statistics are pulled from Teton Board of Realtors Multiple Listing Service for residential sales/listings in Teton County, WY for 2019, excluding fractional sales and duplicate entries. It is estimated that sales outside of MLS account for an additional 20% of transactions/volume. Contact Katie for more details.

Buyers had more options in 2019, as 696 new residential listings entered the market, compared to 632 in 2018, an increase of 10%. New inventory levels outpaced 2018 in the first 3 quarters of 2019, with an especially strong Q3 that saw 40 more new listings than the same period in 2018. While the number of new listings increased 10%, the dollar volume of those new listings jumped up 15%, with $243 million more in dollar volume than in 2018. New listing volume outpaced 2018 in 3 of the 4 quarters, with a very strong Q2 seeing $200 million more in listing volume than in Q2 2018. So, not only was more inventory entering the market in 2019, but it did so at higher price points. As a result, the average listing price increased 4.5%, up to $2.66 million in 2019. Sixty-five percent of 2019’s new listings were in excess of $1 million, with the majority (44%) in the $1-3 million range. Fifty-seven properties entered the market priced under $500,000, with the Virginian Village condos accounting for roughly half (28) of the listings. Single family homes accounted for just over 50% of new listings in 2019.

2019: Q4 Sales & New Listings

January 13, 2020/in Asking Prices, Average Sales Price, Inventory Levels, Jackson Hole Real Estate, Jackson Hole Report, Land/Building Sites, Listing Prices, Luxury Property, Market Report, Market Reports, Market Statistics, Multi-family, Over $1 million, Past Sales, Properties under $500, Real Estate Sales, Sale to List Price Ratio, Sales Volume, Sellers, Single family homes, The Jackson Hole Report, Town of Jackson, Townhome, Under $500, WY/by Molly Stewart

The 4th quarter of 2019 looked a lot like the 4th quarter of 2018. Total sales increased ever so slightly, up from 130 in 2018 to 132 sales in 2019. In looking at numbers month-by-month, while 2019 saw a few more sales in October and December, it was balanced out by a few less sales in November. Dollar volume was also similar quarter to quarter, and actually dropped 1.7% from Q4 2018, recording a total of $254,800,000 in Q4 2019. Monthly dollar volume in 2019 outpaced 2018 most significantly in October, recording over $108 million in volume vs $91 million in October 2018. November was a bit slower in 2019 while December was identical at $66 million for the month. As expected, the average sale price was also consistent between 2018 and 2019 slipping down to $1.93 million from $1.99 million in 2018. In analyzing price points, sales in the $1-3 million range were up 15% while sales in the $500,000-$1,000,000 range dropped by 17% compared to Q4 2018. This upward shift in price point is reflected in the median sales price, which was higher in each month of Q4 2019. Sales under $500,000 stayed consistent, recording 12 sales in all of the 4th quarter. Townhomes and condos represented slightly more of the sales in 2019, while lot sales remained steady, representing 16% of all sales in Q4 2019. What does all this mean? While things aren’t necessarily slowing down, the rate of acceleration has appeared to slow. Will we see more of the same in 2020 or is this an indication of the market leveling off as we enter the next decade? Stay tuned!

New inventory was down, but listing prices were up in the 4th quarter of 2019, where 18 fewer properties hit the market – a drop of 17% from the same time in 2018. New listings were down every month in the 4th quarter with the biggest drop coming in October, when only 34 properties hit the market (vs. 46 in October 2018). Despite having 17% fewer options in 2019, buyers saw those options increase in price with total dollar volume jumping 12% from Q4 2018. October & December were big dollar months, recording $116 million and $117 million in new listings respectively. As a result, the average listing price jumped up dramatically in the 4th quarter, going from $2.3 million in Q4 2018 to above $3 million in Q4 2019. The median list price saw a more modest, yet still significant, increase from $1.26 million to $1.37 million – a jump of 9%. The spike in dollar volume and average listing price is supported by the price point of several high end listings in Q4 2019. While a similar number of these $3+ million listings hit the market in Q4 2019 and Q4 2018, this past year saw several ultra-high-end listings including: a contemporary home with stunning views atop Spring Creek Ranch for $15 million, a 3 lot estate on 20+ acres south of Wilson for $25 million, and a recently listed 18,000 sq foot home, guest home and barn on 215 acres in the heart of Jackson Hole for $35 million. For much of 2019, we saw higher priced inventory replace the lower price sales, a pattern that can’t be sustainable for long in our market. How will Q1 2020 compare? Will more high end listings continue to flood the market, while the “local’s market” sees fewer and fewer options? How will that affect demand in each of those segments? Stay tuned…

Property sales over $1 million increase in August 2016

September 12, 2016/in Buyers, Condos, Entry level market, Housing, Inventory Levels, Jackson Hole Real Estate, Market Report, Market Reports, Market Statistics, Monthly Market Update, Over $1 million, Real Estate Sales, Single family homes, Townhome/by Molly Stewart

The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for Sept 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

What Sold in Aug 2016?

52% :: Percentage of single family home sales (slight increase)
34% :: Percentage of condo/townhome sales (slight decrease)
14% :: Percentage of Land Sales (slight increase)

45% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for over $1 million (up from last month)
55% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $1 million
20% :: Percentage of residential properties selling for under $500,000 (spike after two months of decline)

What it means: The breakdown of sales by property type has remained relatively consistent over the last two months, with single family home sales representing just over 1/2 of all sales in Teton County. The share of condo and townhome sales has decreased over the last few months, down from a high of 46% in May. Land sales increased slightly in August but have remained relatively consistent throughout 2016, usually making up between 10-20% of monthly sales. Entry level sales saw a spike in August after declining for the past two months. There were 10 condo sales under $500,000 in August, 8 of which were located in the Town of Jackson, including a 2 bed/1 bath townhome with a 1 car garage, which sold for just over $450,000. It was the least expensive property with a garage in Teton County. While the “middle market” ($500,000 – $1,000,000) remained strong in August, accounting for 34% of all sales, there were also several sales in the $1-2 million range, including a high end Pine Glades townhome on Snow King, which sold for $1,820,000. As a result, sales over $1 million increased after being down in July. High end sales (defined as sales over $3 million) also rebounded in August (after zero sales in July), as 3 properties sold between $3-$5 million, and included homes in JH Golf & Tennis, Teton Village and 3 Creek Ranch.

Clusters townhome with garage sold in August (listed by JH Sotheby’s)

Pineglades townhome at the base of Snow King sold in August (listed by JHREA)

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High-end building sites hit the market in August in Jackson real estate market

September 11, 2016/in Asking Prices, Building Site, High End Real Estate, Inventory Levels, Jackson Hole Real Estate, Land/Building Sites, Listing Prices, Luxury Property, Market Report, Market Reports, Market Statistics, Monthly Market Update, New Listings, Over $1 million/by Molly Stewart

The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for Sept 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

What’s new in Aug 2016? (New Listing Analysis)

77 :: Total number of new listings in Aug
- Total New Listing Volume: $244,036,000
- Average List Price: $3,169,000
44 new residential properties (single family, condo, townhome)
- Average List Price: $2,746,000
- New listings already under contract or sold: 11
33 new building sites
- Average List Price: $3,733,000
- New listings already under contract or sold: 3

What it means: The amount of new listings hitting the market has been slowly declining from the peak in May. However, thanks to an influx of vacant lots hitting the market in August, overall new listing levels saw an uptick last month. Fourteen land parcels at the Snake River Sporting Club, a golf and equestrian community south of Jackson, hit the market in August. Note that without these new lot additions to the inventory, overall new listings in August would have followed the declining trend seen over the last few months. The total dollar volume of new listings increased significantly after a slow July, as a result of several high priced lot listings across the Valley. In addition to the 14 lots listed for sale down in the Snake River Sporting Club (10 of which were 35 acre ranch parcels listed between $1.7mm-$2.7mm), there were also two 35 acre parcels listed in the Bar BC Ranch ($8.9 & $9.9 million) and four tracts making up the 580 acre Spring Gulch Ranch ranging in price from $10.9mm – $14.5mm. It’s no surprise that the average listing price in August topped $3 million, easily the highest average monthly listing price in the past year. With the help of these lot listings, August’s new inventory is in line with new inventory levels seen in the past 2 years. While these new listings will no doubt help the overall low inventory levels, it’s also important to note what new inventory is NOT coming onto the market. Only 10 of the new listings in August (less than 20% of all listings) were priced under $700,000, with 4 of them already under contract (as of Sept 10th). On the other hand, 35 new listings in August (or 45% of all new listings) were priced in excess of $2 million.

Notable new listings in August include:

Rarely listed Golf Creek condo at JH Golf & Tennis – $795,000
Nearly 10,000 sq foot home in the Gill Addition backing up to the Elk Refuge – $7,500,000
13 acres atop Horse Creek Mesa with nearby Forest Service access – $350,000
Largest lot in Stilson Ranch (7 acres) along the Village Rd – $2,900,000

Click HERE to view all new August residential listings.

Click HERE to view all new August land listings.

What Is Your Home Worth?

Curious about the value of your home? Complete the Home Valuation Request form to receive an estimate of the market value of your home.

Featured Listings

Browse Katie’s “Top Picks” for current values in the Jackson Hole real estate market. Updated with new listings weekly. Browse now.

New listings slow, overall inventory very low in Jackson Hole real estate market

August 10, 2016/in Asking Prices, Building Site, Condos, High End Real Estate, Inventory Levels, Jackson Hole Real Estate, Land/Building Sites, Listing Prices, Market Report, Market Reports, Market Statistics, Monthly Market Update, New Listings, Property Search/by Molly Stewart

The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for Aug 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

What’s new in July 2016? (New Listing Analysis)

73 :: Total number of new listings in July
- Total New Listing Volume: $133,226,000
- Average List Price: $1,825,000
58 new residential properties (single family, condo, townhome)
- Average List Price: $1,677,000
- New listings already under contract or sold: 13
15 new building sites
- Average List Price: $2,393,000
- New listings already under contract or sold: 3

What it means: The amount of new inventory hitting the market is slowly declining from the peak in May, with 73 new listings coming online in July. The dollar volume of July’s new listings also declined, making up only 1/2 of the new listing volume from June. (Remember that June’s new listing volume was inflated due to 2 very high-end properties hitting the market for a combined $81 million, however even after removing these two outliers, listing volume in July was still down roughly $30 million from June.) Even though we’ve seen close to 300 new properties hit the market this summer, current inventory levels are the lowest since the peak of the real estate market in 2007. New inventory in 2016 has lagged both 2014 and 2015 numbers in nearly every month of the year (see chart below). While the average listing price of new lots remained above $2 million, the average listing price of homes dropped significantly from June to July, mostly as a result of those two high-end listings in June. Six condos priced under $500,000 hit the market in July, including a one bedroom end unit in the Berry Patch in The Aspens, listed for $435,000. On the other end of the spectrum, 8 homes priced between $3-6 million came onto the market in July, including homes in Tucker Ranch, Teton Pines and Jackson Hole Golf & Tennis. Many buyers continue to move quickly on well priced inventory, as over 20% of July’s new listings are already sold or have sales pending (by Aug 10th).

Notable new listings in July include:

Two 1 bedroom condos close to downtown Jackson – $320,000 – $325,000
40 acres bordering National Forest in Squaw Creek – $895,000
New Construction in “downtown” Wilson – $1,795,000
Two 3,330 sq foot cabins at Shooting Star Resort – $4,500,000 each

Click HERE to view all new July residential listings.

Click HERE to view all new July land listings.

Property Search is Here!

Search ALL Teton County Listings: Single Family Homes, Condos, Vacant Land, Multi-family, Farm/Ranch, Commercial and Leases

Quick Search or Advanced Search capabilities
Customizable Map Search
Search by MLS #, if you have a specific property in mind
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Search Jackson Hole Properties now.

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Save your favorite Jackson Hole Real Estate properties or create customized search criteria for personalized direct access.
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What Is Your Home Worth?

Curious about the value of your home? Complete the Home Valuation Request form to receive an estimate of the market value of your home.

Featured Listings

Browse Katie’s “Top Picks” for current values in the Jackson Hole real estate market. Updated with new listings weekly. Browse now.

Transactions and sales decline in July after explosive June in Jackson Hole real estate market

August 7, 2016/in Asking Prices, Average Sales Price, Days on Market, Inventory Levels, Jackson Hole Real Estate, Listing Prices, Market Report, Market Reports, Market Statistics, Monthly Market Update, Rafter J, Real Estate Sales, Sale to List Price Ratio, Sales Volume/by Molly Stewart

The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for Aug 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

Summary – July 2016:

31 :: Total residential sale transactions (vs. 58 in June)
$29,125,000 :: Total residential sales volume (vs. $78 million in June)
$940,000:: Average sales price of reported and unreported sales (lowest in past year)
96% :: Ratio of sales price to list price (typical level)
133 :: Average days on market prior to selling (lowest in past 3+ years!)

What it means: The explosion of real estate activity we experienced in June proved to be more of an anomaly than signaling the start of a record breaking summer trend. After recording the highest transaction level in 3 years (58) and the highest sales volume in 2016 ($75 million) in June, the Jackson Hole real estate market eased off a bit in July with 31 sales totally less than $30 million in sales volume. Interestingly, last July was also lackluster with only 34 sales and $30 million in sales volume. It will be interesting to see if these next few months will mirror the sustained increase in activity seen in Aug/Sept/Oct of 2015 (see chart below). After increasing two months in a row, the average sales price dropped significantly in July, dipping below the $1 million mark for the first time since July 2015 ($902,000). The lower average sales price was driven by several sales in the $500,000 – $700,000 range (see “What Sold?” below). While the sale price to list price ratio held steady at 96%, over 1/4 of buyers paid at, near or ABOVE the listing price for properties in July, including a twinhome in Rafter J, which had multiple offers and sold for $20,000 OVER the listing price. This illustrates that there is still strong demand for well priced properties, especially in the sub $650,000 price range. After hitting a high of 225 days in January 2016, the average number of days a property sits on the market before selling took another dip, reaching a low not seen in the past 3+ years (since I began tracking this statistic). In fact, 50% of all sales in July sold within 90 days of hitting the market (!) – most likely a result of 10 year low inventory levels (see Mid Year Summary). Many buyers know the market well and are prepared to act quickly when they find a property that suits their needs. (Note: If you are searching for a particular property type/price range, please connect me so that I can alert you about well priced properties entering our market. You can also sign up for email updates for new listings in your price range.)

What Is Your Home Worth?

Curious about the value of your home? Complete the Home Valuation Request form to receive an estimate of the market value of your home.

Featured Listings

Browse Katie’s “Top Picks” for current values in the Jackson Hole real estate market. Updated with new listings weekly. Browse now.

Sales and dollar volume down again, available inventory lowest since 2007: Mid Year update from The Jackson Hole Report

August 2, 2016/in Asking Prices, Average Sales Price, Building Site, Condos, Entry level market, High End Real Estate, Inventory Levels, Jackson Hole Real Estate, Jackson Hole Report, Land/Building Sites, Listing Prices, Luxury Property, Market Report, Market Reports, Market Statistics, Over $1 million, RE/MAX Obsidian, Real Estate Sales, Single family homes, Supply/Demand, The Jackson Hole Report, Townhome, Uncategorized, Under $500/by Molly Stewart

Sale transactions and dollar volume are down again in the second quarter of 2016, mostly due to dwindling well-priced inventory under $1 million. The Jackson Hole Report, a quarterly market report prepared by my colleague David Viehman at RE/MAX Obsidian Real Estate, provides insights into the local real estate market through the end of the 2nd quarter 2016. Click HERE to read the full 2016 Mid Year Report. A summary of statistics/trends follows:

OVERALL MARKET

Total number of Sale Transactions are down 16%
Sales under $1 million are down 21%
Overall dollar volume is down 14%
Despite dwindling sales, the Average Sale Price increased by 3% in Q2 2016
Hot Price Point: Properties priced under $1 million, where 53% of the sales occurred in the second quarter
Hot Location: The Town of Jackson, which accounted for 35% of all sales in the second quarter
Overall inventory is down by 7% (compared to Q2 2015), representing the LOWEST inventory levels since the market peak in 2007

HIGH END MARKET

High-end property sales ($2+ million) were down 23% from Q2 2015
However, despite declining sales, high-end properties under contract have increased by 42%
There are 68 properties for sale over $5 million, an increase of 11%
The most expensive property for sale in Teton County is a 264 acre property just south of Wilson with 7,715 sq ft main house, guest house, and expansive frontage on both the Snake River and Fish Creek, listed for $53 million (pictured below)

264 acre property on Snake River & Fish Creek – $53 million (listed by JH Sotheby’s)

SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

Single family (SF) home sales in the second quarter were up only slightly (2%) from last year at this time
SF home sales over $1 million are up 18%, SF home sales over $3 million are up 43%
Overall SF home inventory is down 12%, with only 20% of listings priced under $1 million
Only 13 homes are available under $750,000, down 71% from this time last year
The average asking price of new listings is up 11% to $3.65 million – the second highest average ever!

Click HERE to view the 39 single family home listings priced under $1 million

3 bed / 2 bath in Cottonwood Park – $650,000 (Listed by JH Sotheby’s)

CONDO/TOWNHOME

Overall condo sales have slowed, down 6% from this time last year
Condo sales under $500,000 fell dramatically (down 32%)
Overall available inventory is up 10%, however inventory under $300,000 is down 71%
The average listing price for condo/townhomes is up 29%
72% of available condos are priced under $1 million, with only 31% priced under $500,000

Click HERE to see the 26 condos/townhomes available under $500,000

4 bedroom townhome in East Jackson – $499,000 (listed by RE/MAX Obsidian)

VACANT LAND

Lot sales are down significantly (55%) with only 28 sales in the first 6 months of 2016
However, the average sales price continues to climb, up 10% in Q2 2016
64% of lot sales are purchased with cash (i.e. no financing)
Overall available inventory dipped 5% from Q2 2015, however the supply of lots remains high
NOTE: Supply exceeds demand in this segment, with 34 months of inventory currently on the market.
The majority of available lots (49) are in the $500,000 – $1 million price range.

WHAT TO DO NEXT?

BUYERS: Given the low levels of available inventory, especially in the entry level market, well priced and well maintained properties will continue to sell quickly. Please connect with me so that I can alert you about soon-to-be-listed properties in your price range. You can also search Jackson Hole properties on my website or sign up for automatic listing updates. As a Buyer, it’s very important to be prepared to act quickly. Get pre-qualified with a local bank (contact me for a list of local lenders) in order to be ready to make an offer on a competitive property.

SELLERS: As a Seller, the best strategy is to price your property competitively (based on the most comparable sales) and market it effectively, as well priced properties can receive multiple offers. If you are interested in a learning what your property could sell for in this market, please complete the Home Valuation Request Form for a free, in-depth, data-driven market analysis.

New Listings continue to hit Jackson Hole real estate market, especially in the higher end

July 10, 2016/in Asking Prices, Inventory Levels, Listing Prices, Market Reports, Market Statistics, Monthly Market Update, New Listings, Sellers, Single family homes, Supply/Demand/by Molly Stewart

The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for July 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

What’s new in June 2016? (New Listing Analysis)

90 :: Total number of new listings in June
- Total New Listing Volume: $240,700,000
- Average List Price: $2,675,000
69 new residential properties (single family, condo, townhome)
- Average List Price: $2,690,000
- New listings already under contract or sold: 16
21 new building sites
- Average List Price: $2,620,000
- New listings already under contract or sold: 2

What it means: New inventory continues to hit the market, with 90 new listings coming online in June. Joined with last month, we’ve seen 200 new properties enter the Jackson Hole real estate market so far this summer. While the number of new listings in June is down slightly from May, the volume of new listings actually increased. As a result, the average sales price of June listings was close to $2.7 million. There were two very high end new listings that no doubt affected these statistics: an 11,000 sq foot home on 40 acres north of Town was listed for $28 million (pictured below) and a 264 acre property (including modern home, guest house, barn, etc.) with frontage on both Fish Creek and the Snake River was listed for $53 million! However, even without these two listings, the average sales price of June’s new inventory was over $1.8 million, continuing an increasing trend seen over the last few months (see chart below). The average listing price of new lot listings was also above $2.6 million and included two large parcels in Bar-B-Bar (located along the Snake River north of Town), listed for $12 million and $15.5 million, respectively. Several single family homes hit the market in the $600,000 – $800,000 price range. These homes in Cottonwood Park, Rafter J, the Town of Jackson, Red Top Meadows and Hoback Junction represent the least expensive single family home options in Teton County. Many buyers are moving quickly, as 20% of June’s new listings are already sold or have sales pending (by July 10th).

Notable new listings in June include:

2 bedroom / 1 bath single family home in West Jackson – $599,000
Log Cabin with large shop/garage in Hoback – $635,000
Modern 2 bdrm condo in Pearl @ Jackson in downtown – $1,150,000
Four lots bordering Elk Refuge in Gill Addition (with older home) – $6,000,000

Click HERE to view all new June residential listings.

Click HERE to view all new June land listings.

11,000 sq ft home on 40 acres – Listed by JH Sotheby’s for $28 million

As we continue through the busy summer selling season, the amount (and price) of new inventory will continue to dictate future market values. Whether you are a first time or seasoned home buyer, there are many opportunities out there, with several not listed in the MLS. If you are an active buyer, or looking to get into the Jackson Hole real estate market, please connect with me for a comprehensive analysis of the current buying opportunities in our market.

As a Seller, the best strategy is to make your property stand out against the competition by pricing it competitively (based on the most comparable sales) and marketing it effectively, as buyers are moving quickly on well-priced, high-demand properties. If you are interested in a learning what your property could sell for in this market, please complete a Home Valuation Form for a free estimate of your home’s market value.

Featured Listings

Browse Katie’s “Top Picks” for current values in the Jackson Hole real estate market. Updated with new listings weekly. Browse now.

What happened in March?

New Listings

$76,223,000

New Listing Volume

10

Vacant Lot Listings

$1,905,575

Average List Price

$1,010,000

MEDIAN LIST PRICE

1

listings under $500,000

8

Listings over $3M

Note: All statistics are pulled from Teton Board of Realtors Multiple Listing Service for residential sales/listings in Teton County, WY for the dates specified above. It is estimated that sales outside of MLS account for an additional 10-20% of transactions/volume. Contact Katie for more details.

Summary: Jackson Hole Real Estate & 2020 Forecast

Market Analysis

2020 Forecast

Advice for Sellers in 2020:

Advice for Buyers in 2020:

Note: All statistics are pulled from Teton Board of Realtors Multiple Listing Service for residential sales/listings in Teton County, WY for the dates specified above. It is estimated that sales outside of MLS account for an additional 10-20% of transactions/volume. Contact Katie for more details.

2019: Transactions/Sales Volume – What Sold?

$890,085,959

Total Sales Volume

$1,805,448

Average Sales Price

Market Analysis

$1,155,979

Average Median Sales Price

14%

of Sales were Land Lots

2019: New Listing/Inventory Analysis

$1,852,044,899

LIST PRICE Volume

$2,660,984

AvERAGE LIST PRICE

Market Analysis

$1,412,500

AvERAGE MEDIAN LIST PRICE

65%

Listings over $1 million

Note: All statistics are pulled from Teton Board of Realtors Multiple Listing Service for residential sales/listings in Teton County, WY for the dates specified above. It is estimated that sales outside of MLS account for an additional 10-20% of transactions/volume. Contact Katie for more details.

Transactions/Sales Volume – What Sold?

$1,930,301

Average Sales Price

$254,799,682

Total Sales Volume

Market Analysis

New Listings – What’s New?

$3,023,767

AvERAGE LIST PRICE

$278,891,000

LIST PRICE Volume

Market Analysis

Note: All statistics are pulled from Teton Board of Realtors Multiple Listing Service for residential sales/listings in Teton County, WY for the dates specified above. It is estimated that sales outside of MLS account for an additional 10-20% of transactions/volume. Contact Katie for more details.

The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for Sept 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for Sept 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for Aug 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for Aug 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

The Colbert Real Estate Report

Monthly Market Update for July 2016

Jackson Hole, WY

Katie Brady